Too Much, Too Soon?

[Badactor]

Happens every year...
maybe I'm wrong, but I'll say
this one's our first "False Favorite"
on the road to the Kentucky Derby.

[shoes]

Late stage Errol Flynn just a year before his death in the Diana Barrymore story (titled, Too Much, Too Soon). Errol played his old pal John Barrymore.

[1hooper]

Physically he does not look like a 9F or 10F horse to me.

[mysaladdays]

4 races already as a 2 year old.
1 maiden, then immediately thrown into 3 successive G1 stakes races.

I think just using common sense, this wouldn't be the horse for me.

I tend to like horses with a patient trainer, maybe like Animal Kingdom, 2 races to break maiden in late Fall of 2 year old year....then in Spring of following year, as a 3 year old, an allowance race, a G2 or G3, before attempting a big G1.

Seems like a more normal progession, for both a human or a horse, IMHO, unless you have one like Flightliine, etc.

Despite what some people say, musculoskeletal systems are still developing at these ages.    I believe if you have designs to have a Classic distance racehorse, you can't just skip to the punch line but need to put some "bottom" into the horse first. 

Gun Runner is another good example.  He built his abilities at a nice pace, IMHO, and had a lot of longevity as a result. 


If you subscribe to the "retired at the end of 3 year old" then I guess the opposite works out.  Thats how you end up with horses who run in the KY Derby and don't really ever do much again. 

Because:   Not every horse is an Iron Maiden.    I find deleting 100s of prep race horses out of my virtual stable every year to be somewhat.....depressing.