Help ELK

[oriolegirl]

Hi Eric,
Can you provide me some sheets figs for the Wood, Blue Grass and SA Derby. Best figs. Possible long shots.
Thanks
Steve

[elkurzhal]

Steve, Very sorry man. Just saw this...

Notable Tgraph tops figs from PRIOR to last race. No idea what they ran in the last races yet.

Wood
Mo Donegal 6.5 // there were a lot of faster horses on Tgraph, 3 of them had run in the 2's

Blue Grass
Zandon 2.25 // Smile Happy 2 as a 2 yo, 2.5 at FG

SA Derby
Taiba 2 // Messier 1

Ark Derby
Cyberknife 3.25

Fla Derby
White Abarrio 5

Spiral
Tiz The Bomb 4.75 on poly

[oriolegirl]

Thanks Eric. Any updates on the last bunch of Derby preps? Are you getting them for the Oaks and Derby? Where can I get them?
Steve

[elkurzhal]

the tgraph guys commented on their board about the challenges with some of the dirt figs this spring, with all the poly races they sometime had little to work with on dirt. anyway they flagged some races and made some changes after enough horses ran back. One of thos I think was White Abarrio, they are now showing a 3 for the holy bull.

here are the last couple figs for the contenders. last race/penultimate race
Epicenter 2.5 / 2.5
Zandon 1.5 / 2.25
White Abarrio 1 / 3
Mo Donegal 2.75 / 4.5
Tiz the Bomb 4.75 / 4.75
Crown Pride 2.5 / 7.75
Cyberknife 2.25 / 3.25
Taiba -0.5 / 2
Simplification 3.75 / 2.5
Smile Happy 1.5 / 2.5
Classic Causeway 14.5 / 5
Tawny Port 2.75 / 7
Barber Road 4.5 / 7.25
Un Ojo 11 / 7
Early Voting 3.25 / 5.75
Summer Is Tomorrow 5.5 / 5.5
Messier 1.5 / 1.5
Charge It 2.25 / 2.25
Zozos 3 / 3.5
Happy Jack 8.25 / 8.25
Pioneer of Medina 3 / 3
In Due Time 6 / 6

[elkurzhal]

on the oaks side
Kathleen O 0 / 5
Echo Zulu 6.5 / 4.25
nest 1 / 5.25
Yuugiri 5.5 / 8.25
Desert Dawn 3 / 8.75
Venti 6.25 / 2.5
secret Oath 3.75 / 1.5
GOF 2.5 / 6.5
Hidden Connection 4.5 / 8
bubble rock 5.5 / 4

the rest are slower than 6.

[oriolegirl]

Echo Zulu was a toss for me. Now I'm sure. Like Kathleen O. Was liking Venti Valentine but the last was not good. Think she bounces back and hits the board.
Steve

[oriolegirl]

Any figures for Nostalgic?
Thanks
Steve

[elkurzhal]

Nostalgic 6.5 / 7.25

[Badactor]

Epicenter 2.5 / 2.5
Tiz the Bomb 4.75 / 4.75
Summer Is Tomorrow 5.5 / 5.5
Messier 1.5 / 1.5
Charge It 2.25 / 2.25
Happy Jack 8.25 / 8.25
Pioneer of Medina 3 / 3
In Due Time 6 / 6

Truer? or Falser?

I can safely toss these because
horses that pair up always regress.

OR

I can confidently play these because
horses that pair up always move forward.

I'm too old to learn a new language,
so I'm looking to cut an angle here
and find a short cut with these TG#s.

[elkurzhal]

Dell, this time of year for 3year olds pairs generally mean the next race is likely to be faster. A ton of other variables though.

[elkurzhal]

ThoroGraph posted their sheets with oaks and derby days figs for free on www.ThoroGraph.com under race of the week.

Some interesting stuff, going to be watching for some turf runners on the rail to come back.

Didn’t catch that Kentucky Ghost was vanned off, hope he is doing ok.

Noteable figs
Rich Strike 1.5
Jack Christopher 0.25
Creative Minister 2.0
Strobe 4
Secret Oath 2.0

[1hooper]

Strobe's race (14th) probably didn't get the recognition it deserves.

[elkurzhal]

For sure Hooper. I did hear on a couple podcasts he was getting some hype on the backside, and his works looked on paper like it was deserved. His performance backed it up in spades.

Strobe is a Godolphin (note contest players) for Brad Cox by Into Mischief out of AP Indy mare Flashing (2009 Test & Gazelle winner).

[1hooper]

Strobe replay.