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Post by bobtailnag on Feb 21, 2020 22:02:46 GMT -5
The #1 horse, Jolie Olimipica looks a stickout at 8/5 and will be looking for her 4th win in a row and will stay undefeated if she makes it. But even Man O' War lost at least one. #2 Carressa 4/1 looks to be in top form after just winning her first try on the grass winning the G3 Megahurz; She might be a good play if you'd be satisfied with 4/1, but I'm looking for a contest horse.
#4 Mucho Unusual 8/1 is of serious interest. She just missed winning the G1 Americon Oaks by a length and that was at 1-1/4. She's won 3/5 on the grass at this distance and I like that Rosario stays with her for this effort. She's one or two that I've tagged as a serious contender.
The second contender is #12 La Sardane ar 12/1. In May thru June in 2018 Flavien Prat took her to the winner's circle all 3 times including a G3. For unknown reasons Drysdale didn't give he a call for the next 6 races and the Sardine never cashed a check in any of those six races. They were united again in her last race – the Megahurtze - where she ran a very good race, missing the wire by a length. Now they're still together for this one and she just might be sitting on a good one tomorrow.
Mucho looks to be the better choice of the two but I don't think I'm going to see 8/1when the bell rings.
I think The Sardine will go off in the 8/1 to 14/1 range depending one who, if any, scratches tomorrow.
If I was a gambling man I'd go with the Sardine. (hint, hint)
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1hooper
UpInClass Steward
Posts: 6,766
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Post by 1hooper on Feb 21, 2020 22:49:55 GMT -5
Bobtail,any time you are thinking of betting a Team Valor runner just ask. Can't always answer or post publicly but I can always private message you.
Drysdale told us this a few days ago. “It looks like a pretty salty race, but she is doing well and we expect a good run.”
Good luck.
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Post by bobtailnag on Feb 21, 2020 23:09:23 GMT -5
Thanks Hoop, I'll keep that in mind.
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Post by bobtailnag on Feb 22, 2020 9:21:45 GMT -5
Hoop, do you own part of that horse?
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Post by bobtailnag on Feb 22, 2020 13:29:37 GMT -5
Not too excited with the quality of the races at SA today but since I'll be playing there today I'll drop a few of a couple of races anyway.
R3 Boonesboro Beauty 3/1 is making her debut race today and one of Ainslie's angles is to toss every horse in a MC field that has already lost a race, and considering this is a $12500 MCn2L, it seems like a perfect opportunity to use that angle.
R8 Call of the Lure 4/1 A son of Bluegrass Cat making his debut effort in a MC but these MCers are somewhat classier than the bottom claimers in R3. Not-the-less, I'll stick with Ainslie's angle and expect to see the odds move upward.
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1hooper
UpInClass Steward
Posts: 6,766
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Post by 1hooper on Feb 22, 2020 16:36:40 GMT -5
bobtail, don't own part of her but I have friends that do.
My Team Valor runners are in France(4) and South Africa (1) currently.
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Post by Badactor on Feb 23, 2020 10:47:24 GMT -5
First of all... I want to thank you, Mr. Bobtail, for a well thought out and well written post. I truly enjoy reading the handicapping thoughts of our players here at UpInClass - win or lose! Secondly, thanks to Mr. Hooper for the inside track on Team Valor runners. Information is power. Also, one of those French fillies will be starting next Thursday... the very best of racing luck to her! Third and most importantly, Bobtail... need a price horse? Just ask. You know I'm here for you. 
Very truly yours,
Keeper Ofthe Longshots.
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Post by Badactor on Feb 23, 2020 23:03:07 GMT -5
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Post by big18741 on Feb 24, 2020 7:52:47 GMT -5
Abel Cedillo is a dynamite grass rider.
Very under rated IMO.
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