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Post by tenfurlongs on Jun 24, 2021 11:36:25 GMT -5
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Post by spiderjohn on Jun 24, 2021 21:03:19 GMT -5
Looking forward to Saturday @ The Curragh----totally different flow than Royal Ascot, though the Irish runners seem on top currently imo.
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Post by spiderjohn on Jun 25, 2021 16:50:19 GMT -5
Curragh
Race 1
#1 SPEAK IN COLOURS is coming out of the best races and has a high win %, hasn’t hit the board on this course. #8 ROMANTIC PROPOSAL is coming off of a very nice 2nd here, beating #16 TERESA MENDOZA, with only one win, while competitive here not in too deep. #4 MAKE A CHALLENGE is a high % winner, with a 11-5-3 record on the course.
Race 2
Not strong on anything here—probably El Paso.
O’Brien’s #5 MORE BEAUTIFUL again has the class over others and with rider Moore. Only one win on the chart, still the barn put her in here…….
The two French shippers are the wild cards—both can win races.
Race 3
Once again I like an O’Brien runner—#4 CADAMOSTO. Comes out of a very hot Royal Ascot G2 last week—will he start? Same with #8 GO BEARS GO Tough loss in the same race. Probably the sensible choices are #5 CASTLE STAR, with spot on course form + a month break, and #6 DR. ZEMPF, an expensive US owned off a nice maiden win on the course. Quite a few others that could improve from finishing behind those mentioned above.
Race 4
The big one……Appleby/Buick have been hot lately, particularly the trainer, if he can carry his streak across the water with #5 HURRICANE LANE. Dettori rides #6 LONE EAGLE, who either wins or is in a photo. Can’t leave out #7 MAC SWINEY coming from two G1s and 3 of 5 on the course. #11 WORDSWORTH seems very capable of out-running his odds and has successful course experience. #4 HIGH DEFINITION has the perfect pedigree and opens at 9/5. The ticket builder shooters may be #1 ARTURO TOSCANINI and #2 EARLSWOOD.
Race 5
Harrington/Foley return with #8 CADILLAC. Barn has been very cold and the colt will be short-priced, however Ireland is where they do best. They also run #3 NJORD. Mullins drops in class while shortening up with #6 TRUE SELF.
#1 DAWN PATROL fill the gimmick.
Good luck!
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Post by tenfurlongs on Jun 26, 2021 7:41:57 GMT -5
Curragh
R1- Couldn't split the top three, so using them all. 4- Make A Challenge (4-1) runs his race most every time, seems to find his best form in the summer, just missed in GII last time. 8- Romantic Proposal (6-1) is also a consistent sort, rounding to peak form in two starts this season, 1/2 length runner-up finish to Sonaiyla in GIII here points her out. 16- Teresa Mendoza (8-1) lightly raced 3yo filly finished just behind Romantic Proposal in that GIII, may have more to offer with only five starts.
EX- 4,8,16/1,4,8,14,15,16
R2- 1- Galtee Mist (5-1) is in peak form right now, carries high weight but she may just be too good for this group. 6- French Rain (8-1) just missed on seasonal debut, never really put it all together last year after smart debut, thinking that O'Brien the Younger has figured her out.
EX- 1,6/1,2,5,6,8,14
R3- 5- Castle Star (5-2) was held back from Royal Ascot to run here, sky is the limit for this progressive 2yo colt. 6- Dr Zempf (4-1) is very interesting, a $570K son of Dark Angel purchased by Peter Brant. Impressive win in only start, they may have a good one here.
EX- 5,6/4,5,6,7,8,9
Newmarket
R3- 2- Cachet (4-1) ran okay at Ascot. comes right back and may appreciate firmer going. 5- Desert Dreamer (7-1) ran mid-pack in GII at Ascot, Oisin Murphy sticks with her so I will too.
EX- 2,5/2,5,9,10,12,13
R4- Scratched down to field of six. Let's see if Hollie Doyle can steal this Listed stakes aboard 4- Outbox (10-1).
WIN- 4
Newcastle
R1- 2- Streamline (15-1) had four solid races to start the season before a dud at Kempton in March. Got a little time off, can come back running. 4- Ejtilaab (5-1) is in fine turf form, just cut back to 6F and won a hot handicap at Epsom, one-for-two on AW.
EX- 2,4/1,2,3,4,6,10,14
R3- 11- Chil Chil (7-1) is in career form, just ran away from Lord Rapscallion at Newmarket last time, is AW 4/1-0-1, take all of that price you can get. Wild card is 13- Diligent Harry (7-2) who is a nose shy of being four-for-four lifetime. 3yo colt has been highly progressive, not sure that stops today.
EX- 11,13/5,7,8,10,11,13
More to follow...
TW
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Post by tenfurlongs on Jun 26, 2021 8:41:01 GMT -5
Newmarket
R5- 1- Kinross (5-2) showed little in the desert this winter, but his reappearance at Haydock was a solid win under Frankie Dettori, maybe Hollie Doyle can continue that form today. With Thanks (10-1) looks interesting for Haggas/Marquand. Clearly relishes the 7F distance, finished well behind the top one in last but should come on for that run, price should be right.
EX- 1,9/1,2,4,7,8,9 1,9 scratched.
Newcastle
R4- Northumberland Vase, consolation race for horses that didn't make the field for the Plate. 6- Raymond (12-1) kept poking at me from the PPs, saying "look at my form", so I did and I'll take a flyer with him. Probably not as good as some of these on their best days, but he's on his best days, so there you go. 15- Indigo Times (12-1) has impeccable form if you toss the turf try two back, steps up in class but deserves the shot.
6,15/2,4,6,7,9,15,17
R5- Northumberland Plate, a field of twenty going 2mi 56yds on the AW, always a spectacle and a race that seasons are built around and up to. 4- Watersmeet (20-1) will be a huge price, but I couldn't stop thinking "why not?" 10yo gelding can still bring it, had a prep at Wolverhampton in February, was fourth in this race in 2018. Turn back the clock! 7- Dubious Affair (7-1) should be a hot ticket after just missing in the Queen's Vase at Royal Ascot.
EX- 4,7/1,2,3,4,7,12,18
Chester
R3- With most of the top names engaged elsewhere today, trainer Mark Johnston reaches out to Royston Ffrench to ride 8- Sibaaq (7-2), a progressive son of Dark Angel, which has a win and a second in two tries this season. 3- Cairn Island (5-1) could be the main danger to the top choice, following a third-place finish behind Creative Force and Significantly, both of which won at Royal Ascot.
EX- 3,8/2,3,7,8
More to follow...
TW
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1hooper
UpInClass Steward
Posts: 6,744
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Post by 1hooper on Jun 26, 2021 9:00:56 GMT -5
Hoping a couple of the Galileo's outrun their odds in Irish Derby.
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eye123
UpInClass Steward
Posts: 2,719
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Post by eye123 on Jun 26, 2021 9:28:15 GMT -5
Will take a little shot here (4th) with High and Hurricane in the one,two spot with the 3,7,9 filling in third for the Tri.
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Post by spiderjohn on Jun 26, 2021 9:36:13 GMT -5
Late note that TwinSpires is offering $.50 tris on Curragh races. Worked for me in the 3rd.
So far on the plus side with two more races to go before a CD/Bel afternoon
Good luck!
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Post by tenfurlongs on Jun 26, 2021 9:43:35 GMT -5
Curragh
R4- 5- Hurricane Lane (5-1) had a decent run in the Epsom Derby for third in his first try at 12F, may not have cared for deeper ground, taken to improve today on better surface. 11- Wadsworth (15-1) is just the kind of O'Brien horse that wins these things as a "surprise". Slowly progressive in four starts, son of Galileo just missed in the Queen's Vase, now cuts back in distance. Upset special.
EX- 5,11/2,4,5,6,9,11
TW
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Post by cherokeescot on Jun 26, 2021 9:56:38 GMT -5
What a race ! Thought Hurricane Lane has no chance turning for home and that Frankie had stolen it !
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Post by spiderjohn on Jun 26, 2021 10:06:30 GMT -5
Appleby is winning everything everywhere. big finish and back to back tris my way.
coming back here @ 10f might be asking a lot from CADILLAC, with TRUE SELF looking very strong here imo>
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Post by tenfurlongs on Jun 26, 2021 10:19:08 GMT -5
That was one of the best races of the year in my opinion. Good for Hurricane Lane for running down the loose leader at the wire.
Curragh
R6- Seems a bit odd that Cadillac and Ontario show up in this race together with only one win between them since they finished 2 and 3 behind Mac Swiney here last summer. Don't like either one today. 5- Thunder Kiss (10-1) has done little wrong in seven starts, took the Munster Oaks last out and turns back to 10F today. Handles all surfaces. 6- True Self (7-2) is a winning machine when healthy, and quite a world traveler to boot. Took down the big prize in Saudi, just missed in GI here last month. Big chance today.
EX- 5,6/1,2,5,6,7
TW
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Post by spiderjohn on Jun 26, 2021 10:29:04 GMT -5
Ended the morning with 5th exacta and 3rd consecutive tri.
good start for the day! encouraging...
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Post by tenfurlongs on Jun 26, 2021 10:49:04 GMT -5
Curragh
R7- If 2- Sinawann improves from his seasonal debut, he likely wins. I really like 7- Fourhometwo (9-2) to beat him again.
EX- 7/2,6,9,11
TW
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Post by tenfurlongs on Jun 26, 2021 11:18:58 GMT -5
Curragh
R7- 4- Bucky Larson (12-1) ran well enough on reappearance, wants good ground and gets it, draws the rail so trip will be key. 15- Dream Tale (8-1) has won two-of-five this year, a mile over good ground is what he wants. Still improving.
EX- 4,15/4,7,10,14,15,16
TW
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Post by tenfurlongs on Jun 26, 2021 11:53:47 GMT -5
CurraghR1- Couldn't split the top three, so using them all. 4- Make A Challenge (4-1) runs his race most every time, seems to find his best form in the summer, just missed in GII last time. 8- Romantic Proposal (6-1) is also a consistent sort, rounding to peak form in two starts this season, 1/2 length runner-up finish to Sonaiyla in GIII here points her out. 16- Teresa Mendoza (8-1) lightly raced 3yo filly finished just behind Romantic Proposal in that GIII, may have more to offer with only five starts. EX- 4,8,16/1,4,8,14,15,16 Result: 8,16,11 Exacta: $34.60R2- 1- Galtee Mist (5-1) is in peak form right now, carries high weight but she may just be too good for this group. 6- French Rain (8-1) just missed on seasonal debut, never really put it all together last year after smart debut, thinking that O'Brien the Younger has figured her out. EX- 1,6/1,2,5,6,8,14 Result: 14,9,6R3- 5- Castle Star (5-2) was held back from Royal Ascot to run here, sky is the limit for this progressive 2yo colt. 6- Dr Zempf (4-1) is very interesting, a $570K son of Dark Angel purchased by Peter Brant. Impressive win in only start, they may have a good one here. EX- 5,6/4,5,6,7,8,9 Result: 8,5,9NewmarketR3- 2- Cachet (4-1) ran okay at Ascot. comes right back and may appreciate firmer going. 5- Desert Dreamer (7-1) ran mid-pack in GII at Ascot, Oisin Murphy sticks with her so I will too. EX- 2,5/2,5,9,10,12,13 Result: 15,5,2R4- Scratched down to field of six. Let's see if Hollie Doyle can steal this Listed stakes aboard 4- Outbox (10-1). WIN- 4 Result: 4,2,5 Win $11.20 (x5)Newcastle
R2- 2- Streamline (15-1) had four solid races to start the season before a dud at Kempton in March. Got a little time off, can come back running. 4- Ejtilaab (5-1) is in fine turf form, just cut back to 6F and won a hot handicap at Epsom, one-for-two on AW. EX- 2,4/1,2,3,4,6,10,14 Result: 4,12,6R3- 11- Chil Chil (7-1) is in career form, just ran away from Lord Rapscallion at Newmarket last time, is AW 4/1-0-1, take all of that price you can get. Wild card is 13- Diligent Harry (7-2) who is a nose shy of being four-for-four lifetime. 3yo colt has been highly progressive, not sure that stops today. EX- 11,13/5,7,8,10,11,13 Result: 11,5,13 Exacta $131.40 More to follow... TW |
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Post by tenfurlongs on Jun 26, 2021 11:57:31 GMT -5
NewmarketR5- 1- Kinross (5-2) showed little in the desert this winter, but his reappearance at Haydock was a solid win under Frankie Dettori, maybe Hollie Doyle can continue that form today. With Thanks (10-1) looks interesting for Haggas/Marquand. Clearly relishes the 7F distance, finished well behind the top one in last but should come on for that run, price should be right.
EX- 1,9/1,2,4,7,8,9 1,9 scratched. NewcastleR4- Northumberland Vase, consolation race for horses that didn't make the field for the Plate. 6- Raymond (12-1) kept poking at me from the PPs, saying "look at my form", so I did and I'll take a flyer with him. Probably not as good as some of these on their best days, but he's on his best days, so there you go. 15- Indigo Times (12-1) has impeccable form if you toss the turf try two back, steps up in class but deserves the shot. 6,15/2,4,6,7,9,15,17 Result: 7,14,9,6R5- Northumberland Plate, a field of twenty going 2mi 56yds on the AW, always a spectacle and a race that seasons are built around and up to. 4- Watersmeet (20-1) will be a huge price, but I couldn't stop thinking "why not?" 10yo gelding can still bring it, had a prep at Wolverhampton in February, was fourth in this race in 2018. Turn back the clock! 7- Dubious Affair (7-1) should be a hot ticket after just missing in the Queen's Vase at Royal Ascot. EX- 4,7/1,2,3,4,7,12,18 Result: 16,12,17,10 The exacta came back $1342.10 for a dollar with the winner paying $91.60.
ChesterR3- With most of the top names engaged elsewhere today, trainer Mark Johnston reaches out to Royston Ffrench to ride 8- Sibaaq (7-2), a progressive son of Dark Angel, which has a win and a second in two tries this season. 3- Cairn Island (5-1) could be the main danger to the top choice, following a third-place finish behind Creative Force and Significantly, both of which won at Royal Ascot. EX- 3,8/2,3,7,8 Result: 7,1,8More to follow... TW |
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Post by tenfurlongs on Jun 26, 2021 11:59:05 GMT -5
CurraghR4- 5- Hurricane Lane (5-1) had a decent run in the Epsom Derby for third in his first try at 12F, may not have cared for deeper ground, taken to improve today on better surface. 11- Wordsworth (15-1) is just the kind of O'Brien horse that wins these things as a "surprise". Slowly progressive in four starts, son of Galileo just missed in the Queen's Vase, now cuts back in distance. Upset special. EX- 5,11/2,4,5,6,9,11 Result: 5,6,11 Exacta $54.60TW |
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Post by tenfurlongs on Jun 26, 2021 12:00:00 GMT -5
That was one of the best races of the year in my opinion. Good for Hurricane Lane for running down the loose leader at the wire. CurraghR6- Seems a bit odd that Cadillac and Ontario show up in this race together with only one win between them since they finished 2 and 3 behind Mac Swiney here last summer. Don't like either one today. 5- Thunder Kiss (10-1) has done little wrong in seven starts, took the Munster Oaks last out and turns back to 10F today. Handles all surfaces. 6- True Self (7-2) is a winning machine when healthy, and quite a world traveler to boot. Took down the big prize in Saudi, just missed in GI here last month. Big chance today. EX- 5,6/1,2,5,6,7 Result: 8,1,6TW |
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Post by tenfurlongs on Jun 26, 2021 12:01:00 GMT -5
Curragh
R7- If 2- Sinawann improves from his seasonal debut, he likely wins. I really like 7- Fourhometwo (9-2) to beat him again. EX- 7/2,6,9,11 Result: 7,8,9TW |
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Post by tenfurlongs on Jun 26, 2021 12:07:25 GMT -5
Curragh R7- 4- Bucky Larson (12-1) ran well enough on reappearance, wants good ground and gets it, draws the rail so trip will be key. 15- Dream Tale (8-1) has won two-of-five this year, a mile over good ground is what he wants. Still improving. EX- 4,15/4,7,10,14,15,16 Result: 14,15,3 That one hurt. Winner Sirjack Thomas ($54.00) beat Dream Tale to the hole, getting first run, and Dream Tale came up a half length short. Exacta 15/14 was paying $662 for $2. Still a small profit for the day, and all the racing was really good.TW |
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Post by tenfurlongs on Jun 26, 2021 12:16:09 GMT -5
Ended the morning with 5th exacta and 3rd consecutive tri. good start for the day! encouraging... Your handicapping was on today spider, good work. Couldn't see Cadillac winning, that barn has been ice cold. Also noted that the best O'Brien the Elder could do today was a second and a third, very out of character. Here's the slate of big races for the rest of the season (per Racing Post): Big Race Entries SANDOWN Coral-Eclipse (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m1f209y 08 Jul 21 NEWMARKET (JULY) Each Way Extra At bet365 Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo) 6f 08 Jul 21 NEWMARKET (JULY) Princess Of Wales's Tattersalls Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m4f 08 Jul 21 LEOPARDSTOWN Irish Stallion Farms EBF Stanerra Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) (3yo+) 1m6f 09 Jul 21 NEWMARKET (JULY) bet365 Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo) 1m2f 09 Jul 21 NEWMARKET (JULY) bet365 Trophy (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (4yo+) 1m6f 09 Jul 21 NEWMARKET (JULY) Tattersalls Falmouth Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m 10 Jul 21 NEWMARKET (JULY) bet365 Bunbury Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+) 7f 10 Jul 21 YORK John Smith's Cup Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 1m2f56y 10 Jul 21 NEWMARKET (JULY) Darley July Cup Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Cl1 (3yo+) 6f 11 Jul 21 FAIRYHOUSE Irish Stallion Farms EBF Brownstown Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) (3yo+) 7f 15 Jul 21 LEOPARDSTOWN Green Room Meld Stakes (Group 3) (3yo+) 1m1f 17 Jul 21 CURRAGH Paddy Power Sapphire Stakes (Group 2) (3yo+) 5f 17 Jul 21 CURRAGH Juddmonte Irish Oaks (Group 1) (Fillies) (3yo) 1m4f 17 Jul 21 NEWBURY Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes (GBB Race) Cl2 (2yo) 5f34y 18 Jul 21 CURRAGH Romanised Minstrel Stakes (Group 2) (3yo+) 7f 18 Jul 21 CURRAGH Kilboy Estate Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) (3yo+) 1m1f 24 Jul 21 ASCOT Moet & Chandon International Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+) 7f 24 Jul 21 ASCOT King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Qipco Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m3f211y 27 Jul 21 GOODWOOD Qatar Lennox Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo+) 7f 27 Jul 21 GOODWOOD Al Shaqab Goodwood Cup Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Cl1 (3yo+) 2m 28 Jul 21 GOODWOOD Qatar Sussex Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m 29 Jul 21 GOODWOOD Qatar Nassau Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m1f197y 30 Jul 21 GOODWOOD Unibet Golden Mile Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 1m 30 Jul 21 GOODWOOD King George Qatar Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo+) 5f 31 Jul 21 GOODWOOD Qatar Lillie Langtry Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m6f 31 Jul 21 GOODWOOD Unibet Stewards' Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+) 6f 08 Aug 21 CURRAGH Keeneland Phoenix Stakes (Group 1) (2yo) 6f 18 Aug 21 YORK Juddmonte International Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f56y 19 Aug 21 YORK Goffs UK Premier Yearling Stakes (GBB Race) Cl2 (2yo) 6f 19 Aug 21 YORK Darley Yorkshire Oaks (Group 1) (British Champions Series) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m3f188y 20 Aug 21 YORK Coolmore Wootton Bassett Nunthorpe Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Cl1 (2yo+) 5f 09 Sep 21 DONCASTER Weatherbys Scientific £200,000 2-Y-O Stakes (GBB Race) Cl2 (2yo) 6f111y 11 Sep 21 LEOPARDSTOWN Irish Champion Stakes (Group 1) (3yo+) 1m2f 12 Sep 21 CURRAGH Comer Group International Irish St. Leger (Group 1) (3yo+) 1m6f 02 Oct 21 NEWMARKET £150,000 Tattersalls October Auction Stakes (GBB Race) Cl2 (2yo) 6f 02 Oct 21 REDCAR William Hill Two Year Old Trophy (Listed Race) Cl1 (2yo) 5f217y 03 Oct 21 LONGCHAMP Qatar Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe (Group 1) (3yo+ No Geldings) (Grand Course) (Turf) (3yo+) 1m4f TW |
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Post by spiderjohn on Jun 26, 2021 12:25:10 GMT -5
Thanx 10f—-$.50 tris and smaller fields worked today.
Didn’t play anyone to win.
Like the asmussen shipper in the 2nd @ Belmont
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