Thanks Shoes & SpyderJ... shoes...keeping in mind I have never looked at work videos before, I just put "observations/ thoughts" down as I watched: Bourbonic 1st in company: Dynamic One / Bourbonic = ok work neither seemed to drive hard, (stable mates) but Dynamic pulled away late 2 nd Solo one looked smooth, strong (did seem to slip coming out of turn or switch leads?)
Regarding Obesos - do you think he was distracted - when I watched back it almost looked like he was just ticked and pulling cuz the rider was trying to hold him back so the work mate could get far enough in front to chase??
@ sypder - great advise thx. I do understand the value of trainer patterns but dunno how to find it or track it. I'm only casual better so it doesn't make sense to spend 20 on a card i'm only going to bet 50 on. I agree with your thoughts on intent too, I recognize im over simplifying a work where I note that a horse did/ didn't pull away etc. because I have no idea what 'the plan' was...
One I like a lot from works is Soup and Sandwich (just visuals): 1st Came late seemed to drive hard - smooth I liked him 2nd held back hard, but seems really interested wants to win, pulled away by 3 the way he was being worked made me wonder if he was a closer but seems not from the Bris style I saw But then I read how limited his starts are (and the notes about how skinny he seemed when he arrived) and seems unlikely....maybe a piece?
@ Spyderjohn, just reading back through comments saw you "didn't like his action", from a coaching perspective can you elaborate, do you just mean his stride, how he runs? - thx
Last Edit: Apr 26, 2021 13:11:58 GMT -5 by diablo313
Post by spiderjohn on Apr 26, 2021 21:23:25 GMT -5
I watched his work a week ago—I thought that maybe his head was too high and he was also high-stepping.
I missed the FL Derby, and honestly have never watched S&S race. So I might be totally wrong about him.
Bet whomever YOU like.....he will be easy to spot during the race, and my guess is that he will be forwardly placed.
By this time, the works should probably be for exercise, track familiarity and taking off the edge. I wouldn’t want to see anyone I like going in :46 or :59 at this close. Too late to work for fitness.
Post by mysaladdays on Apr 30, 2021 1:56:48 GMT -5
All I'm looking for in works is horses who seem like they are getting over the track very well, not concerned about their speed, but the ones who make running at CDX look effortless. Right now it appears that I will have to go back and watch them all again, but Helium and Sainthood looked good to me on that angle.
Anyone else have thoughts on the ones who just floated over the track at Churchill?
I'll go on record here but if there were a Belmont Future Wager, Dynamic One would be my pick. Not sure what he'll do Saturday but think he will be ultra competitive in the Belmont Stakes.
I agree with you. If you go back to when Solemini raced, they have similar numbers. Solemini was much better than he ran, but he was a head case and one that Baffert didn't figure out. Loved his pedigree though for going long. Dynamic One reminds me of him except not crazy.
I do agree with you that those 2 50-1 shots did both look like they were getting over the track well. I, too am going to rewatch all of the works again.
Okay, well feel free to update me in this topic if you "see" anything.
Going to Oaklawn today, it's great weather and tired of handicapping anyway. They have the most amazing setup in the infield......nothing is lacking, it's like A+++. Nothing was left out. So very pleasant in every way.
I took some photos last week and will post after all this TC racing stuff is over with.