UK- Goodwood 8/2

[tenfurlongs]

We're going on the Breakfast/Farm Tour at Saratoga tomorrow morning (Song Hill Thoroughbreds//James Bond 007) so not much time to handicap.


Goodwood-  GOING: Good-to-soft, but heavy rain in the forecast.


GOO R1 (8:50am ET)- 1m4f (1m3f218y) Coral Handicap (Class 2) (3yo 0-105)

www.racingpost.com/racecards/21/goodwood/2023-08-02/844927

#3- Westerton (6-1) has been progressive, if nibbling around the edges, Ryan Moore sticks and he may relish the stretchout. #6- Amleto (4-1) is a lightly-raced Sea The Stars gelding for William Haggas/Sunderland Holdings, crushed maidens at Chester in May, seems like a patient steppingstone going forward. 

EX- 3,6/2,3,5,6


GOO R2 (9:25am ET)- 7f Oak Tree Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (3yo+)

www.racingpost.com/racecards/21/goodwood/2023-08-02/844925

Good betting affair, 3up F&M going 7F on soft. #2- Fast Response (9-2) clearly wants soft ground, just missed going seven panels last time, should equal or improve on that run. #8- Breege (7-1) is the bet of the day. 3yo filly hasn't run a bad one yet against a panoply of stars, handles soft ground and just needs some pace to run into.

EX- 2,8/2,7,8,9,10


GOO R4 (10:35am ET)- 1m Sussex Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) (Class 1) (3yo+)

www.racingpost.com/racecards/21/goodwood/2023-08-02/840964

Not much time to handicap, but #1- Aldaary (12-1) definitely wants soft ground, is not a straightforward ride with quirks, but at the price you have to include. #3- Facteur Cheval (20-1) also has the M/L maker smoking ganja, gelding loves deep ground, trainer Reynier was bullish about his chances on the Nick Luck podcast recently. Top spot would be an overreach perhaps, but still a must use given the conditions. #4-Inspiral (7-2) and Frankie should be at the top of the market, absent Paddington, but you could make the argument that she's better on good ground. #6- Paddington (2-5) is 6-for-7, hard to believe he lost his debut, handles all ground, just won one of better Eclipse S. (GI) in recent memory over Emily Upjohn. Oh yeah, gets 7lbs from his elders. Likes to race forwardly. Chink in the armor, anyone? 

TRI- 6/1,3,4/ALL


Good luck if you bet, and you should.




TW

[cherokeescot]

Race 1 . Westerton was the name of my primary school so a must bet. After Auguste Rodin flop I am concerned about Paddington , favorites did not do well today , maybe Inspiral can upset .

[1hooper]

Guyon should be a big upgrade over Mosse.

[spiderjohn]

Granted,PADDINGTON looked powerful in his recent win. He benefited from a big weight break vs the female runner. INSPIRAL was a little short in her comeback effort @ Royal Ascot. I would expect her to show more today, though still giving 4lb to the 3yo male.

Interesting race—more interesting morning line

[cherokeescot]

Facteur Cheval certainly made Paddington work for the win . Rarely have I seen winning owner Peter Brandt that excited

[cherokeescot]

Great interview with Facteur Cheval trainer after the race . Said they might go to Woodbine next before coming back to Ascot on Champions Day

[1hooper]

Been planning on Woodbine Mile for a long time. The more moisture the better.

[tenfurlongs]

TW

[1hooper]

Woodbine Mile now out.
Prix de Moulin at Longchamp next then Queen Elizabeth at Ascot.