eye123
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Post by eye123 on Apr 24, 2019 17:30:14 GMT -5
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Post by frangooch on Apr 24, 2019 18:11:55 GMT -5
Was going to post on him but you beat me to it. Kind of reminds me of Always DReaming for some reason. On of those that I'm not wild about, but afraid to leave out. Of course that narrows things down to about 15 horses.....
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Post by mattcoll on Apr 24, 2019 18:40:46 GMT -5
He reminds me of Sweetnorthernsaint. Former claimer scores some wide margin front running victories stepping up in class without ever running really fast (according to bris pars) early on in a race. Then comes the derby he is 6th or 7th or 10th early instead of an easy first or second, and he'd need to be really good and versatile to overcome that.
My gut says he fights hard to finish in the top third of the field and that's it. He might break clean and no one follows. I lose. He might also be a freak, and I lose. It happens. I won't be using him in any spots and hope he takes a lot of money. One two turn race then on to the derby? I can see it if he was so much better by numbers, but to me he just blends in with horses who have more experience and have faced better competition.
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eye123
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Post by eye123 on Apr 24, 2019 19:21:57 GMT -5
What I find amazing is that Servis must have seen something in this horse that not only said he was not top notch, but that he was no runner at all. (must have been some $50,000 maiden claimers he could have entered into) He chose $16,000 mdn claimer.(Can't wrap my head around what he could have been thinking) Also, this is a home bred. The owners must have been on board that this horse wasn't much. So, up the ladder he moves,each time Servis puts him in tougher, and each time he answers the question. Where is the bottom ? We havn't seen it yet.(we might see it May 4th).....but it beckons the question, if the trainer and owner didn't know what they had, should we assume since he was entered as a giveaway in his maiden, that he can't have the talent to move forward next Sat.(he is undefeated) This is one that I think you either use or throw out based on how you answer that question.
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shoes
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Post by shoes on Apr 24, 2019 19:51:51 GMT -5
The horse doesn't know he was in for a 16k tag. All he knows is that he's a winner.You just don't know sometimes. I've yet to decide whether to include him on horizontal bets. Seattle Slew was purchased for $17,500 as yearling and all he did was become one of the greatest racehorses and sires of all time. Not quite the same I know, but still.
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eye123
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Post by eye123 on Apr 25, 2019 5:12:41 GMT -5
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eye123
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Post by eye123 on Apr 25, 2019 5:17:51 GMT -5
Florida Derby winner Maximum Security breezed toward the Kentucky Derby on Sunday, steadily cruising through a mile at trainer Jason Servis' Palm Meadows base in Southern Florida. The colt was given an official time of :42.00 for three furlongs.
“It was a spectacular morning here, 59 degrees and crystal clear,” Servis told drf.com. “He went a good mile in 1:57 and out a mile and an eighth in 2:10. We're just maintaining right now. My rider let him go a little faster rather than slower early and could have come home a little better, but in the end he still went in 1:57, which is what I wanted. He'll do this again next Monday and we'll back it down a little early and come home faster the last part. That will give him three open miles since his last start on the 30th. If he gets beat in the Derby, it won't be because he's not fit enough.”
Owned and bred by Gary and Mary West, the 3-year-old son of New Year's Day is scheduled to fly to Churchill Downs on April 30.
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