Belmont Park 6/9
Jun 9, 2023 10:21:20 GMT -5
Post by tenfurlongs on Jun 9, 2023 10:21:20 GMT -5
Main: Fast
Turf: Firm
Forecast: Chance of showers (40%)
Entries- www.equibase.com/static/entry/RaceCardIndexBEL060923USA-EQB.html
BEL R4 (2:28pm ET)- Just A Game S. (GI) 1mi turf f&m 4up
www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/briswatch.cgi/public/ChadCBrown/BROWN+CHAD+C/9999/summary.html
Unless #1- In Italian (1-2) just doesn't fire today, it's hard to see her losing this race. Spendarella could press her, but wouldn't it be better to get 2nd-place money in a $500K race, if you are the connections? Not sure this is a bettable situation either, but small fields produce strange results sometimes.
EX- 1/2,5 if you must
BEL R8 (4:41pm ET)- New York S. (GI) 1 1/4mi turf f&m 4up
www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/briswatch.cgi/public/ChadCBrown/BROWN+CHAD+C/9999/summary.html
I think #7- War Like Goddess (6-5) will be way overbet. She has never raced over the course, and this is not her preferred distance (12F).#8- With The Moonlight (9-2) likes 10F over good-firm, but the way the Appleby branch of Team Godolphin has been performing lately (uncharacteristically poor), I wouldn't make her the banker either. I'm boxing #1- Flirting Bridge (20-1) with two Chads, #4- Market Segmentation (6-1) and #5- Virginia Joy (15-1), in exactas, then saving with those three over 7,8. Hoping that at least one of the three can stay in front of the two favorites all the way around, most likely Virginia Joy. If Virginia Joy stays at/above 10-1, Win bet on her as well.
EXBOX- 1,4,5 EX- 1,4,5/7 WIN- 5 >= 10-1
BEL R9 (5:14pm ET)- Acorn S. (GI) 1 1/16mi fillies 3yo
www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/briswatch.cgi/public/ChadCBrown/BROWN+CHAD+C/9999/summary.html
There is plenty of early pace in this one-turn race, so Munny's Gold shouldn't be able to have it her own way, especially on the stretchout in GI company. I'll take the short price on the Oaks winner #6- Pretty Mischievous (2-1), using her over #1- Dorth Vader (10-1) which should benefit from an inside post this time, and a rider change to Johnny V.; #4- Occult (12-1) for Chad and new rider Jose Ortiz, a big upgrade from Dylan Davis and his current form; #8- Accede (8-1) which nearly got to Munny's Gold at CD in only her second start, can turn the tables today on the stretchout.
EX- 6/1,4,8
BEL R10 (5:47pm ET)- Belmont Gold Cup S. (GII) 2mi turf 4up
www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/briswatch.cgi/public/HGrahamMotion/MOTION+H+GRAHAM/9999/summary.html
#2- Siskany (8-5) outclasses these by some distance (not a pun), will play weighted exactas over three/four of the others looking for will pays that exceed a $20 win bet on the favorite. Although he is using this race as a steppingstone for his three jumpers, I think Arch Kingsley has a pretty good former flat runner in #1- Barbados (30-1), which ran for Aidan O'Brien and then Jessica Harrington in Ireland before heading to the US. Maybe Junior Alvarado can coax a smooth effort from him today, at least you know he can get the distance. Also looking at #7- Amazing Grace (6-1) (probably an underlay), the improving #13- The Grey Wizard (10-1), and possibly #4 Tide of the Sea (12-1) which ran well to be second behind Ottoman Fleet on seasonal debut. Katie Davis will have to ration out his speed just right, but nice to see her getting chances in Graded Stakes.
EX- 2/1,4,7,13
BEL R11 (6:19pm ET)- Intercontinental S. (GIII) 6f turf f&m 4up
www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/briswatch.cgi/public/HGrahamMotion/MOTION+H+GRAHAM/9999/summary.html
Will use longshot #3- Clitheroe (15-1) on top with the improving m/l favorite #7- Bubble Rock (5-2). Big step up for Clitheroe today, but her allowance win going 7F here last month was super impressive from the outermost draw, four and five wide all the way around. Win bet as well.
WIN- 3 EX- 3,7/1,3,5,7
Clitheroe BEL May 7, 2023 ALWN1X 7F:
www.youtube.com/live/qeUxaIvf2NM?feature=share&t=6704
TW
Turf: Firm
Forecast: Chance of showers (40%)
Entries- www.equibase.com/static/entry/RaceCardIndexBEL060923USA-EQB.html
BEL R4 (2:28pm ET)- Just A Game S. (GI) 1mi turf f&m 4up
www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/briswatch.cgi/public/ChadCBrown/BROWN+CHAD+C/9999/summary.html
Unless #1- In Italian (1-2) just doesn't fire today, it's hard to see her losing this race. Spendarella could press her, but wouldn't it be better to get 2nd-place money in a $500K race, if you are the connections? Not sure this is a bettable situation either, but small fields produce strange results sometimes.
EX- 1/2,5 if you must
BEL R8 (4:41pm ET)- New York S. (GI) 1 1/4mi turf f&m 4up
www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/briswatch.cgi/public/ChadCBrown/BROWN+CHAD+C/9999/summary.html
I think #7- War Like Goddess (6-5) will be way overbet. She has never raced over the course, and this is not her preferred distance (12F).
EXBOX- 1,4,5 EX- 1,4,5/7 WIN- 5 >= 10-1
BEL R9 (5:14pm ET)- Acorn S. (GI) 1 1/16mi fillies 3yo
www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/briswatch.cgi/public/ChadCBrown/BROWN+CHAD+C/9999/summary.html
There is plenty of early pace in this one-turn race, so Munny's Gold shouldn't be able to have it her own way, especially on the stretchout in GI company. I'll take the short price on the Oaks winner #6- Pretty Mischievous (2-1), using her over #1- Dorth Vader (10-1) which should benefit from an inside post this time, and a rider change to Johnny V.; #4- Occult (12-1) for Chad and new rider Jose Ortiz, a big upgrade from Dylan Davis and his current form; #8- Accede (8-1) which nearly got to Munny's Gold at CD in only her second start, can turn the tables today on the stretchout.
EX- 6/1,4,8
BEL R10 (5:47pm ET)- Belmont Gold Cup S. (GII) 2mi turf 4up
www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/briswatch.cgi/public/HGrahamMotion/MOTION+H+GRAHAM/9999/summary.html
#2- Siskany (8-5) outclasses these by some distance (not a pun), will play weighted exactas over three/four of the others looking for will pays that exceed a $20 win bet on the favorite. Although he is using this race as a steppingstone for his three jumpers, I think Arch Kingsley has a pretty good former flat runner in #1- Barbados (30-1), which ran for Aidan O'Brien and then Jessica Harrington in Ireland before heading to the US. Maybe Junior Alvarado can coax a smooth effort from him today, at least you know he can get the distance. Also looking at #7- Amazing Grace (6-1) (probably an underlay), the improving #13- The Grey Wizard (10-1), and possibly #4 Tide of the Sea (12-1) which ran well to be second behind Ottoman Fleet on seasonal debut. Katie Davis will have to ration out his speed just right, but nice to see her getting chances in Graded Stakes.
EX- 2/1,4,7,13
BEL R11 (6:19pm ET)- Intercontinental S. (GIII) 6f turf f&m 4up
www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/briswatch.cgi/public/HGrahamMotion/MOTION+H+GRAHAM/9999/summary.html
Will use longshot #3- Clitheroe (15-1) on top with the improving m/l favorite #7- Bubble Rock (5-2). Big step up for Clitheroe today, but her allowance win going 7F here last month was super impressive from the outermost draw, four and five wide all the way around. Win bet as well.
WIN- 3 EX- 3,7/1,3,5,7
Clitheroe BEL May 7, 2023 ALWN1X 7F:
www.youtube.com/live/qeUxaIvf2NM?feature=share&t=6704
TW