|
|
Post by UpInClass on Mar 15, 2020 19:16:56 GMT -5
Race 12 Twinspires.com Louisiana Derby (Grade II)Purse $1,000,000. For Three Year Olds. One And Three Sixteenth Miles.1 Major Fed (KY) - Rosario/Foley 2 Mailman Money (KY) - Saez/Calhoun 3 Wells Bayou (KY) - Geroux/Cox 4 Chestertown (NY) - Velazquez/Asmussen 5 Social Afleet (LA) - Beschizza/Stewart 6 Shake Some Action (KY) - Hernandez/Cox 7 Sharecropper (KY) - Mena/Stall 8 Royal Act (KY) - Cedillo/Eurton 9 Portos (KY) - Ortiz, Jr./Pletcher 10 Enforceable (KY) - Leparoux/Casse 11 Ny Traffic (NY) - Saez/Joseph, Jr. 12 Lynn's Map (KY) - Gaffalione/Casse 13 Silver State (KY) - Santana/Asmussen 14 Modernist (KY) - Alvarado/Mott 15 Mr. Big News (KY) (AE) - SCRATCHED 16 Farmington Road (KY) (AE) - SCRATCHED ODDS & ENTRIES:
PAST PERFORMANCES: (Click on Spendthrift Owned) www.spendthriftfarm.com/entries-and-results/
|
|
|
|
Post by UpInClass on Mar 17, 2020 12:15:46 GMT -5
|
|
Badactor
UpInClass Member
Posts: 8,479
Member is Online
|
Post by Badactor on Mar 17, 2020 14:04:49 GMT -5
1 Major Fed - Rosario makes win possible. 2 Mailman Money - beaten by several in here. 3 Wells Bayou - Lookin At Lucky with excellent shot. 4 Chestertown - second best Asmussen. 5 Social Afleet - social distance recommended. 6 Shake Some Action - home field advantage... board crasher? 7 Sharecropper - expect improvement, 2nd off layoff. 8 Royal Act - respect west coaster with a chance. 9 Portos - will be closing at the end. 10 Enforceable - class of the field. 11 Ny Traffic - quick works, will lead the way. 12 Lynn's Map - nowhere near good enough. 13 Silver State - best Asmussen has real shot. 14 Modernist - runner on a roll. will be fancied by many. 15 Mr. Big News (AE) - beaten by several in here. no chance. 16 Farmington Road (AE) - dangerous if he draws in.
|
|
|
|
Post by bobtailnag on Mar 17, 2020 16:44:50 GMT -5
Currently the winner will be Modernist.
|
|
Badactor
UpInClass Member
Posts: 8,479
Member is Online
|
Post by Badactor on Mar 19, 2020 15:58:25 GMT -5
Could be the last race we get to talk about for a time... 
...the more I look at my longshot, the more I like him.
Tiznow on bottom caught my eye + big money $ire on top.
This is the race... Brad Cox 24%, horse for course @ 15/1. Works whisper ready. Price Play of the Day: Shake Some Action.
|
|
|
|
Post by UpInClass on Mar 19, 2020 18:49:48 GMT -5
Hi kiwi... this is the Triple Crown discussion forum. Contest picks are entered @ our Tournament Talk forum. Your post has been relocated to the right place. Good Luck & Cheers!
|
|
|
|
Post by triguy237 on Mar 19, 2020 23:03:52 GMT -5
This looks like a tough race to handicap.
8 horses IMO have a shot.
I had trouble narrowing it down between several.
So I am going long with Lynn's map.
Looks like he is starting to figure it out, post will not hurt as he can cross over and save ground until he rolls late and shocks the tiring frontrunners.
I will play him across for $10 or so and see what happens.
|
|
forego
UpInClass Member
Posts: 410
|
Post by forego on Mar 20, 2020 17:17:52 GMT -5
A lot of horses in here with a shot. Enforceable should be tough again and will be on the ticket along with Major Fed who closed some into pedestrian fractions and Leparoux didn't look like he was getting into him much the last 1/16th or so. And finally, Wells Bayou...we're in the Bayou state after all!
Good luck all.
|
|
Badactor
UpInClass Member
Posts: 8,479
Member is Online
|
Post by Badactor on Mar 21, 2020 9:57:15 GMT -5
Good morning and good luck!
|
|
shoes
UpInClass Steward
Posts: 2,383
|
Post by shoes on Mar 21, 2020 10:51:03 GMT -5
I like the steady figs progression that Major Fed has made in his 3 starts, like the connections and breeding, the very sharp bullet work on 2-29. As long as he doesn't get pinched at the rail in the early going, can see him prevailing at or around a very nice 8-1.
|
|
ozzy
UpInClass Member
Posts: 957
|
Post by ozzy on Mar 21, 2020 16:47:47 GMT -5
Well Bayou taking all the money as currently 3-1 favorite. I get that my buddy Brad Cox has been on fire and he gets a strong rider switch today but I much prefer Enforceable off a less than ideal trip last out at the same price and extra distance.
Royal Act can improve and think there is some smart money on him at 8-1 for lesser known connections. Big fan of Major Fed, love the work out of the Risen Star but he will need the trip. The other Casse intriguing as well underneath.
|
|
ozzy
UpInClass Member
Posts: 957
|
Post by ozzy on Mar 21, 2020 17:01:37 GMT -5
Well, all that money was spot on as Wells Bayou runs them off their feet with a great ride from Florent Geroux. With no Keeneland and a dwindling Twinspires balance I am probably going to sit things out for a bit as opportunities dwindle. Best of luck all.
|
|
|
|
Post by mysaladdays on Mar 21, 2020 17:03:14 GMT -5
I dunno what Rosario was doing, he had the rail........gotta give Fed a whole lot of credit for getting up for 4th here when he was so far back.
|
|
|
|
Post by UpInClass on Mar 21, 2020 21:08:31 GMT -5
|
|
