Post by PonyGirlJCM on May 3, 2023 5:22:11 GMT -5
Last “ Free Play Wednesday” until next meeting …. Only three more racing days until two Summer Festival days then none until November ….
Wednesday, May 3rd
The week ending April 30th we bet $285 and collected $303.80. So it goes…
Please make your $75 payments by Saturday to save 50% off next year’s meeting. This deal will not be offered again in 2023. Thanks for your continued support and good luck to the ten Up In Class members who were invited to join us this year. I hope you will consider subscribing for 23-24.
Via Paypal tamselections@gmail.com or Venmo john-Barile-10. If you pay by another method, you know the drill…Mr. Pick Four thanks you as well!
1st – PP1 arrives at the last week of the meeting with an IV of 0.57 in Sprints. Bennett has the best angle but is hurt by the inside gate spot. Munoz is 2% moving UC. Henry (6) hasn’t won in two years and Waz has a 4% and a 5% angle. Fisher is 1-16 with L4-8s but his purchase has a win and two 2nds in three tries off the layoff (including an L4-8). Bobby struggled in both tries on the dirt here. Why bother trying when he loves the AW? Prepping for another campaign at PID I suspect.
Rarick has an 18% Win angle on the cusp of a FBK and Blame Bishop (2) could blame PP1 for miss in last, but Lynn is also only 5% win with Shortenups. On the other hand, 330 feet is the shortest of shortenups.
Win 2
2nd – Bowersock is 48% ITM with FTSs in dirt sprints and has that F3W IV of 1.38 (excluding 6 of 9 ITM with 2 wins at the current meeting).
When the angle and the behavior are incongruous it creates ambivalence, but Ochoa’s Discreet Devil (7) defied his poor (28% ITM) angle by getting a piece in last two.
Exacta Box 3,6,7
3rd – The last time Joe Hennessy had a winner (Gimmeabreak), my handicapping narratives were referring to the Upside Down every day. They were dark days indeed, but Berube & Co. exploited the opportunity to keep the cheddar coming in while we hunkered down at home and tried not to touch our faces (I really do miss touching my fingers to my tongue to separate sticky PP pages and a sponge isn’t always available). Anyway, Joe is 33 (6-1-3) lifetime with the FTS + FTT.
ATB 7
4th – KOC is 23 & 40 with her angle and with a +24% ROI. This might be among the easiest money makers in Oldsmar and has been persistent for more than 12 years.
Bowersock’s piece went +1,+5 in last and that reliable F3W stat (see R2).
Hamm has one like Ochoa in R2 here. Tim was 2-51 with 2TSs coming into the meeting, but somehow is Win or Place in 6 of 12 with the angle this year…what to do?
DDs 7,8/5,8
Trifectas 7,8/3,6/7,8
5th – Bennett has a 52 & 91.5 four characteristic multiple angle if the favorite in this one. PP1 has an IV of 0.57 but that’s not insurmountable.
Exacta Key Box 1/3,6 and Saver Trifectas 7,8/1/3,6 to cover
If the 1 has the bug:
$0.50 Pick 4 – 1/5,8/1,3,5/1,3,6,7,8,9,(12) (up to 42 bets) ($21)
6th – This race could make me look brilliant or like a horse’s ass, but I call them as I see them, however, the bet size demonstrates my uncertainty.
Bennett has a UCE, 36 & 78 but both of these have a 4.5% Win angle, the RB + DtoT.
Bowersock has yet another entered. Her F3W stats appear to be the real McCoy.
$25 Weighted Exacta Box 5,8
and $2 Trifectas 5,8/2,4,6/4,5,8 (10 bets)($20)
7th – McGoey’s profile is becoming clearer and more reliable at the end of her 4th meeting and with several hundred starters under her skirt. Monica is 40 & 70 with No Changes now.
Bennett presents with another WEAKNESS angle: 5.8% Win with 2L9ups.
Exacta Key Box 3/1,5,9
8th – I can pick winners but I’m not Carnac the Magnificent!
See R5
Wednesday, May 3rd
The week ending April 30th we bet $285 and collected $303.80. So it goes…
Please make your $75 payments by Saturday to save 50% off next year’s meeting. This deal will not be offered again in 2023. Thanks for your continued support and good luck to the ten Up In Class members who were invited to join us this year. I hope you will consider subscribing for 23-24.
Via Paypal tamselections@gmail.com or Venmo john-Barile-10. If you pay by another method, you know the drill…Mr. Pick Four thanks you as well!
1st – PP1 arrives at the last week of the meeting with an IV of 0.57 in Sprints. Bennett has the best angle but is hurt by the inside gate spot. Munoz is 2% moving UC. Henry (6) hasn’t won in two years and Waz has a 4% and a 5% angle. Fisher is 1-16 with L4-8s but his purchase has a win and two 2nds in three tries off the layoff (including an L4-8). Bobby struggled in both tries on the dirt here. Why bother trying when he loves the AW? Prepping for another campaign at PID I suspect.
Rarick has an 18% Win angle on the cusp of a FBK and Blame Bishop (2) could blame PP1 for miss in last, but Lynn is also only 5% win with Shortenups. On the other hand, 330 feet is the shortest of shortenups.
Win 2
2nd – Bowersock is 48% ITM with FTSs in dirt sprints and has that F3W IV of 1.38 (excluding 6 of 9 ITM with 2 wins at the current meeting).
When the angle and the behavior are incongruous it creates ambivalence, but Ochoa’s Discreet Devil (7) defied his poor (28% ITM) angle by getting a piece in last two.
Exacta Box 3,6,7
3rd – The last time Joe Hennessy had a winner (Gimmeabreak), my handicapping narratives were referring to the Upside Down every day. They were dark days indeed, but Berube & Co. exploited the opportunity to keep the cheddar coming in while we hunkered down at home and tried not to touch our faces (I really do miss touching my fingers to my tongue to separate sticky PP pages and a sponge isn’t always available). Anyway, Joe is 33 (6-1-3) lifetime with the FTS + FTT.
ATB 7
4th – KOC is 23 & 40 with her angle and with a +24% ROI. This might be among the easiest money makers in Oldsmar and has been persistent for more than 12 years.
Bowersock’s piece went +1,+5 in last and that reliable F3W stat (see R2).
Hamm has one like Ochoa in R2 here. Tim was 2-51 with 2TSs coming into the meeting, but somehow is Win or Place in 6 of 12 with the angle this year…what to do?
DDs 7,8/5,8
Trifectas 7,8/3,6/7,8
5th – Bennett has a 52 & 91.5 four characteristic multiple angle if the favorite in this one. PP1 has an IV of 0.57 but that’s not insurmountable.
Exacta Key Box 1/3,6 and Saver Trifectas 7,8/1/3,6 to cover
If the 1 has the bug:
$0.50 Pick 4 – 1/5,8/1,3,5/1,3,6,7,8,9,(12) (up to 42 bets) ($21)
6th – This race could make me look brilliant or like a horse’s ass, but I call them as I see them, however, the bet size demonstrates my uncertainty.
Bennett has a UCE, 36 & 78 but both of these have a 4.5% Win angle, the RB + DtoT.
Bowersock has yet another entered. Her F3W stats appear to be the real McCoy.
$25 Weighted Exacta Box 5,8
and $2 Trifectas 5,8/2,4,6/4,5,8 (10 bets)($20)
7th – McGoey’s profile is becoming clearer and more reliable at the end of her 4th meeting and with several hundred starters under her skirt. Monica is 40 & 70 with No Changes now.
Bennett presents with another WEAKNESS angle: 5.8% Win with 2L9ups.
Exacta Key Box 3/1,5,9
8th – I can pick winners but I’m not Carnac the Magnificent!
See R5