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Post by Badactor on Mar 17, 2019 21:15:14 GMT -5
Fair Grounds STAKES
Race 13 Twinspires.com Louisiana Derby (Grade II) Purse $1,000,000. For Three Year Olds. One And One Eighth Miles. 1 Roiland (KY) - 12/1 2 Lemniscate (FL) - 15/1 3 Limonite (KY) - 20/1 4 Sueno (KY) - 8/1 5 By My Standards (KY) - 12/1 6 War of Will (KY) - 6/5 7 Mr. Money (KY) - 20/1 8 Country House (KY) - 9/2 9 Bankit (NY) - 20/1 10 Spinoff (KY) - 8/1 11 Hog Creek Hustle (KY) - 12/1
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Post by Badactor on Mar 17, 2019 21:20:18 GMT -5
All I Have To Do Is... Sueño, Sueño, Sueño!
He's my Derby Horse.
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Post by spiderjohn on Mar 17, 2019 21:47:55 GMT -5
#3 takes another move forward imo
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Post by croixboy21 on Mar 17, 2019 23:39:28 GMT -5
Country House for the mild upset...
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Mar 18, 2019 15:51:11 GMT -5
Of all these , 9- Bankit has some thing to prove....the 4-6-11 to beat....1-8-10 to be re evaluated....lol...the others would be a surprise...
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Post by frangooch on Mar 18, 2019 17:14:22 GMT -5
If Country House runs a straight line, he will be tough in the long stretch. War of Will has not done anything wrong this year. Spinoff improving --good test for him. Limonite on the tri ticket, if there is one. Chalky.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Mar 18, 2019 19:10:35 GMT -5
If Country House runs a straight line, he will be tough in the long stretch. War of Will has not done anything wrong this year. Spinoff improving --good test for him. Limonite on the tri ticket, if there is one. Chalky. If I a. Not mistaken , Limonite is one of my selections in the WinStar contest and needs points....lol..I saw something there in the pps ....maybe will be on the under card on k d day ....lol.. |
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eye123
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Post by eye123 on Mar 18, 2019 19:26:32 GMT -5
Here are some trainer stats for Louisiana Derby DAY (all races) (2013-2018). Pletcher,Maker hitting at better then 25%.....  |
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roamin
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Post by roamin on Mar 20, 2019 20:40:49 GMT -5
Country House will be closing like a train. Put the house on it.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Mar 22, 2019 7:01:11 GMT -5
Me thinks the 6-war of wills will be tough to beat with the one & eight being the ones to perhaps tire the six ,while the ten- spin off is a big question mark but I am going out on the limb here and take a chance on nine- bank it...the odds should be ripe for picking , lol...
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Post by bobtailnag on Mar 22, 2019 11:02:32 GMT -5
Wills looks like a winner in here. I think if Country can be somewhere close to the lead at the far turn, like 6 or 7 lengths back, he might be able to make a run at the leaders down the stretch. Sueno could be the price horse of the gimmicks.
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Post by maumeeriverangler on Mar 22, 2019 14:13:37 GMT -5
I'm going with Spinoff he ran a big race off of long layoff- won it easy- first time around two turns - he's on the outside of the other speed which is good, so I'll take a shot across the board.
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Post by Hooper on Mar 23, 2019 9:26:57 GMT -5
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Post by Claire Voi-Yount on Mar 23, 2019 10:35:54 GMT -5
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ozzy
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Post by ozzy on Mar 23, 2019 10:55:09 GMT -5
Although my heart is with Hog Creek Hustle (best of luck to my friends), my wallet is likely to back Limonite. Trouble in the Risen Star, his first of the year, make his 2nd off the layoff, gets a great jockey switch to Ortiz, and returned to the work tab quickly following the Risen Star and has put in 4 works to prepare. That’s not the Asmussen way! I think he is really signaling he’s ready and while 20-1 is a pipe dream, if he’s 10-1 or better I am crushing him.
War Of Will has done nothing wrong, Sueno and Country House eligible to improve, and Spinoff bred to be a star. Treading lightly I believe and using Limonite over/under those
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Post by Dell on Mar 23, 2019 17:22:41 GMT -5
...a very disappointing show. damnit.
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Post by Dell on Mar 23, 2019 17:26:44 GMT -5
They don't give away prizes at the top of the stretch.
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Post by frangooch on Mar 23, 2019 18:16:16 GMT -5
Back to the drawing board for me. I thought WoW was the goods. Not the greatest ride, but no excuse.
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Post by DoctorDisaster on Mar 24, 2019 5:07:19 GMT -5
The stumble early is the excuse gooch.I had a Barbaro flashback when I saw it.I'm surprised he made it around the track(not pulled up).Tyler had to feel something.I'll bet he's off the trail.Casse said post race he was "significantly off".
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Mar 24, 2019 5:26:19 GMT -5
Lots of big disappointments and lots of troubled races which made big differences in the outcomes.....back to the drawing board......a lot of owners and trainers are refocusing and must change the desired training and race schedules for sure....it will be interesting to see what points races they will show up in to get to the k d ....I suspect we will hear of a few dropping out of running in the k d and refocus on the Preekness and Belmont now....but they do have a three week window to enter a points race and if they win about two weeks to rest up in workouts.....but I do not think it sits well with many an owner or trainer....I was rather surprised that Baffort had no entries in the races...he will surly show up next week....as will a couple of other trainers no uno horses they are training...lol
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Post by replay on Mar 24, 2019 9:47:50 GMT -5
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Bret Calhoun comments
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Post by Bret Calhoun comments on Mar 24, 2019 9:54:53 GMT -5
Veteran Louisiana and Kentucky trainer Bret Calhoun has had a lot of top horses but never a Kentucky Derby starter.
That figures to change after Chester Thomas' By My Standards went from winning a maiden race to taking
the $1 million TwinSpires.com Louisiana Derby at the Fair Grounds Race Course
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shoes
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Post by shoes on Mar 24, 2019 11:04:45 GMT -5
Yes, clearly something wrong with War of Will, hope he returns to the races. Was live to him for about 250 and to Sueno for about 2500 on P4s, so disappointing result for me as well. There was money to be made yesterday, it just wasn't me making it.
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Post by big18741 on Mar 24, 2019 11:38:10 GMT -5
Top two ran good and WOW had a legit excuse.
Sueno appears not to want more distance and Country House needs more time to mature.
I was a little surprised Spinoff didn't show more speed earlier or acceleration coming off the turn.
He sorta grinded his way around the track and didn't have much of a burst when JR asked him.
I suspect Pletcher might fool with an equipment change if they run him back in another prep.
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Post by frangooch on Mar 24, 2019 13:31:01 GMT -5
or more EPO ;-)
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Post by big18741 on Mar 25, 2019 7:52:23 GMT -5
Gooch-maybe the Pletcher horse at Sunland got the full dose.
How was he 2-1?
Spinoff was green in the stretch at Tampa and JR said he was fighting with him in New Orleans so maybe an equipment change is coming.
Interesting horse in a group where nothing stands out yet.
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