elk friday thoughts and picks... Nov 5, 2020 13:11:38 GMT -5
Post by elkurzhal on Nov 5, 2020 13:11:38 GMT -5
1 - Saffa's Day - Same first out TG fig as Nashville... Asmussen's jump big 2nd out, even when the first was good.
2 - The Grass is Blue - showed some talent 1st out, but got a huge TG on the move to Chad
3 - Don Juan Kitten - a Kittens Joy moves to the Maker barn and is 6-1, where do I sign up...
4 - Amy's Challenge - tough race Amy's Challenges best could win, and I like that she got a little break and came back working sharp. 4-1 isn't great value though...
not-BC Marathon - Mirinaque's South American TG figs fit here and he's huge bomb...
BCJSprint - Mighty Gurkha breaks really well from the gate for a euro, adds blinkers has enough speed to get a 1 wide trip. Young Holly Doyle is a tremendous finisher for young woman, fully expect her to carry him across late. Golden Pal and Bodenheimer also in play
BCJTurf - Abarta ran a really odd and unfocused race last time, but the parts where he ran, she showed a lot of talent, experience and blinkers should keep in on business here, inside draw gets him a nice inside/outside closing trip and Rispoli is a tremendous turf rider. New Mandate and Outadore the other I like best.
BCJF - Crazy Beautiful is a deep closer who ran up close last time chasing a lose leader, gets back to closing here and simply ravishing shouldn't have it so easy up front. TG figs are just a few points off the others and she paired up last time, a 3-4 point top here very possible.
BCJFT - 3 horse race with Miss Amulet, Aunt Pearl, Editor at Large. Draw hurt Editor the most, I'll be heavier on Miss Amulet and Aunt Pearl
BCJuvy - Classier doesn't have Baffert's usual winning 1st out sprinter work pattern. Much more like a horse he's getting ready to stretch out. Seems to run fast effortlessly and is a beast checking in at 1177 lbs. Expecting him to sit just off JW close enough to make him uncomfortable, and out gut him to the short wire. JW, Reinvestment Risk, Essential Quality, and Likeable all also look like nice horses. would like to be live to all of them in the pick(n)'s...
xpress bet account loaded with two BCBC entries, hopefully the Irish beating Clemson is the 2nd biggest win in South Bend this weekend!