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Post by UpInClass on Sept 9, 2020 10:21:30 GMT -5
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1hooper
UpInClass Steward
Posts: 6,731
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Post by 1hooper on Oct 14, 2020 9:11:50 GMT -5
TDN.
This seasons dual Classic-winning filly Love (Ire) (Galileo {Ire}) is likely to bypass the Breeders Cup and is probably done for the year, trainer Aidan O'Brien said on Tuesday. Love was scratched from her last intended target, the G1 Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe, when the ground came up soft.
I don't think Love will go to the Breeders Cup,@ O'Brien said. At the moment we're thinking that she's had a busy enough time and we trained her hard for the Arc. Obviously that was her big target in the autumn and she was trained hard for it, and with a view to keeping her in training next year I think the lads are maybe leaving her for this year. So there is a strong possibility that she won't run anymore this year.
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1hooper
UpInClass Steward
Posts: 6,731
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Post by 1hooper on Oct 14, 2020 9:13:58 GMT -5
BloodHorse.
Kameko, the QIPCO Two Thousand Guineas (G1) hero who had been a leading contender for the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (G1) at Ascot Oct. 17, will not run in the QIPCO-sponsored event, his connections outlined Oct. 14.
Trained by Andrew Balding for Qatar Racing Limited, whose founders are involved in the backing of Champions Day, Kameko will not line up because of the ground but is due to head to the U.S. for next month's Breeders' Cup meeting at Keeneland.
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Post by UpInClass on Oct 19, 2020 9:37:17 GMT -5
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Post by tenfurlongs on Oct 20, 2020 5:45:02 GMT -5
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Post by elkurzhal on Oct 20, 2020 8:02:16 GMT -5
bris usually has a contenders file out pretty early, anyone seen a link?
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Post by tenfurlongs on Oct 20, 2020 11:32:02 GMT -5
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Post by Badactor on Oct 20, 2020 13:08:25 GMT -5
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Post by tenfurlongs on Oct 20, 2020 13:33:29 GMT -5
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Post by Badactor on Oct 22, 2020 10:32:57 GMT -5
Amblin through the entries...
I call "DIBS" on this guy in the Juvenile. Million Dollar Yearling! Sharp. Just worked fastest of 40.
Baffert, Spielberg and me... an award winning combination.
IMDb pages: edit: out
Winner today @ Del Mar...
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Post by spiderjohn on Oct 24, 2020 8:46:09 GMT -5
Even with the concerning conditions, some nice juveniles will be shipping for the BC. I expect ms.Harrington to have Cadillac in the 2yo colt turf, and a shooter Oonandata in the filly version. Good chance to see Cayenne Pepper in the F/M turf.
Gosden seldom bothers with this—any idea about O’Brien and the others?
Not touching NYbreds today, and the Kee card looks like a weekday card from Ellis——el paso
Less than 2 weeks!
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Post by spiderjohn on Oct 24, 2020 15:14:29 GMT -5
Thanx for the updates, 10f——in my haste, I left out the tour towards New Mandate—-from a different barn......
Should be interesting since we have watched a lot of racing on soft/heavy euro surfaces lately.
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Post by tenfurlongs on Oct 25, 2020 11:11:42 GMT -5
Update on The Lir Jet, John Gosden-trained runners:
TW
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Post by tenfurlongs on Oct 28, 2020 6:02:23 GMT -5
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Post by tenfurlongs on Oct 31, 2020 18:03:58 GMT -5
Update on Aidan O'Brien runners:
TW
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1hooper
UpInClass Steward
Posts: 6,731
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Post by 1hooper on Oct 31, 2020 18:23:36 GMT -5
Thanks TW.
I'm always looking for the European horse that is going to get his ground and is adding Lasix. Been profitable over the years.
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Post by elkurzhal on Nov 1, 2020 7:01:48 GMT -5
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1hooper
UpInClass Steward
Posts: 6,731
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Post by 1hooper on Nov 1, 2020 14:12:15 GMT -5
elk,do your private pp's have Serengenti Empress quicker than Gamine early?
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Post by elkurzhal on Nov 1, 2020 20:02:22 GMT -5
Have to get back to you on that Hooper, need the drf data export that won’t be out until after the draw.
Pretty sure based on everything else I’ve seen Gamine has hotter away with a lead on a pretty soft pace in all her races.
It’s not going to be soft Saturday, at least 4 would like to have lead. Gamine and SE probably both have to have it and VH’s conex we livid at the ride 2 back not pressing Gamine, then they get a win on the lead next out, have to think they are gunning again too.
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Post by spiderjohn on Nov 3, 2020 11:45:15 GMT -5
Wow—went over all races briefly last night.
Extremely competitive imo—-
Basic strategies as of today:
5-6 runner tri boxes—maybe an occasional key/all/all
5-6 runner exacta boxes
Single/all/all p3 strategy per race
Shotgun approach trying to hit a couple of bombs avoiding favorites
All subject to change as better info comes in and is digested
Good luck!
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Post by spiderjohn on Nov 4, 2020 22:37:46 GMT -5
OK
narrowed it down
6th--Juvy Turf Sprint
#12 DIRTY DANGLE waited patiently before making a seasoned winning move in her first turf start. Switches to a serious owner/trainer/rider set-up while going against males. Another filly, Ward's #7 AMANZI YIMPILO is probably quicker than the pps show. #7 MOMOS may well be the fastest of the colts. All good prices.....#14 GOLDEN PAL is out of a stakes-winning turf sprinter. Has a lot of class in his three runs, but had it easy in last, and maybe not as quick as others here.
7-12 to win
p5pw 7-12-14/2-4-5-6-7-11/3/1-3-4-5-10-11/5
7th Juvy Turf
Competitive.....Frankie D on #2 NEW MANDATE seems to be a good match. Harrington/Foley make their US debut with #5 CADILLAC. Both Euros may have been facing and beating better company imo. Plenty of others to like also-----#7 FIRE AT WILL has won in the mud from the back and wtw on the lawn, looking good both times. Chad Brown has a well-bred #4 PUBLIC SECTOR, who closed in to a slow pace vs #7 last out, and easily beat Shug's Scarlet Sky in his debut. A lot to like about Casse #11 GRETZKY THE GREAT also.
2-5 win
2-4-5-7-11 x and tri box
p4pw 2-5-7-11/2-3/3-4-5/1-4-5-8
race 8 juvy fillies
#3 DAYOUTOFTHEOFFICE has been holding top form. #2 VEQUIST might turn the tables with a better start. #1 SIMPLY RAVISHING and #5 GIRL DADDY look to have regressed physically, while Baffert's #7 PRINCESS NOOR isn't as fast and has been facing lesser in a barn that can't get busted again.
3 win
3/2-6/all tri
race 9 juvy filly turf
#3 ALDA is hopefully Motion's new version of Sharing(last year's winner). #4 PLUM ALI and #5 AUNT PEARL will be popular on the tote, and should run well. Varian's #6 NAZUNA might be the best performing Euro in here.
3 win
1-3-4-5-10-11 xbox
race 10 juvy
#5 ESSENTIAL QUALITY may well be a standout to end the day. #4 LIKEABLE may well be any kind, and McPeek can get a piece of this with #1 CAMP HOPE or #2 KING FURY. Hoping that the Asmussen chalk can't continue at his past level and weakens first time around two turns.
5 WIN
1-4-5/1-2-4-5-8/ALL TRI PW
undercard tomorrow
GOOD LUCK!
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Post by oriolegirl on Nov 4, 2020 22:53:23 GMT -5
Nice job spider. How have you been?
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Post by spiderjohn on Nov 5, 2020 6:18:33 GMT -5
Mostly good, Steve...wondered about your absence. SOS around here lol.
The show goes on--my NY streak is over--not sure when or if we ever return--sad....
race 1
#1 HIGHLY MOTIVATED should stalk from the rail, and deserves favoritism. #4 UPSTRIKER looks live to me, cutting back after fading vs the class of today's finale. #6 QUICK TEMPO is the ml choice and was very professional @ Parx. #9 SAFFAS DAY was impressive winning first out for a top trainer/jock combo.
1 win
tri key 1-4-6-9/1-4-6-9/all
p3pw 1-4-6-9/6-9-14/2-6-9-14
race 2
#14 CALIFORNIA LILY was an easy winner first out up north. Seems quick enough to navigate over from the outside post. #9 THE GRASS IS BLUE dominated both fields in two prior. Probably doesn't go beyond these two. #6 JOYS ROCKET deserves another shot, dropping back to sprint after fading to the top two in the later stakes upgrade. #11 FARSIGHTED was a very professional winner last out.
9-14 win
6-9-11-14 xbox
p4pw 9-14/2-6-9-14/all/2-3
race 3
#9 ORDER OF AUSTRALIA has been facing much better with his form clouded by 47-length loss in his last. #2 NO WORD is always close, losing to a freaky good turfer recently. Main concern is his tendency to dawdle when he draws along side others. #14 BYE BYE MELVIN will be live if he draws in.#6 FANCY LIQUOR is hopefully where Maker's Mark is located in this race.
9 win
tri key 2-6-9-14/2-6-9-14/all
race 4
Not in love with this race--weakest of the day?,,,,,ripe for a no sense bomb?.....#2 AMYS CHALLENGE looks much the quickest from the gate, and maybe won't look back. #9 ROYAL CHARLOTTE definitely has the back class to wake up and win this. #1 BYE BYE J wins often, has the right trainer jock, and should be right there if the speed falls back and the back class doesn't show up.
2 win
tri pw 1-2-9/1-2-9/all
race 5
#2 FARMINGTON ROAD was a deep closer on the Derby trail, and should be in low enough and long enough to finally win again. #3 ROCKETRY makes sense in with these. #9 MIRINAQUE is a very interesting ticket-maker with a ml of
50-1. Listed trainer was his SA trainer, though handled out west by Heap, and here by W Ward. Gets Ward's money rider. Interesting front end between #8 and #14.
2 win
tri key 2-3/2-3-8-9/all
good luck!
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Post by tenfurlongs on Nov 5, 2020 14:46:16 GMT -5
Friday races:
Juv Turf Sprint- Thinking that #12- Dirty Dangle (20-1) represents excellent value. Four of the five horses directly to his inside should go right out to the front, and can get a nice tow into the race following #14- Golden Pal (8-5) if that one isn't hellbent on getting the lead. Either way he can drop over and sit mid-pack on the outside until the stretch. #5- Cowan (8-1) should be running late along with #9- After Five (6-1).
12,14,5,9
Juv Turf- If the m/l price held then #2- New Mandate (12-1) would be the value, but with Frankie aboard and a three-race winning streak he's got to be bet down IMO. #5- Cadillac (6-1) has two wins over good ground, including a solid win over a mile at Leopardstown two back. I think this is the right one and a lot of money will get spread among the other European entrants and a couple of the Americans. #12- Go Athletico (10-1) may get lost in the wagering too, and could drift higher.
5,2,12
Juv Fillies- This is usually the Kenny McPeek show, especially in his own backyard, but I'll try to beat him with #3- Dayoutoftheoffice (5-2), which has done nothing wrong in three well-spaced starts. I'm not sure if Junior Alvarado has a BC win on his CV, but I don't think so, despite all the rides for Mott. Short field, so I'll just make a small win play and root for Junior.
3
Juv Fillies Turf- I was excited when #2- Miss Amulet (12-1) drew inside until I saw that Leparoux was named to ride. Not so sure that they fancy their chances after all. So, #3- Alda (12-1) is my value selection after she came wide into the stretch and just fell short in the Natalma (GI) at Woodbine behind Lady Speighstspeare. Not Motion's first BBQ, and he puts Johnny V aboard. #4- Plum Ali (4-1) is undefeated in three starts, get a cozy post from which to save ground, and Rosario is back in the saddle. Big chance for this one. #5- Aunt Pearl (3-1) is two-for-two and unchallenged but may face more pressure in this group. #9- Madone (10-1) and #12- Spanishloveaffair (15-1) can bring multipliers to the gimmicks.
3,4,5,12
Juv- With all the speed signed up #9- Sittin On Go (12-1) should have a hot pace to close into. Romans has him training like a Swiss watch, I'll take a flier.
9
TW
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Post by spiderjohn on Nov 6, 2020 14:02:00 GMT -5
BOOM!
5th race tri for spider!
3rd race late finishing Weaver super bomb my only real hiccup so far....
Anyone else get anything good so far?
$7000+ for $.50—largest tri ever for me
Also live with p3 with 7-9-12-14 and again with 14
Will be an interesting road the rest of the way lol.....
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Post by elkurzhal on Nov 6, 2020 15:21:21 GMT -5
Nice hit spider!
Needed the 9 to win for huge doubles and pick3, missed on the ex/tri didn’t like the 10...
Really bad trip for Abarta in the JFT, checked hard and I think the rider lost the irons for a bit. Going on the bet back list...
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Post by spiderjohn on Nov 6, 2020 15:33:38 GMT -5
Thanx!
All button for 3rd, elk
My new favorite play that has paid with runners that I would never use
Nailed the 7th exacta also
Crazy day—still tomorrow ahead so I will count tomorrow night
Good luck!
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ozzy
UpInClass Member
Posts: 849
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Post by ozzy on Nov 6, 2020 16:00:14 GMT -5
Ugh.... was live to Pick 3s ending with Juv Fillies and everything moving forward in Multis to Dayattheoffice who had no excuse in losing that race ahead by open lengths and with the short stretch. Didn’t use Princess Noor or Simply Ravishing and nothing to show for it after including Fire At Will in my plays... On to Alda and Essential Quality although NYRA form holding well early.
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Post by spiderjohn on Nov 6, 2020 16:47:41 GMT -5
My late p5 went out the same way, OZ......did get the exacta with the #7 bomb and am live with 1-2-4-5-7 in the final p3 hoping to load up on #5
Unreal day my way—still tomorrow to go
Fri webinar was helpful as you know
Last night seemed ragged
I think the guy might need a week or so off after tomorrow
He should be flush to afford it lol
Good luck!
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did load up on #5, and was lucky enough to bet place equally hoping for #7 to run out.....and catch a 100-1 2nd to up the place price
a decent p3 but lost a sweet p5(#5 singled) with the 2nd in the 8th.
what a day---scary thinking about tomorrow but bring it on!
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