Prairie Meadows 7/2 & 7/3

[tenfurlongs]

Every Fourth of July weekend Prairie Meadows puts on two very good racing cards, featuring the Iowa Derby (Listed) and Oaks (GIII), the Iowa Distaff and the Cornhusker Handicap (GIII), and two $100K sprints. It's a track I'd like to visit one day, and they've got a casino/hotel on the grounds too. The cards this year feature some horses you may have heard of: Knicks Go, Tenfold, Modernist, Proxy, Nova Rags, Army Wife, and Frank's Rockette.

Friday entries (Derby, Oaks, Cornhusker):  www.equibase.com/static/entry/RaceCardIndexPRM070221USA-EQB.html

Saturday entries:  www.equibase.com/static/entry/RaceCardIndexPRM070321USA-EQB.html



www.brisnet.com/content/2021/06/knicks-go-tops-prairie-meadows-cornhusker-iowa-derby-oaks-on-tap/

www.prairiemeadows.com/racing




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[Badactor]

[Badactor]

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Friday 7/2

PRM R6- Iowa Derby

1- Proxy (4-1) the Godolphin blue silks are everywhere lately, even in Iowa. Ran well when second to Mandaloun in GII Risen Star at FG and fourth to Hot Rod Charlie in the GII La Derby. Stidham rerouted him to the Lexington rather than continue on the Derby trail where he ran an uninspired fourth in the slop. He's been at the Stidham barn at Fair Hill since late April, recording regular breezes and enjoying his working vacation. If he's ready to roll, he'll be tough to beat. Nova Rags (5-1) never seemed like a Derby-type for Mott, but he was stakes-placed in the Sam Davis and Peter Pan. Turned him back to 7F last time but he couldn't keep up with the speed, although that should have sharpened him up nicely for today. It's ironic that under the race conditions Proxy (113lbs) and Nova Rags (116lbs) get in pretty light. 8- Snow House (8-1) is interesting for Brad Cox, very progressive in his three starts but probably a race or two away from competing at this level.

EX- 9/4,7


PRM R7- Iowa Oaks

I think 1- Army Wife (5-2) is a steal at that m/l price. Maker figured he had himself a turf horse (War Front-Arch), but after three duds they tried dirt and away she went. Very quick development this season, with a troubled trip in the Gazelle the only blemish. I just hope Rosario rides her like he's on the best horse and keeps her out of trouble from his rail draw.

EX- 1/2,5


PRM R8- Cornhusker Hcp

Really liking 7- Modernist (5-1) in this. He has really progressed as a 4yo, and although he's been second to Last Judgment twice, I'm hoping circumstances can help him turn the tables today. Last Judgment is very tough when he's on an open lead, but I can't see that today with Knicks Go in the lineup. Knicks Go doesn't seem quite as fierce this season, and he clearly will have to work hard early too. Thinking that Junior will run them down late. Could catch a decent exacta if the two speeds run out, unlikely but worth a small wager.

WIN- 7   EX- 7/3,6




TW

[tenfurlongs]

Saturday 7/3

PRM R7- Iowa Distaff

3- Istan Council (3-1) ran an uncharacteristically poor race when bumped at the start and rank last out, drawing a line through it. No one else in here has company lines like her (Vault, Monomoy Girl). Gets in light to boot. Last four works surrounding the CD debacle are 59 and change bullets, should be sitting on a big race.

EX- 3/1,4,5


PRM R8- Iowa Sprint

1- Special Reserve (9-5) was claimed for $40K at OP while he was in the middle of his progressive upswing in dirt sprints, not sure what former trainer Randy Morse was thinking, unless the horse has "issues." Last two were a second and a win in GIII company. Junior needs to avoid getting put in jail from his rail trip with lots of speed to his outside. 5- Mojo Man (7-2) seems to run his best races at OP, but he's got a chance today if Garcia takes him back and makes a late run. Pretty wide-open affair.

EX- 1,5/3,4,6,7


PRM R9- Saylorville S.

Mott and Alvarado could have a nice weekend in Iowa if 5- Frank's Rockette (3-5) runs her race, nobody should lay a glove on her. Will try exactas with two of the outsiders, as it looks like Saguaro Row is off form, and Quick Decision is taking a big step up off a fifteen month layoff.

EX- 5/3,6




TW
 

[Badactor]

Here comes the good stuff... thank you Mr. Williams!

(...love the blue carpet in the Clubhouse.)

[tc]

Proxy is out. Injured in a workout.

[spiderjohn]

was looking at the same races---pretty much all I will do with Iowa racing.
Two p3s and individual races--not sure about the weather

Friday
race 6
Didn't like #1 PROXY--was a major play against imo. Seriously lowers the price on #2 SUPER STOCK and somewhat on the others. If Santana goes to Iowa, Asmussen plans on doing well. Quite a bit of expected pace in here--
#6 RIGHTANDJUST might be the quickest. #4 FLASH OF MISCHIEF should be there also and seems to like the surface, while #5 STILLETO BOY might push it at some point. Sets it up for stalkers like #2. #9 NOVA RAGS might finally be in easy enough to get up in time without any top level 3yos here. Cox is double-entered with #7 GAGETOWN and #8 SNOW HOUSE. With one or both he will factor in the outcome. I vision #8 SNOW HOUSE having the most potential in here.
#2 win if the price is playable--probably not
exacta box 2-8-9
tri pw 2/8-9/all
p3 2-8-9/1-2/3-4-5-7----2-8-9/1-2/5-7

race 7
I can't go beyond the top two choices--with preference to #2 PAULINES PEARL rebounding from a disappointing KY Oaks effort. #1 ARMY WIFE woke up on Preakness weekend and has been working well @ CD for this. Mott has taken over the training of #5 THE GRASS IS BLUE, so she may improve though maybe not enough here.
#2 win

race 8
Maybe wide open--maybe not if #5 KNICKS GO returns to his better form after weakening last out when returning from Dubai(the curse). Pace should be quick with #4 LAST JUDGEMENT inside. Doesn't leave much else to pick up the pieces imo. #7 MODERNIST seems to be in decent form and has the best back class of the others. If I am live in the p3, I might play a 7/4-5/all tri, hoping that #5 weakens and something else fills in the bottom.

Saturday--this day is not nearly as appealing imo
race 7
Not sure just how good any of these are actually. #1 HIMIKO was very impressive winning @ CD, and has shifted to the Asmussen barn. What does that mean? Santana moves to greener pastures, with Garcia picking up the mount. #5 BLESSED AGAIN comes off a nice effort here, and might be good enough to do it again. #3 ISTAN COUNCIL definitely has the best back form, yet she hasn't won in two years. Bad effort in last though trainer Jones is capable if the mare can hold her class level. She has a top rider for the circuit. Cox runs #4 JOSIE--easy score in with lesser @ Indy.
#1 win
tri pw 1-3-5/1-3-5/all
p3 pw 1-3-5/1-3-5-7/1-5 1-3-5/1/1-2-5

race 8
Wide open sprint. #7 QUICK TEMPO makes his 3yo debut in a curious spot. He might be fast enough to get it done. #1 SPECIAL RESERVE looks to be odds-on after strong competitive efforts on the major circuit. #3 GREELEY AND BEN has the top local rider, and likes to win for a trainer who likes to win. #5 MOJO MAN is in here to hopefully pick up the pieces if the front end collapses. Trainer has been quietly heating up mostly with closer sprinters.
tri pw 3-5/1-3-5-7/all

race 9
Another interesting lower level sprint. #5 FRANKS ROCKETTE is quick, always close and with bridge jumper odds. If she loses(she probably won't), #2 QUICK DECISION is going to have to improve and run her down. #1 SAGUARO ROW has some good form prior, and would be the only stalker to take advantage of a pressured pace and the big weight break.
#1 win

[DoctorDisaster]

Jun 30, 2021 9:29:29 GMT -5 tenfurlongs said:

PRM R8- Cornhusker Hcp

Really liking 7- Modernist (5-1) in this. He has really progressed as a 4yo, and although he's been second to Last Judgment twice, I'm hoping circumstances can help him turn the tables today. Last Judgment is very tough when he's on an open lead, but I can't see that today with Knicks Go in the lineup. Knicks Go doesn't seem quite as fierce this season, and he clearly will have to work hard early too. Thinking that Junior will run them down late. Could catch a decent exacta if the two speeds run out, unlikely but worth a small wager.

WIN- 7   EX- 7/3,6




TW

I'll take it under advisement.
Tenfold cutting back to 9 f interests me.
GL

[UpInClass]

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