Post by mysaladdays on Nov 7, 2020 17:38:31 GMT -5
not that anyone really want's to be reminded of it I hope I'm not the only one. I don't bum about losing, only when I lose and it's close.
This was mine, Race 5 on Friday. I usually get one like this every year but never walk away with the big bucks. (I guess that means keep trying....or quit?). Had tier 1 and tier 2 reversed---that is my downfall, having the right horses in wrong tiers. But also wanted to say, I like an elegant ticket. I am not a "kitchen sink" player.....I have no interest in using more than 3 horses per tier, and I actually never do.
Post by tenfurlongs on Nov 7, 2020 18:51:00 GMT -5
My heartbreak tickets were the ones I failed to construct. Four turf races on Saturday. All four won by Europeans, and I’m left standing here with my...phone in my hand. Did have the Turf triple, but big deal. I played some limited rolling pick-3s, but how did I not have Glass Slippers-Knicks Go-Audarya?! If I hit that, I’m out for the whole shebang. Europe-All-Europe in pick 3s all day and I would have won a truckload of cash. “I consider myself the stupidest man on the face of the earth.” I hate expensive lessons...lol.
Tenfurlongs. I needed a few Euros to make a nice score. Had myself set up for pick 3 payouts of $500-$1100. Needed War of Will and then the Euros Kameko, Peaceful and Lord North and neither were a factor. Was the first time I ever started a pick 3 with a 73-1 shot but it’s not what you start, it’s what you finish. Steve
4 of 5 in the early pick-5. I singled Fair Maiden in the 3d, which was a competitive race allowing myself to get beat by a Baffert. Guess I never learn. Retrospective regret, not singling Gamine, which would’ve allowed me 3 horses in the third. Of course, maybe I still don’t use the Baffert because, well, I never learn.
Fairly happy with my handicapping and wagering over the two days. If I had a redux of the late Pick 5 and late Pick 4 yesterday that would be great considering I singled Dayattheoffice on both and could have easily spread a bit more, especially considering how well NYRA horses were performing. Sucks to have tabbed a $62 winner (Fire at Will) and essentially not profit from it... ugh Friday’s wagers: Pick 5: 6,12,14/ 1,2,4,7,11/ 3/ 3,5/ 1,5 Pick 4: 1,2,4,7,11/ 3/ 3,5/ 1,5
Feel I did fine today and while I hit some nice plays, a huge score wasn’t in the cards as I was not going to use Whitmore in the Sprint and missed the Mile completely. That Juv Fillies yesterday will haunt me for a bit.
It was the Whitmore race. i am happy for the old timer and kicking myself for not including him with his perpetual late kick so i cashed nothing on a very bettable race. But the worst thing from this race was the incredibly dangerous ride by Ricardo Santana whose horse Echo Town (who i bet on) was literally turned sideways in the upper stretch bumping into and blocking two other horses just as they were starting their kick. It was like a pick laid for Whitmore that allowed him to slide off the rail and into a beautiful stretch run. Santana should be suspended a couple of weeks for that.
I actually did bet Order of Australia to WP. I saw him entered Friday in a non-BC race and wondered why O'Brien brought him for that? He scratched and showed up Saturday after the scratch? They obviously wanted him in the BC. On form I couldn't get him there but it nagged at me enough to play the saver. My heartbreak came when the horse I keyed Lope Y Fernandez had issues only to come fogging and just miss second which would have given me a very healthy exacta.
My heartbreak actually involved a jockey and a scratched top selection rather than a ticket. Copied and reposted with obvious permission are my comments for the BC Mile top selection:
9 NINTH RACE (3:15 P.M. EST) FanDuel Breeders’ Cup Mile Presented By PDJF (Grade I) 1 Mile on the Turf for 3 year olds & up. Purse $2,000,000.00
(9) ONE MASTER is a 6 year old mare who owns 3 Group I victories but none at this distance. A “master” at 7 furlongs she comes up short without being embarrassed when trying to go a furlong further. She ran 5th in the BC Mile in 2018 at Churchill but was only beaten 1 length for all the money. I like the 6 furlong Group I prep race the connections chose before shipping, a race where she finished well for 3rd, beaten ½ length. Pierre-Charles Boudot comes stateside to keep the mount and he knows her well. In a race that always comes down to trips, I can see her settling midpack and searching for a seam to close through when the serious running begins. Hoping she joins the trio of previous high priced BC Mile winners that occupy my bio page, I will make her the 2020 “Upset Special”, courtesy of LARRY’S PICKS!
Of course, ONE MASTER scratches and Boudot inherits the mount on the A.E. monster price winner riding flawlessly for his 2nd high priced win on the day! The only good omen coming out of the race as 3 "Irish" breds made up the trifecta was that my favorite Irish pulled off the huge win over Clemson many hours later! By far, the bright spot of the day for me.
Right about the All button Shoes. someone on here at one point suggested for Tri's and super's that strategic use of the all button can make a big difference for example in a tri bet instead of using All in the third leg use it in the middle and then put your selected horses in the 3d leg so that way you catch the longshot who gets up for second. I didnt do it Friday when Hotrod Charlie at 99-1 cost me the very healthy 10cent super.
Tex i also cashed the WP on Order of Australia but alas only for $5wp. I keep telling myself i have to up my minimum wager so if it hits it is very worthwhile but on a day like Breeders Cup there is so much action and on the fly wagers, friends asking for wagers etc that things get lost. Still cant see the harm in tossing in a few viable longshots like that. Any Obrien horse getting first time lasix and having been flown over has a punchers chance so why not.
an extremely fortunate weekend my way--5th race tri Friday largest that I have ever hit, was ahead Friday otherwise and won Saturday
missed opportunities: 1. missing out on the late p5 Friday, where I singled #3 in the 8th and was beaten late by my 2nd choice. 2. losing the late p4 Saturday by not including Bafferts(used the 73-1 #15) 3. loving OUT OF AUSTRALIA Friday, but not putting him on top other than p4 Saturday. CIRCUS MAXIMUS was my key runner, and would have had tri if #1 had got up in time.
4. finding out that I omitted the 5th race Saturday from the uic contest, where I thought that I had selected KNICKS GO