Post by bobtailnag on Mar 5, 2021 12:56:34 GMT -5
3 points to note – 6 of the 8 runners are coming in with just a maiden win. There are 4 speed types, two E8's, one E7 and one E6 (Freedom Fighter was only 2 races and wired one and just missed wiring the second, hence he's really an E8.) and while there is one S type, none of the four none speed types have never faced a hot early pace that we might see Saturday.
Highly Motivated 8/5 is the class of the race having won the Nyquist easily last out.
Freedom Fighter 5/2 tried to wire the San Vicente last out but got caught 4 steps from the wire. I have to believe that Mr Baffert has him primed for a good one.
Capo Kane 5/1 made a nice try to wire the Withers last out but ran out of gas a few yards from the wire but held on for the show. That was a 1-1/8th race and this one is a flat mile so you have to take a serious look at him.
Crowded Trade 9/2 broke from the gate last but able to past them all by the time he got to the wire. It was his maiden but class tells all and Chad knows how to train them. If you can be 9/2, I think that would be a good bet.
Last week we saw a $90.00 winner eat our lunches. Upon further revue that filly's previous race had shown some significant improvement – she just didn't look like she belonged there. That being said, The Reds 30/1 just broke his maiden here at a 1-1/8th and was the betting favorite to boot. Mr Kimmel
has dismounted the rider that won that race in favor of one that wins 22% of the time and has won 38% of Kimmel's last 8 races. I am not predicting a win here but you might want to at least think he has a shot of hitting the board.