That seems odd considering he raced near the rail, much closer inside than those two late. Perhaps I missed him being wide early on or the fact he went left across the track after starting in the 20 hole contributed?
Trakus had Rich Strike running 58 feet more than Epicenter and 71 feet more than Zandon.
...and came his last quarter in 24.30, final furlong in 11.83, looking like he was shot out of a cannon after the jock got him stuck behind a tiring runner. Assuming those times are correct, I'm not sure where that sudden burst of previously untapped energy came from. Hoping it wasn't from a needle or a buzzer.
I'm pretty confident that Eric Reed isn't cheating.
A couple of other things to muse: Lucas had said he would only enter if he was in the body of the race and not an AE because he didn't want the post 20. Then, by sheer chance he draws the 20 anyhow. Did that impact his scratch decision?
We don't know the Preakness entrants yet but I predict Epicenter will be the favorite if he runs and Early Voting will be the second choice, and that Rich Strike will be about 6 or 8-1.
Post by mysaladdays on May 16, 2022 3:34:43 GMT -5
I dunno why longshot horses are always considered either chopped liver or there was cheating. (Not enough people asked that question when Baffert was winning though.) It's actually not THAT unusual for a horse to just like a surface, and Rich Strike certainly like CDX.
I remember the same thing happening to Mine That Bird. Turns out he was the real deal. Came back and ran 2nd in Preakness, and 3rd in the Belmont Stakes. So he wasn't a "one-and-done" after all. Seemed like many cappers just developed a dislike for him since he caused them to lose money. LOL
I don't see Eric Reed's record smattered with drug overages like so many of the big boys. As a matter of fact, Rich Strike was one of the 13 in the race who had never run on lasix in his entire career. The other ones comprised the superfecta.
Looking at clocker reports before the derby, Rich Strike was working really well, running 5F splits the same as Zandon's.
Sonny Leon, nerves of steel, simply outrode Prat Flavien at the 1/8 pole and well before that. Jockey understands ground loss, right from the get-go, drops back and takes his horse over to the rail ...and having taught his horse to "go between horses" the rest of his run was so well-executed.
As much as i have always been a lover of long shots i did not wager on this winner. But i am curious as to the massive new top on the tgraph numbers that Rich Strike got in the derby......something like an 8 or 9 point jump.
On a lateral topic, what do you all think of the decision to skip the preakness and belmont? Is it because he can preserve his stud fees based solely on this win versus if he gets beat running in the next two jewels? Pretty disappointing.
And another thing what the hell were the jocks on summer is tommorrow and crown pride thinking??? I actually think crown had a legit chance to run really well but for running a hole in the wind for 6f!
Post by cherokeescot on May 18, 2022 21:11:09 GMT -5
I think by skipping the Preakness the owners are trying to preserve Rich Strike’s stud fee at $2500. I have no problem with the ride on Summer is Tomorrow. The horse is a sprinter and the connections wanted to enjoy the once in a lifetime experience. Not so happy with the ride on Crown Pride ( change of jockey from UAE Derby ) as I felt he could have been held back and been a player at the finish 🙄
damascus - you don't see a lot of 8 point tops on tgraph, but when you do either the horse was just claimed by Jamie Ness or there was a change in something. In this case it was surface.
RS's previous best came in his second lifetime start and his first on dirt. Lots of good 3 year old improve 8 points from their 2nd start as a 2 year old to May of the next year. the poly races at turfway masked his dirt ability. I would be surprised if RS didn't continue to run figs in the same neighborhood as the derby.
also @$%@# that guy who came in give that ride to crown pride. hope they made him swim home.