OP Saturday

[bobtailnag]

R5 Southwest Swig 9/2 Door-2-Door?
Change Direction 15/0
Wyoming Conquest 3/1

Swig is scratched, replaced with The Big Bluff - broke his maiden un a sloppy track.

R6 He's meant To Be 10/1 Oldest angle in horse racing – drop in class and adds a top jockey
Ace Destroyer 6/1
Carpe Victoriam 3/1

R7 Take Two To Tango 10/1 Fastest horse in the race\
Shoplifted 8/5 Drops out of graded stakes company in to OC40000 company. Should beat these.
Green Light Go 5/2. First go for new barn after 8 month rest but Drof usually has them ready after rests..

R8 Flagstaff 8/5
Seven Nation Army 9/2

R9 My Grace 3/1
Saras Home 9/2
Sputwink Lane 7/2

[tenfurlongs]

Thanks for doing these analyses bobtail. I've started looking at Oaklawn every day for spot plays. I also noted their purse structure, MSW $82,000 and AOC $85,000 is large! I see Nick Zito is back again this winter, and I'm sure Mr. Lukas is enjoying his nights at the Casino.

Not sure who is making the m/l odds down there, but in Race 3, #8- Perfect Impression (8-1) will be lucky to be half of that price as possible lone speed for Cox/Geroux. #5- Golden Grant (5-1) may be overlooked in the wagering but hasn't missed the exacta while dirt sprinting, may move up getting FTL. 

EX- 5,8/All

Hopefully it isn't too wet today. Good luck!



TW

[bobtailnag]

I was surprised to see Cox give up on Perfect after a single race, especially since she was a Winstar filly and she ran strong for the first half mile. I assumed either he saw a problem with her or Winstar wanted to get rid of her. Her pace pars from that win are only a half step below Overdresseds average.