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Post by Duds on Apr 27, 2018 14:34:23 GMT -5
Will gallop the field to defeat if not impeded. Simply too much horse despite inexperience....covers the ground better...
Good Magic... could not have prepared any better or in any better hands. Will run his best race all things considered..
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shoes
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Post by shoes on Apr 27, 2018 15:37:49 GMT -5
I would not try talk anyone off of Justify. He meets my #1 handicapping tenet: the race goes to the swift. If I use him it will probably only be defensively though. Having said that what are the lowest odds you would accept?
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1hooper
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Post by 1hooper on Apr 27, 2018 16:39:39 GMT -5
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Post by big18741 on Apr 27, 2018 18:01:59 GMT -5
Baffert is praying for an outside post.
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Post by duds on Apr 28, 2018 21:22:14 GMT -5
3-1
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shoes
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Post by shoes on Apr 29, 2018 8:28:14 GMT -5
Thanks Duds. I think the Derby off odds, almost always a fascinating topic, is even moreso this year.I think 3-1 is what you will get. But the 2nd through 7th odds could be all over the place.
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gam
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Post by gam on Apr 29, 2018 13:04:32 GMT -5
Haven't checked it and it's maybe one of those either meaningless stats or one destined to fall eventually, but mentioned on the Thorograph forum, Storm Cat line is 0-51 in the Ky Derby.
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eye123
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Post by eye123 on Apr 29, 2018 13:26:21 GMT -5
Storm Cat 0-51, interesting.Know Scat Daddy 0-13 of the 51. Then the o-for on Apollo, the o-for on the Dubai angle....a lot of o-for. Makes for some interesting decisions.
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shoes
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Post by shoes on Apr 29, 2018 13:53:38 GMT -5
I don't know if this can actually be backed up by statistical analysis, but I have always thought a bit of "turfy" breeding was helpful on the CD dirt- any thoughts?
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Post by orioleboy on Apr 29, 2018 19:48:41 GMT -5
Shoes,
I have always felt that way. Turf breeding is a good attribute to have in my opinion.
Steve
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1hooper
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Post by 1hooper on Apr 30, 2018 12:57:32 GMT -5
Turf breeding? The first two dams of Hofburg combined for exactly 1 dirt start and that was a rained off the turf stakes race at Belmont. The second dam won that race.
Hooper
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Post by duds on May 5, 2018 18:00:16 GMT -5
Ice cold
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Post by tenfurlongs on May 5, 2018 18:29:28 GMT -5
Nice job Dudley! You brought clarity to the chaos of the Derby. $69.60 for that exacta is just mind-boggling.
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Post by orioleboy on May 5, 2018 18:41:59 GMT -5
Nice call Dudley. They were my top two as well. Had exacta and tri. Would have liked GM on top but Justify is another American Pharoah.
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Post by hezethebest on May 5, 2018 19:39:13 GMT -5
Nice call, Kevin. To the victors go the spoils!
LL
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Post by cherokeescot on May 5, 2018 21:27:02 GMT -5
Just not Victor Espinoza 😜
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Post by frangooch on May 6, 2018 12:05:24 GMT -5
Had a saver trifecta, but most of my Oro went to Bolt, and the saver did not save me. Great horse and nice call, Dudley.
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Post by bigdaddy on May 6, 2018 12:46:04 GMT -5
Nice call for sure... btw this is not our old friend Dudley from the Bloodhorse days....however I did speak to the original Dudley yesterday...he sends good wishes to all...he also pointed out the Kingmambo probably had the exacta ten times.   b.d. |
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Post by UpInClass on May 6, 2018 12:46:28 GMT -5
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Post by mambovision on Nov 2, 2018 19:35:00 GMT -5
Nice call for sure... btw this is not our old friend Dudley from the Bloodhorse days....however I did speak to the original Dudley yesterday...he sends good wishes to all...he also pointed out the Kingmambo probably had the exacta ten times. b.d. looks like DUDS was the smartest guy in the room |
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