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Post by Badactor on Oct 5, 2023 10:59:11 GMT -5
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eye123
UpInClass Steward
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Post by eye123 on Oct 18, 2023 21:20:12 GMT -5
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Post by cherokeescot on Oct 25, 2023 14:28:00 GMT -5
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ozzy
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Post by ozzy on Oct 26, 2023 17:14:59 GMT -5
Think Clariere a must use but with possible swift pace, dont overlook Pretty Mischievous either. Those 2 for me early and want to see Wet Paint out there.
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Post by cherokeescot on Oct 26, 2023 18:06:04 GMT -5
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Post by merasmag on Oct 30, 2023 21:11:34 GMT -5
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docd
UpInClass Member
"Faster horses, younger women, older whiskey, and more money." -Tom T Hall
Posts: 1,685
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Post by docd on Oct 31, 2023 15:15:32 GMT -5
All in
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Post by cherokeescot on Oct 31, 2023 15:43:29 GMT -5
So that looks like Idiomatic, Adare Manor, Clariere, Wet Paint and Pretty Mischievous . Did I miss any out ?
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5wide
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Post by 5wide on Oct 31, 2023 16:06:31 GMT -5
Race is loaded with pace so i've been looking at the closers. Pretty Mischievous , who looked like she needed her last race, looks ready to run big. Race also sets up for Clariere on her best form, Wet paint I think is just a bit below the other 2 .
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5wide
UpInClass Member
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Post by 5wide on Oct 31, 2023 16:07:00 GMT -5
So that looks like Idiomatic, Adare Manor, Clariere, Wet Paint and Pretty Mischievous . Did I miss any out ? looks good. |
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Post by Badactor on Oct 31, 2023 16:49:26 GMT -5
#10 Desert Dawn... note major jockey upgrade.
Been well regarded 2nd, 2nd & 3rd to Adare Manor.
Have lots of respect for Rispoli, but HIB moves 'em up.
If it's prices we want... 20-1 certainly thins the herd.
edit: ...in exchange for the Godolphin?
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Post by cherokeescot on Oct 31, 2023 17:42:17 GMT -5
Fair point . We need big prices . If you think she can turn the tables on Adare Manor then let’s replace her with Desert Dawn
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Post by merasmag on Oct 31, 2023 21:22:59 GMT -5
Fair point . We need big prices . If you think she can turn the tables on Adare Manor then let’s replace her with Desert Dawn PLEASE don't do that-if u HAVE to drop one my vote is wet paint ps-i don't see how a 2000 dollar p6 ticket can lose is there a super high five in the classic? |
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ozzy
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Post by ozzy on Oct 31, 2023 21:30:31 GMT -5
I said Wet Paint early on as a price but needs to improve in a major way. Just see a lot of pace here and think big horses run late due to set up. Clairiere still it for me with PM just off the pace trying to hang on late.after passing Idiomatic in the stretch
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Post by merasmag on Oct 31, 2023 21:41:17 GMT -5
Fair point . We need big prices . If you think she can turn the tables on Adare Manor then let’s replace her with Desert Dawn i see your personal bet includes only idiomatic and adare manor whether it's a "cover bet" or you're trying to get a consensus here i think it's worth asking about this is why i no longer tout horselets to friends i may play a ls and they get super-p'od (or happy) this is a totally different scenario i think we should just pick the best horses with the best chances after everybody handicapping in their own way (connections, speed, class etc) leads, hopefully, to a quasi-consensus hopefully everyone agrees on a horse or 3 per race |
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Post by cherokeescot on Oct 31, 2023 22:02:00 GMT -5
Fair point . We need big prices . If you think she can turn the tables on Adare Manor then let’s replace her with Desert Dawn PLEASE don't do that-if u HAVE to drop one my vote is wet paint ps-i don't see how a 2000 dollar p6 ticket can lose is there a super high five in the classic? The Pick 6 is a $1 bet. For $2000 you don’t get that many combinations. 5x5x5x4x2x2 would be a logical play . if you have a no lose P6 ticket please post it., The Pick 5 with 4000 combinations at 50c might be a better option for us. |
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Post by merasmag on Oct 31, 2023 22:30:37 GMT -5
of course i don't have a don't lose ticket and i wouldn't try to construct one (unless i had 2k to bet)
but to drop a mare at least 3 posters think is a logical threat for one that is a LS with one fan
doesn't seem right
most of my p6 tickets are very minimal
and when i get 4 or 5 i see a horse i NEVER would have picked won
ask your friend kasept about "vasa"
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Post by cherokeescot on Oct 31, 2023 22:54:10 GMT -5
I’ve no idea what you are talking about
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Post by merasmag on Oct 31, 2023 23:09:49 GMT -5
what part?
at LEAST 3 people think adare manor (yourself included)
has an excellent chance
dell suggests a horse cuz his fav jock is on it and your ready to drop adare
i don't think i've ever spent over 30 something on a pick6 ticket and i've had consos
kasept knows who vasa is
a 32-1 that cost me on a 1$ p6
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Post by merasmag on Oct 31, 2023 23:11:56 GMT -5
I’ve no idea what you are talking about comprende now? it was plain english |
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Post by Badactor on Oct 31, 2023 23:20:05 GMT -5
pk5 you say? more combinations. a chance to catch the longshots.
I think we should go all-in on one wager. pk5 OR pk6. no saver play.
$2000 doesn't go a long way on a pk6... unless we've got the right ticket.
Still handicapping. Appreciate reading folks' opinions. Speak up, let's hear it!
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Post by cherokeescot on Oct 31, 2023 23:24:06 GMT -5
Who are kasept and vasa ? Are they characters in a John Le Carre novel ?
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jacckk8
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Post by jacckk8 on Nov 1, 2023 5:45:49 GMT -5
I’ll make it simple. Clariere We all know what she is capable of doing. Imo. It’s her time to shine…..
Jack
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5wide
UpInClass Member
Posts: 1,360
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Post by 5wide on Nov 1, 2023 13:16:49 GMT -5
Think Clariere a must use but with possible swift pace, dont overlook Pretty Mischievous either. Those 2 for me early and want to see Wet Paint out there. Same thoughts !! |
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eye123
UpInClass Steward
Posts: 2,720
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Post by eye123 on Nov 1, 2023 16:27:28 GMT -5
pk5 you say? more combinations. a chance to catch the longshots. I think we should go all-in on one wager. pk5 OR pk6. no saver play. $2000 doesn't go a long way on a pk6... unless we've got the right ticket. Still handicapping. Appreciate reading folks' opinions. Speak up, let's hear it! WE all know that somewhere along the way there will be "one" horse that surprises everyone.(the "one" that makes the horizontal pay). PK 6 would be nice to hit and a game changer as far as price goes. The "but". Do we really feel comfortable with the coverage with a $2,000 ticket. (no Flightline this year) However the pk5 coverage at .50 cents affords us the ability to "spread"..and one less ? race. A "surprise" or two in the PK5 should return a nice price. PK6 should pay huge this year. Either way (whatever is decided upon) I'd be happy with. Let's have fun with this whatever way we go. |
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Post by cherokeescot on Nov 1, 2023 18:17:12 GMT -5
I agree with Carl . The Pick 5 will have a bigger pool and give us the opportunity to include some long-shots although I feel that if we can hit a couple of 12-1 winners the payout will still be good
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5wide
UpInClass Member
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Post by 5wide on Nov 1, 2023 18:41:14 GMT -5
I like the pick 5 idea as I think we need to go as deep as possible in the turf sprint.
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Post by cindyloujazz on Nov 2, 2023 13:16:57 GMT -5
Idiomatic, Search Results, Clariere and Desert Dawn.
And if we play a Pick 5, I'm okay with that.
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shoes
UpInClass Steward
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Post by shoes on Nov 2, 2023 17:24:57 GMT -5
My long shot here is #2 A Mo Reay, she shipped in and won the G1 Beholder at SA in March. Saves ground here and hopefully out finishes the closers. She clearly doesn't compare on overall form, but that's why you're getting 20-1. I'll use her in doubles and P3s but completely understand not including on our ticket.
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Post by merasmag on Nov 2, 2023 21:13:22 GMT -5
bigger pool?
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