arlington million...arlington park...saturday

[Deleted]

does anyone think that 4-carrick has a chance to beat the 8-untamed domain in this race..??...race 9...free pp's from churchill.kyder.com....9-analize it is favorite...but some top horses in this race...

[DoctorDisaster]

YES.
I didn't look    at it yet but someone must think that..... lol

[richard1937]

Where is Oriole Man--we need his thoughts on the grass races at Arlington? He is
a very good handicapper.






w

[ozzy]

I highly doubt Untamed Domain is the favorite in the Secretariat as that will be Analyze It, but will be backing UD today for sure. I see plenty of pace to set up his late charge with some better racing luck than he had in the last. I like the local charge Captivating Moon as a price play underneath; blinkers On should have him a bit sharper and he is no stranger to the course.

Think Sistercharle rolls in the Beverly D despite top efforts from Dona Bruja and the Euro 3YO Athena.

In the Million, this type of pick usually never works out for me but siding with Century Dream. He gets Lasix, a route of ground, and boes left hand turns over the course (believe he is 4 for 5 which such a setup) so lots to like. He’s 12-1 but even at half the price he holds value. Robert Bruce and Oscar Performance on my exacta and tri tickets.

[tenfurlongs]

Looking at a 50-cent Pick-5 starting with race 8 at a mile on the all-weather:

Race 8-

#4- Navy Armed Guard (12-1)- this is the "big" horse in the Joan Scott barn right now. She's been carefully picking spots for him; overreached in the Lexington, but rebounded nicely with a race over the track here at AP. Last race was clearly a prep. Works are good, pleasantly surprised to see E.T. Baird named.

#7- The Tabulator (2-1) obvious favorite with early speed/class advantages. May have to deal with #8 early on.

#9- Strollin the Bayou (5-1) local connections can't be dismissed at a price.

Race 9-

Dislike #8- Untamed Domain here, hasn't shown much improvement from 2yo form.

#9- Analyze It (2-1) obvious favorite with early speed/class advantages.

#13- Hunting Horn (7-2) was electrifying at Royal Ascot, had no excuse in BEL Dby. Must use despite outpost.

Race 10-

Dislike #9- Athena here, last win was best yet, but ran into buzzsaws today.

#3- Sistercharlie (9-5) is as game as they come, and a deserving favorite.

#4- Dona Bruja (6-1) just missed in this race last year, is a win machine. Training forwardly for this engagement.

#7- Fourstar Crook (9-2) speaking of win machines, can't ignore with Irad up, adaptable to any pace scenario.

Race 11-

Betting against #11- Oscar Performance, who will have to be sent hard from the outside post, and #9- Deauville, who can't seem to find the winner's enclosure.

#2- Spring Quality (8-1) SCRATCHED

#3- Almanaar (5-1) lightly raced 6yo clearly has physical issues, but is GI caliber and has a strong series of works leading up to the race.

#5- Century Dream (12-1) ran with some good ones going a mile last two at Ascot, stretches out for Crisford/Buick gets FTL.

#8- Money Multiplier (6-1) is another who could sit a very nice trip, gets first jump on the deep closers.

Race 12-

#3- Pamina (8-1) improving every time for Dickinson, saves ground and just needs to find a hole.

#7- Madame Milan (20-1) 1/2 sister to Barbaro needs to fire very best shot, not impossible for Lael/Delacour/Centeno team. Upset special!

#13- Beyond Blame (3-1) is probably best of these, but draws out towards the peanut vendor and will need a perfect trip to get there.

pick-5: 4,7,9/9,13/3,4,7/3,5,8/3,7,13- $81

[TW]

Wow, great pick with Carrick in the Secretariat, Bill! I couldn’t see him competing here, what did you like about him?

[shoes]

DQ'd out of the tri in the Million- oh well. Win some, lose some.

[ozzy]

What a call in the Secretariat! Hope you crushed

[quickcall]

Jackie and I threw Carrick in with the two favorites, Analyze It and Hunting Horn. Got lucky, for our $6 bet.

Included him because of Tom Morley, and JR being on him . Morley brings them home at big prices sometimes.

Sorry for the red board, but it was awesome seeing that 4 come flying by at 38-1.

[Deleted]

I am kicking my behind in that I selected my horses at public handicapper a day or so before I looked at the pp,s...and decided not to go track side as I had to set up wi fit in my home , etc, lol...had selected a few others at higher odds as well....I bet carries last time out and loved his former finish times and class and the tracks he raced at and against some peaking horses and would go all out in this race as every thing shouted that he is in top shape...lol....ahh well..wished I had remembered to go along with my first reflections .....happens...now to go see the pay offs at the major tracks....next week...but I know I did select carrack in a contest or more....now to go see....