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Post by tenfurlongs on Jul 7, 2022 14:20:23 GMT -5
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spiderjohn
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Post by spiderjohn on Jul 8, 2022 7:09:28 GMT -5
Newmarket was challenging yesterday because of small fields and strong obvious chalk. Sometimes you have to take the obvious IF you want to play certain races.
I don't see such overwhelming favorites today....and treading very lightly
1:15 race 1
#6 FLYING HONORS is Buick/Appleby/Godolphin and getting all of the early $$. #8 HOPE YOU CAN RUN is the latest team of Dettori/Johnston, and I imagine that Frankie D is out to prove himself + this colt made a competitive run vs a quality runner in his prior. #11 OASIS POWER also had a decent race vs quality. A few others debut with potential.
Maybe a small 6-8-11 exacta box and #8 win
1:50 race 2
Godolphin holds a strong hand here also with #1 NATURAL WORLD and #2 NEW LONDON, however Dettori/Johnston return again with #7 KNIGHTSWOOD, and Marquand/Haggas sow up with #4 YONAFIS. Both of these runners are coming off a loss when stepping up.
1-2-4-7 xbox and another win try with the #7 team
2:25 3rd race
imo the most interesting race of the day, albeit only six runners. #3 MAWJ returns after a good 2nd @ RA to a very nice O'Brien runner. Same can be said for #4 MAYLANDANDSEA. Dettori on undefeated top # runner #2 LEZOO, and Loughnane has #5 QUEEN OLLY, who was only a length behind #3 last out and could move forward.
#3 win----too tough and short to go deeper----mark these runners for down the road
3:00 race 4
Unless early wagering success, maybe too tough for me. I scored well on #2 CANDLEFORD last out, however +13lb going 14f as chalk is a tough task. None of the others do much for me---maybe Dettori/Palmer with #12 ZOFFEE or #1 MANDOOB, Balding's #4 SPIRIT MIXER, or Buick on #3 MIDNIGHTS LEGACY
xbox 1-2-3-4-12
3:35 race 5
Not going against #3 INSPIRAL---maybe a small 3/4 or 5 exacta. #4 PROSPEROUS VOYAGE is always competitive, and #5 SANDRINE has consistently good #s.
4:45 race 7
If I stay around this long, a flyer on Boughey's #6 NOVELLO, and a look at Varian's #3 DUSKY LORD
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already a small loss on the 1st with Gosdens popping at a good price
gl!
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Post by tenfurlongs on Jul 8, 2022 7:25:40 GMT -5
Spider had a good day yesterday, winning all but one I think (?) I like it when we agree on non-favorites. But sometimes, you just take the chalk and try to make something with it, build the bankroll for the next day.
1:50-
Have to think it will be one of the two Godolphin's on top, with #2- New London (7-2) winning both his starts here including a C&D victory in April. However, there are five progressive 3yos entered to oppose them: Phantom Flight, Yonafis, Knightswood, War Horse and Swilcan Bridge. #8- War Horse (10-1) interests me the most, and I'll play him each-way at those odds.
EX- 1,2/1,2,4,8,9,11 W/P- 8
2:25-
#3- Mawj (5-2) beat all but one in the Albany Stakes at Royal Ascot, debuted here with a decisive win. #6- Tagline (15-1) is progressive through three starts, not far behind Lezoo last time, would appreciate a hot pace.
EX- 3,6/ALL
TW
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Post by tenfurlongs on Jul 8, 2022 7:29:40 GMT -5
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Post by tenfurlongs on Jul 8, 2022 7:46:44 GMT -5
1:50-
Natural World is currently 20-1, which seems out of line. Gelded after his last, they were trying to make him into a Derby horse but he didn't seem to want to go that far. Turns back in distance, gets good ground, drew nicely in four, son of Frankel seems like a big overlay.
TW
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spiderjohn
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Post by spiderjohn on Jul 8, 2022 8:32:38 GMT -5
Score one for our side, 10f.......generous price though the way the $$ was coming in made me wonder what they knew that we didn't lol
My largest wager today, and when I was fearing the dreaded ofer
onward!
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Post by tenfurlongs on Jul 8, 2022 8:42:09 GMT -5
How on earth did Mawj go off at 3-1 ?! Frankie money $$ ?
Also:
As good a race as anything at Newmarket today:
York 2:40- Summer Stakes (GIII) 3up f&m
#5- Teresa Mendoza (6-1) ships down from Ireland, has improved in last two, maybe she's turning a bit of a corner. #8- Flotus (2-1) is a deserving favorite, just missed to Perfect Power in GI at Royal Ascot.
EX- 5,8/5,6,7,8,10,12
TW
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Post by tenfurlongs on Jul 8, 2022 9:02:16 GMT -5
Newmarket 3:00-
EX- 3,11/2,3,4,7,9,11,12,15
TW
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Post by cherokeescot on Jul 8, 2022 9:15:39 GMT -5
Fascinating to see the Stewards Inquiry live . Frankie didn’t put up much an effort to persuade the stewards while it seemed the winning jockey was pushing for himself to be disqualified 😳
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Post by tenfurlongs on Jul 8, 2022 9:17:48 GMT -5
Fascinating to see the Stewards Inquiry live . Frankie didn’t put up much an effort to persuade the stewards while it seemed the winning jockey was pushing for himself to be disqualified 😳 I thought so too. Talk about transparency! Dawson definitely didn't do himself any favors, got a three-day ban out of it! TW |
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spiderjohn
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Post by spiderjohn on Jul 8, 2022 9:18:18 GMT -5
No 16 underneath?
Ouch
Tri carryover?
If so, does it go to the next race with INSPIRAL and the short field?
INSPIRAL/all?
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Post by tenfurlongs on Jul 8, 2022 9:19:15 GMT -5
Newmarket 3:00- EX- 3,11/2,3,4,7,9,11,12,15 TW Nosed out of a really good exacta score by a 100-1 shot. I've been following Soapy Stevens, should have just bet him to win, but wanted the big $$. Exacta came back ~ $1200 for a buck. TW |
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Post by tenfurlongs on Jul 8, 2022 9:25:12 GMT -5
The way the track is playing, if I'm Rob Hornby on Prosperous Voyage (17-1), I go right to the front and get two lengths on them, then try to let out the rope slowly and see if I can steal it on the line.
TW
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1hooper
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Post by 1hooper on Jul 8, 2022 9:42:01 GMT -5
Check Gosden's blood pressure.
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Post by tenfurlongs on Jul 8, 2022 9:50:54 GMT -5
The way the track is playing, if I'm Rob Hornby on Prosperous Voyage (17-1), I go right to the front and get two lengths on them, then try to let out the rope slowly and see if I can steal it on the line. TW TW |
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Post by tenfurlongs on Jul 8, 2022 9:54:48 GMT -5
A nose short of going 4-for-4, and the best payday of the year. Made a decent w/p bet on Prosperous Voyage, which ended up going off at 20-1! Sorry to see Inspiral lose her unbeaten record, but it wasn't Frankie's fault, she was a bit flat today and the speed-favoring track caught her out.
TW
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Post by tenfurlongs on Jul 8, 2022 10:37:48 GMT -5
TW
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spiderjohn
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Post by spiderjohn on Jul 8, 2022 10:51:32 GMT -5
Your day,10f
Congratulations!
Ended up slightly minus today, though at 1 for 6, I can’t complain
Tomorrow!
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