eye123
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Post by eye123 on Apr 16, 2019 9:09:25 GMT -5
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Post by mattcoll on Apr 16, 2019 13:07:15 GMT -5
I suppose TAX could be the Battle of Midway type to hang around late. Bred OK for the distance but the Wood has been such a negative Derby prep lately so I question anything done against the horses who winter in NY. Is Country House the new Dallas Stewart bomber for 2nd place? 1) Wrong trainer 2) I just think the Omaha, Roadster, Game Winner crew are better and coming in sharper so I couldn't use in top two spots. Tacitus has won me some money and looked tough against big fields, but against better competition I usually don't bet closers in the win spot for this race.
Not really planning to use any others, but could be talked into Improbable or WOW, now talk to me.....
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Apr 16, 2019 14:25:45 GMT -5
I suppose TAX could be the Battle of Midway type to hang around late. Bred OK for the distance but the Wood has been such a negative Derby prep lately so I question anything done against the horses who winter in NY. Is Country House the new Dallas Stewart bomber for 2nd place? 1) Wrong trainer 2) I just think the Omaha, Roadster, Game Winner crew are better and coming in sharper so I couldn't use in top two spots. Tacitus has won me some money and looked tough against big fields, but against better competition I usually don't bet closers in the win spot for this race. Not really planning to use any others, but could be talked into Improbable or WOW, now talk to me..... A horse that closed well in other races will win over the added distance at good odds most likely...time to re watch the races addressing the top twenty five contenders who have the option to enter the k d in each past race they ran , who closed well...and did so with troubled races etc...and hope the selection has been conditioned well for the distance to run by the trainer(s) ...etc....lol.. |
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Post by UpInClass on Apr 16, 2019 15:38:27 GMT -5
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Apr 16, 2019 15:43:48 GMT -5
Of those listed it looks like winwinwin is the one to bet odds wise....lol..thanks for the info... |
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Post by mysaladdays on Apr 18, 2019 1:01:39 GMT -5
I don't have Omaha Beach in the win spot, and most likely, won't. Just don't see him winning this. It's hard not to love the horse and trainer, but I don't let my sentiments get involved with my $$.
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Post by mysaladdays on Apr 18, 2019 1:02:57 GMT -5
For that odds sheet, I think Spinoff might be a good bet. 4 tracks, always runs ITM.
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Travis Stone's KD ML
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Post by Travis Stone's KD ML on Apr 24, 2019 15:38:49 GMT -5
Travis Stone's early Kentucky Derby morning line
Horse Odds Omaha Beach 9-2 Roadster 5-1 Game Winner 6-1 Tacitus 6-1 Maximum Security 10-1 Improbable 12-1 Vekoma 15-1 By My Standards 20-1 Code of Honor 20-1 Tax 20-1 War of Will 20-1 Cutting Humor 30-1 Haikal 30-1 Spinoff 30-1 Win Win Win 30-1 Country House 50-1 Gray Magician 50-1 Long Range Toddy 50-1 Master Fencer 50-1 Plus Que Parfait 50-1
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shoes
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Post by shoes on Apr 24, 2019 15:44:52 GMT -5
That's pretty close to my guess.
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1hooper
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Post by 1hooper on Apr 24, 2019 16:03:08 GMT -5
Poster at Thoro-Graph takes a stab at the post time odds every year, does a pretty good job historically. Looks like he put a lot of weight on the Mike Smith horse choice.
Hooper
1. Omaha Beach, 3.90-1.
2. Maximum Security, 5.60-1
3. Game Winner, 5.80-1
4. Tacitus, 7.60-1
5. Roadster, 9.00-1
6. Improbable, 11.50-1
7. Vekoma, 15.60-1
8. Code of Honor, 19.40-1
9. Win Win Win, 22.80-1
10. By My Standards, 24.00-1
11. Tax, 26.00-1
12. War of Will, 27.50-1
13. Spinoff, 29.00-1
14. Cutting Humor, 36.00-1
15. Long Range Toddy, 39.00-1
16. Country House, 42.40-1
17. Haikal, 46.60-1
18. Plus Que Parfait, 59.60-1
19. Master Fencer, 63.50-1
20. Grey Magician, 82.30-1
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Post by orioleboy on Apr 24, 2019 20:18:25 GMT -5
I would be ecstatic at those odds. Can’t see Roadster being 9/1.
Steve
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shoes
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Post by shoes on Apr 25, 2019 10:10:11 GMT -5
I would be ecstatic at those odds. Can’t see Roadster being 9/1. Steve I can't either. Maximum Security and Roadster may be flipped |
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Post by frangooch on Apr 27, 2019 18:11:34 GMT -5
Roadster more or less co-favored with Omaha currently. 5/1 or thereabouts.
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Post by bobtailnag on Apr 30, 2019 19:03:17 GMT -5
I think my key horse in here will be Vekoma 20/1
Now it's Tacitus. 5-2-2019 |
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Post by elkurzhal on May 1, 2019 9:05:25 GMT -5
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eye123
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Post by eye123 on May 1, 2019 9:33:34 GMT -5
Elk,I don't know about anyone else, but my head is exploding from all the handicapping.(another source that is confusing will only cause to distract at this point(for me)) I've several strong opinions which I've shared with the group. Could you break down some of your conclusions, and strong choices for the board. Think most on the fence about a race or two would appreciate it.
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