ozzy
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Posts: 957
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Post by ozzy on Sept 1, 2020 10:34:02 GMT -5
Finally have the post position draw in and ready to run despite being the First Saturday in September but as Travis Stone just reminded everyone, “Roses are still red in September.” Love that line...
Tiz The Law pegged at 3/5 on the morning line is a surprise to me it just heard he would have been 4/5 before the defection of Art Collector so Battaglia didn’t change things too much. I see a few horses taking money including King Guillermo, Major Fed, and NY Traffic all at 20-1 or higher so I’d say Tiz is more Even or 6/5 at post time.
Thoughts?
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ozzy
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Posts: 957
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Post by ozzy on Sept 1, 2020 10:35:02 GMT -5
I have a photo of the post with the ML odds but can’t figure out how to add here, sorry.... Some early thoughts: I would think Authentic has to go from the outside even more so now. Not too thrilled with the draw of Honor A.P. who doesn’t have an abundance of speed, more of a stalker, and could get a very wide trip. Not what I wanted from the horse I was looking to select as my pick. Heard Assmussen say he wanted an outside draw for Max Player and can’t imagine he is thrilled drawing the #2. South Bend an eleventh hour entrant this morning but certainly an atypical Derby field in a most atypical year.
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Post by Badactor on Sept 1, 2020 10:40:13 GMT -5
1 50-1 Finnick the Fierce 2 30-1 Max Player 3 30-1 Enforceable 4 50-1 Storm the Court 5 50-1 Major Fed 6 20-1 King Guillermo 7 30-1 Money Moves 8 50-1 South Bend 9 50-1 Mr. Big News 10 15-1 Thousand Words 11 50-1 Necker Island 12 30-1 Sole Volante 13 50-1 Attachment Rate 14 50-1 Winning Impression 15 20-1 Ny Traffic 16 5-1 Honor A.P. 17 3-5 Tiz the Law 18 8-1 Authentic
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Post by cherokeescot on Sept 1, 2020 10:41:34 GMT -5
15,16,17,18 super box.
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Post by Badactor on Sept 1, 2020 10:45:24 GMT -5
3 favs on the outside... interesting.
Here's my gut feeling... I've been thinkin' this all year. BB has been sandbaggin' with TW. My play on Saturday! Expecting a monster performance - gonna need it to beat TTL.
Super-Secret-Bonus-Play: Check the exact(a) time... it's time to cash!
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tex
UpInClass Member
Posts: 297
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Post by tex on Sept 1, 2020 10:54:58 GMT -5
My gut feeling is that Tiz the Law just may get the Shared Belief treatment - totally accidental of course.
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Post by tims70ar on Sept 1, 2020 11:21:25 GMT -5
(Click on picture to enlarge)
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Post by cherokeescot on Sept 1, 2020 11:41:59 GMT -5
Sets up well for Sole Volante to charge through at the end with my good friend Luca Paniciiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiii !
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Post by Badactor on Sept 1, 2020 12:17:24 GMT -5
Patrick Biancobra winning the Kentucky Derby? I forbid it!
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ozzy
UpInClass Member
Posts: 957
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Post by ozzy on Sept 1, 2020 12:18:10 GMT -5
Poor Brian Hernandez.... Art Collector scratches and now he tests positive for COVID. Positive test yesterday, retested today, and awaiting results.
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Post by cherokeescot on Sept 1, 2020 17:24:28 GMT -5
Patrick Biancone winning the Derby would be so 2020.
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Post by richard1937 on Sept 1, 2020 20:02:04 GMT -5
Poor Brian Hernandez.... Art Collector scratches and now he tests positive for COVID. Positive test yesterday, retested today, and awaiting results. Ozzy---What do you think of the new gate for the KD?
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tc
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Post by tc on Sept 1, 2020 20:17:25 GMT -5
My underneath keys:
in derby: #14 Winning Impression
in oaks: #2 Tempers Rising
Btw, I reserve the right to alter these selections in case Spanky decides to bet either of them.
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ozzy
UpInClass Member
Posts: 957
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Post by ozzy on Sept 2, 2020 17:30:41 GMT -5
Poor Brian Hernandez.... Art Collector scratches and now he tests positive for COVID. Positive test yesterday, retested today, and awaiting results. Ozzy---What do you think of the new gate for the KD? Richard - sorry just responding. I have not seen the new gate yet but I think it will help the field. The 1 is basically the 3 now so the scrum should not be as bad inside. The gap between 14 and 15 aux hole had caused issues in recent past so that’s gone. But packed tighter so trouble at the start could be real trouble.
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Post by richard1937 on Sept 2, 2020 18:00:01 GMT -5
Thank you so much. r
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