Seven for Saturday- 1/20/2024

[tenfurlongs]

Cold weather made it all the way to Florida, but looks like a dry weekend around the Gulf Coast down to Miami. Fairgrounds offers a thirteen race card, highlighted by the Lecomte Stakes (GIII) for 3yo at 8.5F; also on the card are three turf stakes, the Silverbulletday S. for 3yo fillies, and the Louisiana S. (GIII) for 4up at 8.5F on dirt, with Saudi Crown, Smile Happy, and Red Route One among the entries.

www.equibase.com/static/entry/FG012024USA-EQB.html


Gulfstream Park has two full field MSW turf races (R7 & R11) for newly-minted 3yos, with some serious pedigrees on display.

www.equibase.com/static/entry/GP012024USA-EQB.html


{ PLUS ONE: For you early risers, UK- Lingfield has the AW leg of its three-day Winter Millions program Saturday morning. The nominal feature is the Winter Oaks Fillies' Handicap, but the best betting race is the 5F handicap (2:35) the race before, with a solid group of veteran sprinters. Overnight low here in upstate NY will be 8°F. Coffee is our friend.

www.racingpost.com/racecards/393/lingfield-aw/2024-01-20


LIN R6 (9:35am ET)- 5f (5f6y) Handicap (Class 2) (4yo+ 0-105)

www.racingpost.com/racecards/393/lingfield-aw/2024-01-20/857441 }



GP R7 (3:08pm ET)- MSW Purse $89,000. One And One Sixteenth Miles. (Turf) 3yo

www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/briswatch.cgi/public/ChadCBrown/BROWN+CHAD+C/9999/summary.html


FG R9 (5:00pm ET)- Marie G. Krantz Memorial S. Purse $100,000. One And One Sixteenth Miles. (Turf) For F&M 4up

www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/briswatch.cgi/public/McPeek/MCPEEK+KENNETH+G/9999/summary.html


GP R11 (5:05pm ET)- MSW Purse $89,000. One And One Sixteenth Miles. (Turf) 3yo

www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/briswatch.cgi/public/ChadCBrown/BROWN+CHAD+C/9999/summary.html


FG R10 (5:30pm ET)- Silverbulletday S. Purse $150,000. One Mile And Seventy Yards. For Fillies 3yo

www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/briswatch.cgi/public/McPeek/MCPEEK+KENNETH+G/9999/summary.html


FG R11 (6:00pm ET)- Colonel E. R. Bradley S. Purse $100,000. One And One Sixteenth Miles. (Turf) 4up

www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/briswatch.cgi/public/Darley/STREET+SENSE/2004/summary.html


FG R12 (6:30pm ET)- Louisiana S. (GIII) Purse $175,000. One And One Sixteenth Miles. 4up

www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/briswatch.cgi/public/McPeek/MCPEEK+KENNETH+G/9999/summary.html


FG R13 (7:00pm ET)- Lecomte S. (Grade III) Purse $200,000. One And One Sixteenth Miles. 3yo

www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/briswatch.cgi/public/McPeek/MCPEEK+KENNETH+G/9999/summary.html




TW

[1hooper]

Nice lineup.
Dubai golf in the morning and warm weather racing in the afternoon for me on the coldest day of the year here in New England.
Hope to find some workout videos on the Chad's.

[1hooper]

Red Route One adding L in Louisiana S at Fair Grounds. Maybe 6-1 vs Smile One and Saudi Crown?

[tenfurlongs]

Lingfield outlook, Race 6 (9:35am ET)-


www.racingpost.com/news/previews/weve-got-hollie-doyle-on-board-which-is-always-a-plus-confidence-high-for-favourite-stepping-up-in-grade-aEtN08B6wXqs





TW

[1hooper]

Lecomte. Nash one big T-Graph number two back but I like the pattern on Track Phantom. Would give TP a break until March after this one. Louisiana Derby?

[tenfurlongs]

LIN R6 (9:35am ET)- 5f (5f6y) Handicap (Class 2) (4yo+ 0-105)

www.racingpost.com/racecards/393/lingfield-aw/2024-01-20/857441

#3- Bergerac (5-1) 6yo has run three consecutive improving efforts, including a career-best last time at Southwell. Up 5lbs for that win but drew PP2, has early foot, get blinkers. Needs to repeat his last, at least, but could do it. #5- Bedford Flyer (8-1) goes for leading AW trainer Mick Appleby (no relation), likes course and distance, also gets blinkers. Has won off a higher mark previously, Lewis Edmunds knows him well, should also go forward from PP1.

EX- 3,5/1,3,5,6,7,8




TW


 

[1hooper]

Jan 20, 2024 8:25:01 GMT -5 tenfurlongs said:

Lingfield outlook, Race 6 (9:35am ET)-


www.racingpost.com/news/previews/weve-got-hollie-doyle-on-board-which-is-always-a-plus-confidence-high-for-favourite-stepping-up-in-grade-aEtN08B6wXqs





TW

That first turn comes quick at 5F TW.

[tenfurlongs]

Yep. Lingfield is definitely a uniquely shaped course.






TW

[tenfurlongs]

Jan 20, 2024 8:44:41 GMT -5 1hooper said:

Lecomte. Nash one big T-Graph number two back but I like the pattern on Track Phantom. Would give TP a break until March after this one. Louisiana Derby?

Long stretch at the Fairgrounds, I like to find a good finisher at a price. I should probably know this, but, is this a track with two finish lines for 8.5F races, and they use the first one?

Might try Can Group or Awesome Road in there. Want to watch the kid (Axel Concepcion) ride in the Lecomte, he's been a revelation at Turfway. Also looking at everything Ben Curtis is riding at FG today, especially for Stidham.




TW

[1hooper]

I think they do have 2 lines. Keeneland, Oaklawn and Laurel also?
How did they 20 mins behind at Lingfield?

[tenfurlongs]

Jan 20, 2024 9:28:34 GMT -5 1hooper said:

I think they do have 2 lines. Keeneland, Oaklawn and Laurel also?
How did they 20 mins behind at Lingfield?

I think they may have purposely delayed their post times. There were many abandonments today (frozen ground) at the jump tracks, so the only other course running today is Navan in Ireland. They wanted to stagger the post times between the two to maximize betting and such.




TW

[docd]

D.F.Kenner (FG4) 4+ 5.5f T
7 Minnesota Ready 9/2,could be the best value,I'm thinking Just Might and Sosua Summer will attract enough attention.I'm not confident Just Might is loose on the lead here.Pirate Rick and Evan Sing,(with a good break),will be looking for the front as well.Bad Beat Brian is the joker in the deck,Two for two at FG is hard to dismiss.I have a feeling he will be on an exacta ticket.
WIN 7 
[x] 7/3,5
GL

[spiderjohn]

FG for me today
I think hooper has the last race right
Using Mcpeek there also
Nash underneath maybe

Nice card slot of nice maiden races

Sticking with 1 in the 4th doc
Hopefully back in best form

[docd]

I don't care too much for the race but....
GP1 
7 Darling Darley 7/2  looks like a good deal.Not sure what to make of but
8 Glitter Bomb 6/1 interests me at the price
GL

[docd]

Jan 20, 2024 11:54:15 GMT -5 docd said:

I don't care too much for the race but....
GP1 
7 Darling Darley 7/2  looks like a good deal.Not sure what to make of but
8 Glitter Bomb 6/1 interests me at the price
GL

I said I didn't care for the race
GP2 KISS
[X] 2,6/1,3,6
GL

[tenfurlongs]

With Doc on the #6 in GP2. First off the claim, gets Junior.




TW

[docd]

GP3 K.Rice J.Ortiz 13/1 ? 
OK

[docd]

FG2

[tenfurlongs]

FG R4 MSW 1 1/16mi 3yo.

#4- Hall of Fame (3-1) Gun Runner colt out of a Giant's Causeway mare that sold for $1.4M on the Tuesday night we were there at Fasig-Tipton Saratoga in 2022. Bought by MV Magnier for Coolmore, turned him over to Asmussen (Gun Runner.) Got plenty of time, made debut in November going a too-short 7F at CD, ran on to finish second. Stretches out to two turns today, three works over the track, gets Lasix and Joel Rosario. Can't imagine he'll be anywhere near the m/l price, but I'd bet him at 8-5.




TW

[tenfurlongs]

Looks like the Ballydoyle bunch has themselves a Derby trail horse. Won by ten eased down late. Risen Star S. (GII) for $400K is Feb. 17th, 9F.




TW

[1hooper]

Liked the way he went inside the pace horse.
Compare fractions to stakes races later today.

[tenfurlongs]

FG R11: EX- 9/1,2,5,8  Beatbox can outfinish the lone speed, right?

FG R12: WIN- 4  Happy American won this last year, can fly home late at twice the price.

FG R13: WIN- 4  Can Group is bred better for dirt, needs to run back to his BC Juv Turf race.

Good day so far, won at TAM, won a couple at GP, ahead at FG so far. Big finish for a $olid day.




TW