Saturday's Picks

[oriolegirl]

FILLY AND MARE SPRINT

1) OBLIGATORY

2) ECHO ZULU

3) GOODNIGHT OLIVE



We're going with OBLIGATORY to upset. She's always been a top notch filly and since Mott has brought her back, she's been very sharp. Nails the speed. Can't knock ECHO ZULU. All she

does is win. The only negative is her Beyers are light as she's never topped 95, but she'll be right there. GOODNIGHT OLIVE has turned into a beast for Chad Brown. Her and CE CE the

horses to beat.



TURF SPRINT

1) GOLDEN PAL

2) CAZADERO

3) CASA CREED



I hate to put GOLDEN PAL on top as I always look to beat the chalk, but this guy is one of the best turf sprinters I've ever seen. He'll be very short, so he'll be on most tickets but I

will spread a bit in pick 3's in case he gets beat. If the speed duel kills him, two that can pick up the pieces are CAZADERO and CASA Creed. The former has blossomed since put on turf and

the latter is a proven Grade 1 turf miler who can pick up the pieces, shortening up.



DIRT MILE

1) CODY'S WISH

2) CYBERKNIFE

3) LAUREL RIVER



In a very contentious Dirt Mile, CODY'S WISH is the choice. Has really blossomed this year and anything Mott sends out is dangerous. CYBERKNIFE is a top 3 year old and they have performed

very well in this race winning 3 of the last 5. LAUREL CANYON ships in for Baffert after a sharp win in the Pat O'Brien.



FILLY AND MARE TURF

1) TUESDAY

2) NASHWA

3) ABOVE THE CURVE



Going all European here. TUESDAY has been competitive with these and gets a firmer footing which she'll relish. NASHWA and ABOVE THE CURVE also top class Euros. IN ITALIAN is the

best of the Americans and might be this good.



SPRINT

1) JACKIE'S WARRIOR

2) MANNY WAH

3) KIMARI



Again, I hate picking chalk, but this race came up very weak. JACKIES WARRIOR should have his way. MANNY WAH is light on class and Beyers but he's been very sharp in the morning and

his connections are very high on him. KIMARI is a top notch mare who passed on the Filly and Mare sprint for this. Surprising.



MILE

1) IVAR

2) MODERN GAMES

3) DOMESTIC SPENDING



I have a funny feeling IVAR has been aiming for this race. He ran 3rd in it last year and has been nicely handled by high percentage trainer Lobo. Did get beat by MODERN GAMES but he was

bumped and it was only his second race in a year. Was rallying nicely in his prep over the course and picks up Castellano. MODERN GAMES is absolutely the horse to beat. DOMESTIC SPENDING

is shortening up for Chad Brown but he did win his first two career races at 1 mile.



DISTAFF

1) BLUE STRIPE

2) MALATHAAT

3) NEST



In what shapes up as one of the best Distaff races in recent memory, we're going with a longshot. BLUE STRIPE was an Argentine champion when she shipped here last year. Her first race

in this country was last year's Distaff where she was shuffled early and didn't run a lick. Brought back carefully this year, her Beyers are a little light but she has looked the part on the track

and am expecting her to jump up at a price. MALATHAAT is one tough customer and shoule be hard to beat. Taking a stand against NEST. If she beats me at a short price, so be it.

SOCIETY has also been looking sharp in the AM. Wouldn' surprise me if she won.



TURF

1) WAR LIKE GODDESS

2) REBELS ROMANCE

3) NATIONAL PRIDE



WAR LIKE GODDESS passed on the Filly and Mare turf to tak on the boys. She's 5 for 5 at the distance and will be tough to beat. REBEL'S ROMANCE is from the hot Appleby barn and also is

undefeated at the trip. NATIONS PRIDE another top Euro from the Appleby barn.



CLASSIC



Let's just leave it at FLIGHTLINE!! Can be the best horse since Secretariat! If he loses it would be an upset of epic proportions.




Good Luck
Steve

[mysaladdays]

Most of my picks are played as exotic wagers:

Race 1:
Dakota Run
Reagan
Arabian Knight
Rocket and Roll

Race 2:
Silk Trade
Long Range Toddy scratched
Messier
Nightime

Race 3:
Echo Zulu
Obligatory
Slammed
Edgeway

Race 4: 
Highfield Princess
Golden Pal
Bran  scratched  Replace with Creative Force
Arrest Me Red
Longshot: Go Bears Go

Race 5:
Pipeline
Laurel River    scratched
Simplification
Senor Buscador

Race 6:
Tuesday
Lady Speightspeare
In Italian
Toy
Longshot: Mise En Scene

Race 7:
Kimari
Aloha West
Jackie's Warrior
OBesos
Longshot: Manny Wah

Race 8:
Shirl's Speight  (edited 12:26pm)
Modern Games
Kinross
Dreamloper
Longshot: Ivar

Race 9:
Blue Stripe
Nest
Clairiere
Search Results

Race 10:
Mishriff
Nation's Pride
Rebels Romance
War Like Goddess

Race 11: Classic
Flightline
Epicenter
Rich Stiike
Taiba

Race 12:
Walkanaka
Stolen Holiday
Technical Analysis scratched
Shantisara

[Deleted]

Nov 5, 2022 2:52:23 GMT -5 mysaladdays said:

Most of my picks are played as exotic wagers:


Race 5:
Pipeline
Laurel River
Simplification
Senor Buscador

isn't laurel river scratched?

[spiderjohn]

Hopefully we hit a decent p6, since I might need it to get back to + if I bomb out again today. Was very aggressive yesterday, and oferred until the last p4 and 10th tri. Good payoffs but only a little more than halfway back.

So——-
Race 1—12/4
2–3/6/2/10
3–13/8/1
4–6/8/5/9
5–9/7
6–5/12/11
7–6/5/2
8–4/3/11/13
9–6/4/2/1
10–13/11/7

11–6!

Really like
Reagan in 1st
Echo Zulu in 3rd
High field Princess in 4th
Tuesday in 6th
Nest in 9th
Highland Chief in 10th
Epicenter in 11th

Late night partying
Slow late start today
Sat next to connections of Wonder Wheel and Casse
Nice people happy for them
Beautiful day hoping for same with better luck!

[ozzy]

Very windy here in central KY. That’s expected to continue throughout the day with breezy conditions around 20MPH and gusts 40-50. This should translate into a head win for horses down the backside and tailwind in the stretch run. Could make it appear horses going slower earlier and finishing faster late. I’m more interested in how much water is applied to the track. Not sure it will mean anything to anyone, just something to take note of as can hear the chorus singing of a closing bias already. Small chance of a shower but rain looks to hold off until late in the card if at all but primarily this evening.

[ozzy]

Progressive thoughts on the card and best of luck to all today.

Race 1: Arabian Knight is very beatable. He is a high priced Baffert purchase for sure and Baffert does win first out with 2YOs in Cali but that’s not here. Both of his unbeatable 2YOs ran 2nd here yesterday and this one doesn’t have your typical wow Baffert morning drills. He worked well with Laurel River but with the vet scratch was that one 100%? Give me a much better price on the 8 Rocket and Roll for a strong early sire, dam who is 6 for 6 producing and just as strong of connections yet paying $20. Fashion King has every right to improve 2nd out after the slightest of trouble in his debut.

If you want to go with Baffert in race 2, can’t fault you as Messier looks well meant returning to sprinting. I’ll tab Nakatomi a stakes winner over this strip in his 3rd of the year and 2nd off a shorter layoff. Long Range Toddy hasn’t won in a while but his last was against better here and impressive. Freakish good work out of that effort and will be a big price comparatively.

F&M Sprint: I’ll admit I am just a sucker for Obligatory and she is my pick. Nothing not to like as 7f her game and think she gets the setup needed. Using the fav Goodnite Olive for same reasons in multis. For vertical wagers Frank’s Rockette and Echo Zulu in the clear from the outside are of interest. Speed for sure but EZ could just control and clear but 3YOs in this spot historically not the best wager. Frank’s Rockette could sit a perfect trip just off the speed and have first run and hold off closers late. The Japanese filly is hard to ignore given that price with Buick up and their success last year but expecting she’ll be bet down

Turf Sprint: either Golden Pal or Highland Princess win or any one can so think you narrow to those 2, play against both with a few., or use All depending on your budget. GP ultra tough here but Campanelle could be as well. Like a closing Casa Creed for a piece as well as Arrest Me Red. Go Bears Go, the two Applebees both fit for a piece as just a damn tough race. I’ll probably use 3 and hope. No point chasing exotics with a big ticket as can’t ignore many.

Dirt Mile: Speed wins this race at this configuration. That said, give me Pipeline to wire the field and using Cody’s Wish defensively. Gunite in great form but hate the 2 week turnaround after such a big effort. Most likely to ruin my day by not including.

[mysaladdays]

Nov 5, 2022 3:11:20 GMT -5 @merasmag said:

Nov 5, 2022 2:52:23 GMT -5 mysaladdays said:

isn't laurel river scratched?

I was making out my list in the late evening betweeen tornado warnings here in AR  (boy we had some scary storms!)

Was unable to log in to look, then just posted them after I woke up from a nap.......never went online to look

I will just play picks as is, I see long range toddy scratched too

[ozzy]

So couldn’t have been more wrong on Arabian Knight. That was impressive…. Expect More one to watch for sure as impressive effort after missing the break

On 2 race 2 and yes no Long Range Toddy so expect Baffert to be odds on again.

The ultimate equipment change for Gunit apparently as well…. Poor guy. Hearing lots of chatter about the 14 as well.

Hearing the crowd boo Baffert after the 1st was something….

[spiderjohn]

Cloudy and windy already
Much cooler

Baffert/Baffert start?

Just walked in behind chad brown

[Badactor]

[bobtailnag]

ALL XBOXS

R3 4-7-8-12
R4 1-4-8-10
R5 3-5-7-9
R6 3-4-5-11
R7 2-6-9
R8 3-4-5-13
R9 1-3-6
R10 2-4-7-1
R11 NO WAGER

[cherokeescot]

Glad I didn’t bet Obligatory… never given a chance 🙄. Hope Steve boxed his three picks.

[ozzy]

Bev, unfortunately I did….. rather heavily. No reason to be that far back as resulted in zero shot. Solid race from Echo Zulu and looking forward to seeing her around 1 turn. Same with Wicked Halo with a great ride coming back quickly in 2 weeks.

[cherokeescot]

Had the three Europeans but not Caravel . Creative Force was finishing like a train . That’s twice this year that Golden Pal has missed the break !

[ozzy]

I got a rock….. Golden Pal start aside, I didn’t have anything that ran there and a potential good start to the day gone. Good thing they run several more!

All Pipeline here for me over Gunite and Cody’s Wish. Cyberknife the best horse in the race but unsure about this configuration. Of course Cox did just fine here with Knicks Go at this trip…

[mysaladdays]

I'm changing my wagers in Race 6 to this:

Lady Speightspeare
Moira
Roguir
Tuesday

Longshot: Mise En Scene

[mysaladdays]

Nov 5, 2022 11:47:48 GMT -5 mysaladdays said:

I'm changing my wagers in Race 6 to this:

Lady Speightspeare
Moira
Roguir
Tuesday

Longshot: Mise En Scene

My original post was the trifecta.  LEARN LESSON:  NEVER CHANGE YOUR WAGER!!!!  Darn darn darn  There went $372  for $1 tri.  Coulda used that, eh?

Race 6:

Tuesday

Lady Speightspeare

In Italian

Toy

Longshot: Mise En Scene

[mysaladdays]

Boom!!!!!




Race 8:

Shirl's Speight (edited 12:26pm)

Modern Games

Kinross

Dreamloper

Longshot: Ivar



Win/Place/Show, Exacta, Tri and Superfecta

Pulled myself out for the whole weekend....and then some.  (I only played the 0.10 super and 0.50 tri, but still....)  and had a w/p/s on Shirl's Speight but did not put a win on the winner, which is fine, he didn't pay anything.


2 . $33.28 $17.36

$1.00 Exacta 4/2 $89.46

$0.50 Trifecta 4/2/13 $450.72

$0.10 Superfecta 4/2/13/6 $528.33

[tc]

Nov 5, 2022 14:22:41 GMT -5 mysaladdays said:

Boom!!!!!




Race 8:

Shirl's Speight (edited 12:26pm)

Modern Games

Kinross

Dreamloper

Longshot: Ivar



Win/Place/Show, Exacta, Tri and Superfecta

Pulled myself out for the whole weekend....and then some.  (I only played the 0.10 super and 0.50 tri, but still....)  and had a w/p/s on Shirl's Speight but did not put a win on the winner, which is fine, he didn't pay anything.


2 . $33.28 $17.36

$1.00 Exacta 4/2 $89.46

$0.50 Trifecta 4/2/13 $450.72

$0.10 Superfecta 4/2/13/6 $528.33

Great job.  How about Attfield?  He rarely disappoints.  2 BC runners going off at 32-1 and 55-1.  Finishing 3rd and 2nd.  He's definitely a good one and because he's based at Woodbine he's always underestimated in these big races.

[cherokeescot]

Well played 👏

[Badactor]

That's a great hit mysaladdays! 😁

[ozzy]

Nice hit! Congrats as my weekend is horrendous

[mysaladdays]

R9: Was hoping my Blue Stripe got this, had a w/p on her..... but it was Malaathat.....barely....  24-1 would have been nice!

Oh just found my "cheap" superfecta, forgot i did that

COMPLETED:7c7a4-584a8 KEE #9 $0.10 Superfecta BX, 1, 2, 4, 6, 8 none $12.00

$90.95  + $78.95

COMPLETED:d254c-4df07 KEE #9 $0.10 Superfecta BX, 1, 2, 4, 6 none $2.40

$90.95 + $88.55
OMPLETED:49c3e-95971 KEE #9 $2 Win/Place/Show 2 none $6.00

$19.46 + $13.46


But happy for you guys since Blue STripe winning  would have ruined your P6.   You're on target to get that.....fingers crossed!

[Deleted]

i am getting a little sick about getting shut out of my p5
forgot i played the p3 but i got it

[mysaladdays]

Nov 5, 2022 15:05:25 GMT -5 @merasmag said:

i am getting a little sick about getting shut out of my p5
forgot i played the p3 but i got it

Excellent!    Never give up, any race can win ya ...... there is no such thing as a mortal lock in horse racing  .....well, at least not ALL THE TIME.    3 more races to go!

[Deleted]

i have to pray stone age wins

[mysaladdays]

Nov 5, 2022 11:44:49 GMT -5 ozzy said:

Cyberknife the best horse in the race but unsure about this configuration. Of course Cox did just fine here with Knicks Go at this trip…

that was a smart play, I never warmed up to this horse and have lost $$ by shutting him out..... good pick!