UK- Newmarket & York- 10/8

[tenfurlongs]

UK- Newmarket


GOING: GOOD (GoingStick: Overall 7.1; Stands' side 7.1, Centre 7.1, Far side 7.2) (Watered) (Rail movements: 3.40 +12yds) (Partly cloudy)

Newmarket's feature is the 2 1/4 mile Cesarewitch Handicap, which has 22 runners. The Autumn Stakes (GIII) or the Dewhurst Stakes (GI) could produce one or two for the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf.


Race 1-  1m2f (Row) Zetland Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (2yo)

www.racingpost.com/racecards/38/newmarket/2022-10-08/820677

2yo going 10F in October. Stateside they'd lock you up or call you crazy. #4- Dear My Friend (8-1) was able to win a 6F race on debut, punished a Novice field by five, then ran fifth behind three top 2yos in a GII. His third behind Blue Rose Cen which won a GI next time in France, and Victoria Road which took a GIII, point him out. #5- Flying Honours (9-5) is a Godolphin/Appleby/Buick colt by Sea The Stars   , won a Listed mile at Salisbury, then was beaten at short odds last time in a tactically run race here going a mile. Stretchout should offer more improvement. 

EX- 4,5/3,4,5,7,9 


Race 2-  1m (Row) Autumn Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (2yo)

www.racingpost.com/racecards/38/newmarket/2022-10-08/820678

#3- Epictetus (9-5) made a winning debut here going 7F in July in a powerful effort, then was put away until today. Frankie rides for Strawbridge/Gosdens. #5- Holloway Boy (6-1) has been progressive and impressive in his three starts, winning the Chesham S. at Royal Ascot on debut, then running two second-place finishes behind Marbaan and Nostrum, both of whom run in the GI Dewhurst Stakes in Race 3. 

EX- 3,5/1,2,3,5


Race 3-  7f (Row) Darley Dewhurst Stakes (Group 1) (Class 1) (2yo)

www.racingpost.com/racecards/38/newmarket/2022-10-08/817913

Stellar field of seven which all carry fine resumes. #2- Chaldean (9-2) 2yo Frankel colt for Juddmonte/Balding/Dettori found 6F too short on debut, then has run off three consecutive victories including a GII win at Doncaster last time. #6- Nostrum (3-2) is two-for-two and has looked the part of future star for Juddmonte/Stoute. Kingscote picks up the mount (imagine that!) because Ryan Moore is committed to the Aidan O'Brien runner, who could certainly win this but will likely never be more than a 7F/miler. Hoping that the odds on Chaldean stay above 3-1.

EX- 2,6/1,2,3,4,5,6 


Race 4-  2m2f (Row) Cesarewitch Handicap (Heritage Handicap) (Class 2) (3yo+)

www.racingpost.com/racecards/38/newmarket/2022-10-08/817914

Always wonder what Willie Mullins will bring over from Ireland for this, just hoping he has a weaker hand than usual this year. #3- Going Gone (15-1) carries a 4lb penalty for winning his last, I'm sure trainer Boyle wishes he lost the head bob there. Still, 4yo comes into this in fine form, was a close fourth to Coltrane going 20F at Royal Ascot. #21- Call My Bluff (15-1) was third in the Trial over C&D last month, is well in on the weights and gets Arc hero Luke Morris in the saddle. #9- Prince Imperial (20-1) is an each-way (W/P) bet, second in the Cesarewitch Trial and notably sees Richard Hughes reach out to Jim Crowley for the mount.

EX- 3,21/3,6,8,9,10,13,21  W/P- 9


Race 5-  7f (Row) Nursery Handicap (Class 2) (2yo)

www.racingpost.com/racecards/38/newmarket/2022-10-08/820680

#1- Desert Order (2-1) has improved steadily in his three starts for Godolphin/Appleby/Buick, 2-1 may look like a gift for this Dubawi colt after the race but doubt the m/l holds.

EX- 1/5,6,7


Race 6-  6f (Row) British EBF Boadicea Stakes (Listed Race) (Class 1) (3yo+ f&m)

www.racingpost.com/racecards/38/newmarket/2022-10-08/820679

Fifteen f&m sprinters going 6F. I love Gale Force Maya, made lots of money with her the last two years, but have to look past the highweight after her poor race over soft ground in an ill-advised start at Ascot last week. Casting a wide net hoping to catch some nice fish. #7- Primo Bacio (6-1) is 4/0-0-0 at Newmarket but hasn't run badly here, looks to be rounding into her best form and was second behind Gale Force Maya going 6F at York. Look for her late. #10- Azure Blue (10-1) is my best bet, 3yo has been improving all year, has won here the last twice, trainer Dods can use Maya as a pace-setter and still get the win if they blast off too fast early. Don't ignore #15- Pink Crystal (7-1) from the Haggas yard, she's done little wrong in five starts as a 3yo and is progressing to end the year on a bang. Bet her to W/P too at 7-1 or better.

EX- 7,10,15/1,2,7,8,9,10,13,15  W/P- 15


Race 7-  1m1f (Row) Darley Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (3yo+)

www.racingpost.com/racecards/38/newmarket/2022-10-08/820676

#8- Royal Fleet (9-2) is 8/5-2-0 on turf, I owe Dubawi colt for helping me finish third in the Godolphin Meydan contest this past winter. Would be a nice win for the race sponsor too. #9- Alflaila (4-1) is Shadwell from Owen Burrows, he's won two stakes in a row, 3yo son of Dark Angel can be a force in the mile division next year.

EX- 8,9/1,2,4,8,9,10



UK- York

GOING: GOOD TO SOFT, Soft in places (GoingStick: Overall 6.2; Straight - Far side 6.2, Centre 6.2, Stands' side 6.1)  (Mostly sunny)



Race 2-  6f Rockingham Stakes (Listed Race) (Class 1) (2yo)

www.racingpost.com/racecards/107/york/2022-10-08/820689

No brilliant insights here, use the two progressive 2yos from Haggas and Varian.

EX- 1,3/1,3,5,6 


Race 3-  1m2½f (1m2f56y) Handicap (Class 2) (3yo+ 0-110)

www.racingpost.com/racecards/107/york/2022-10-08/820690

This seems pretty wide-open, I'll use Godolphin/bin Suroor #2- Marching Army (5-2) looking for third win in a row going 10F on good ground.

EX- 2/1,4,6


Race 4-  6f Sprint Trophy Handicap (Heritage Handicap) (Class 2) (3yo+ 0-105)

www.racingpost.com/racecards/107/york/2022-10-08/820688

Easy to get this one wrong. #1- Mr. Wagyu (10-1) is the highweight but deservedly so, hasn't run a bad one since May, handles the quirky York track and should be even more prominent today with blinkers added. #11- Lucky Man (10-1) I've been chasing this guy at good prices all season, he's improving over his last few and likes it here at York, should develop into a top 6F handicapper next year.

EX- 1,11/1,3,6,7,10,11,13,19


Race 7-  1m2½f (1m2f56y) Finale Handicap (Class 3) (3yo+ 0-95)

www.racingpost.com/racecards/107/york/2022-10-08/820693

Last race of the year at York, let's take a shot at a nice exacta.

EX- 3,8/2,3,4,8,9,10


Good luck if you play!





TW

[mysaladdays]

GL! I love watching these.

R4 Club Godolphin Cesarewitch Handicap
Horsewithnoname 9/2 I really like Nicky Henderson

R5: Nursery Handicap
Intheseshoes 11/2
Really like Andrea Atzeni and the trainer(s)

I don't know for sure, but I believe the horse's name may be based on the wonderful Kirsty McColl, who was a very popular singer/songwriter in the UK. I only know this because I have her album which has In These Shoes on it. She was unfortunately killed at 41, while on vacation in Cozmel diving with her family, by an errant speedboat in an area where no speedboats were allowed, and the propeller killed her when the boat ran over her. The U2 song "I Still Haven't Found What I'm Looking For" was dedicated to her, because the Mexican government did not bring justice. This is a fantastic song with some "latin" influence, gets you up off your feet for sure---and she loved south american, cuban, island influences.  And, there's an invitation for a horse ride in the song lyrics, so it fits.  I think I will ask the owners sometime if I am right about why they named their horse this.



And finally, longshot bomb: 
Tenerlife Sunshine in R1. 20/1. 
 Same jockey/trainer combo as above, Broodmare sire is Sea The Stars, and sire Lope de Vega won some very prestigious routes in France and was champion freshman sire in EU.    I don't know if this one is ready yet, but has all the right stuff.  These are 2 yo after all.   Let's hope he can run ITM based on his maiden, which was hard won. 

[mysaladdays]

Oct 8, 2022 3:10:03 GMT -5 mysaladdays said:

GL! I love watching these.

R4 Club Godolphin Cesarewitch Handicap
Horsewithnoname 9/2 I really like Nicky Henderson

In a 21 horse field , I thought I would flesh this one out with a few more longshots I like.  
Prince Imperial (20-1), Evaluation (15-1), Land of Winter (20-1)  Author's Dream 20-1

[mysaladdays]

horsewithnonname  went to the lead and was in the top 3-4 for most of the entire race. I realized with sinking heart that would probably hurt him and that someone would turn on their after-burners at the end.... and Run for Oscar certainly did that!  
I dunno why my horses keep ending up the near chalk though, go to the lead, then they don't win. Ditto intheseshoes.  

@ten Furlongs, you did well today!   I ended up using your horse and mine for the $1 trifecta in R5 though, and it worked out. So THANKS!!   Yours worked, mine didn't
COMPLETED:4943e-65741 NEW #5 $1 Trifecta 1, 7, WT, 1, 5, WT, 3, 7, 8 none $7.00 $43.10 + $36.10

Decided to play Algiers in R3 and that ex worked out, so I made some coin today, even after my WRONG bets
COMPLETED:99dd0-f2157 YOR #3 $1 Exacta 1, 2, WT, 4 none $2.00 $28.20 + $26.20


Playing both those tracks was a little breathless, I think the announcer was out of breath, too.  Goes very fast.  That was fun. I think I like Australian racing better, more relaxing.  

[tenfurlongs]

Newmarket

Race 1- 1m2f (Row) Zetland Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (2yo)

2yo going 10F in October. Stateside they'd lock you up or call you crazy. #4- Dear My Friend (8-1) was able to win a 6F race on debut, punished a Novice field by five, then ran fifth behind three top 2yos in a GII. His third behind Blue Rose Cen which won a GI next time in France, and Victoria Road which took a GIII, point him out. #5- Flying Honours (9-5) is a Godolphin/Appleby/Buick colt by Sea The Stars , won a Listed mile at Salisbury, then was beaten at short odds last time in a tactically run race here going a mile. Stretchout should offer more improvement.

EX- 4,5/3,4,5,7,9  Result: 5,3,4  Exacta $25.00  Flying Honours ($3.40) took a while to get into gear, but the 10F suited him and he won like a good one.


Race 2- 1m (Row) Autumn Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (2yo)

#3- Epictetus (9-5) made a winning debut here going 7F in July in a powerful effort, then was put away until today. Frankie rides for Strawbridge/Gosdens. #5- Holloway Boy (6-1) has been progressive and impressive in his three starts, winning the Chesham S. at Royal Ascot on debut, then running two second-place finishes behind Marbaan and Nostrum, both of whom run in the GI Dewhurst Stakes in Race 3.

EX- 3,5/1,2,3,5  Result: 1,3,5  Godolphin/Appleby/Buick again with Silver Knott ($7.60). 


Race 3- 7f (Row) Darley Dewhurst Stakes (Group 1) (Class 1) (2yo)

Stellar field of seven which all carry fine resumes. #2- Chaldean (9-2) 2yo Frankel colt for Juddmonte/Balding/Dettori found 6F too short on debut, then has run off three consecutive victories including a GII win at Doncaster last time. #6- Nostrum (3-2) is two-for-two and has looked the part of future star for Juddmonte/Stoute. Kingscote picks up the mount (imagine that!) because Ryan Moore is committed to the Aidan O'Brien runner, who could certainly win this but will likely never be more than a 7F/miler. Hoping that the odds on Chaldean stay above 3-1.

EX- 2,6/1,2,3,4,5,6  Result: 2,7,6  Chaldean ($6.60) bettered his stablemate easily, but I couldn't see Royal Scotsman splitting them. Ooof.


Race 4- 2m2f (Row) Cesarewitch Handicap (Heritage Handicap) (Class 2) (3yo+)

Always wonder what Willie Mullins will bring over from Ireland for this, just hoping he has a weaker hand than usual this year. #3- Going Gone (15-1) carries a 4lb penalty for winning his last, I'm sure trainer Boyle wishes he lost the head bob there. Still, 4yo comes into this in fine form, was a close fourth to Coltrane going 20F at Royal Ascot. #21- Call My Bluff (15-1) was third in the Trial over C&D last month, is well in on the weights and gets Arc hero Luke Morris in the saddle. #9- Prince Imperial (20-1) is an each-way (W/P) bet, second in the Cesarewitch Trial and notably sees Richard Hughes reach out to Jim Crowley for the mount.

EX- 3,21/3,6,8,9,10,13,21 W/P- 9  Result: 14,13,5  Run for Oscar ($10.00) won easily as the second choice in the wagering.


Race 5- 7f (Row) Nursery Handicap (Class 2) (2yo)

#1- Desert Order (2-1) has improved steadily in his three starts for Godolphin/Appleby/Buick, 2-1 may look like a gift for this Dubawi colt after the race but doubt the m/l holds.

EX- 1/5,6,7  Result: 1,5,8  Exacta $14.40  Desert Order ($3.60) makes it three on the day for Godolphin/Appleby/Buick.


Race 6- 6f (Row) British EBF Boadicea Stakes (Listed Race) (Class 1) (3yo+ f&m)

Fifteen f&m sprinters going 6F. I love Gale Force Maya, made lots of money with her the last two years, but have to look past the highweight after her poor race over soft ground in an ill-advised start at Ascot last week. Casting a wide net hoping to catch some nice fish. #7- Primo Bacio (6-1) is 4/0-0-0 at Newmarket but hasn't run badly here, looks to be rounding into her best form and was second behind Gale Force Maya going 6F at York. Look for her late. #10- Azure Blue (10-1) is my best bet, 3yo has been improving all year, has won here the last twice, trainer Dods can use Maya as a pace-setter and still get the win if they blast off too fast early. Don't ignore #15- Pink Crystal (7-1) from the Haggas yard, she's done little wrong in five starts as a 3yo and is progressing to end the year on a bang. Bet her to W/P too at 7-1 or better.

EX- 7,10,15/1,2,7,8,9,10,13,15 W/P- 15  Result: 10,13,15  Exacta $580.60 !  Place $28.00  My best score of the year so far as Azure Blue ($11.60) followed the script perfectly with a rousing finish. Makarova (69-1) nearly upset them all, progressive 3yo filly shouldn't have gone off at more than 15-1 IMO. Pink Crystal ran on well for third.


Race 7- 1m1f (Row) Darley Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (3yo+)

#8- Royal Fleet (9-2) is 8/5-2-0 on turf, I owe Dubawi colt for helping me finish third in the Godolphin Meydan contest this past winter. Would be a nice win for the race sponsor too. #9- Alflaila (4-1) is Shadwell from Owen Burrows, he's won two stakes in a row, 3yo son of Dark Angel can be a force in the mile division next year.

EX- 8,9/1,2,4,8,9,10  Result: 9,10,8  Exacta $30.20  Owen Burrows does it again for Shadwell as Alflaila ($5.40) finishes strongly to take the GIII Darley.


Fine day at the windows (laptop?) so far.  Wagered: $184.00  Returned: $678.20  Profit: $494.20





TW

[tenfurlongs]

York


Race 2- 6f Rockingham Stakes (Listed Race) (Class 1) (2yo)

No brilliant insights here, use the two progressive 2yos from Haggas and Varian.

EX- 1,3/1,3,5,6  Result: 1,5,4  Exacta $42.60  Alpha Capture ($6.00) just got the head bob victory.


Race 3- 1m2½f (1m2f56y) Handicap (Class 2) (3yo+ 0-110)

This seems pretty wide-open, I'll use Godolphin/bin Suroor #2- Marching Army (5-2) looking for third win in a row going 10F on good ground.

EX- 2/1,4  Results: 1,4,2  Algiers ($27.20) by far the longest price in the five horse field always looked like the winner, tracking the easy lead of Marching Army, pushing to the front nearing the furlong pole and holding them all safe.


Race 4- 6f Sprint Trophy Handicap (Heritage Handicap) (Class 2) (3yo+ 0-105)

Easy to get this one wrong. #1- Mr. Wagyu (10-1) is the highweight but deservedly so, hasn't run a bad one since May, handles the quirky York track and should be even more prominent today with blinkers added. #11- Lucky Man (10-1) I've been chasing this guy at good prices all season, he's improving over his last few and likes it here at York, should develop into a top 6F handicapper next year.

EX- 1,11/1,3,6,7,10,11,13,19  Results: 20,19,7,2  Strike Red ($28.60) was the upsetter in a strongly run event where closers seemed to be clearly disadvantaged.


Race 7- 1m2½f (1m2f56y) Finale Handicap (Class 3) (3yo+ 0-95)

Last race of the year at York, let's take a shot at a nice exacta.

EX- 3,8/2,3,4,8,9,10  Result: 14,8,11  Faylaq nearly got it done, but I couldn't come up with Titian if you painted a picture for me. Triple will pay huge: 37-1, 13-1, 40-1  Triple: $6,197.50

Wagered: $64.00  Returned: $42.60  Loss: -$21.40




TW

[tenfurlongs]

Oct 8, 2022 10:16:59 GMT -5 mysaladdays said:

horsewithnonname  went to the lead and was in the top 3-4 for most of the entire race. I realized with sinking heart that would probably hurt him and that someone would turn on their after-burners at the end.... and Run for Oscar certainly did that!  
I dunno why my horses keep ending up the near chalk though, go to the lead, then they don't win. Ditto intheseshoes.  

@ten Furlongs, you did well today!   I ended up using your horse and mine for the $1 trifecta in R5 though, and it worked out. So THANKS!!   Yours worked, mine didn't
COMPLETED:4943e-65741 NEW #5 $1 Trifecta 1, 7, WT, 1, 5, WT, 3, 7, 8 none $7.00 $43.10 + $36.10

Decided to play Algiers in R3 and that ex worked out, so I made some coin today, even after my WRONG bets
COMPLETED:99dd0-f2157 YOR #3 $1 Exacta 1, 2, WT, 4 none $2.00 $28.20 + $26.20


Playing both those tracks was a little breathless, I think the announcer was out of breath, too.  Goes very fast.  That was fun. I think I like Australian racing better, more relaxing.  

Nice job with Algiers! Wasn't sure he would fire fresh from the long layoff, but he had the back class to prevail. He was definitely a big overlay.




TW

[mysaladdays]

You killed it today, I might play along with you again sometime, simply because it was.....fun. And you helped me make some money.