Friday's Picks

[oriolegirl]

JUVENILE TURF SPRINT



1) MISCHIEF MAGIC

2) TYLER'S TRIBE

3) LOVE REIGNS



LONGSHOT: See TYLER'S TRIBE above



Looks like MISCHIEF MAGIC is ready to run a good one. Charlie Appleby has become the foremost European trainer the last few years. He's 11-6-1-0 with Breeders Cup starters and an amazing 25-13-5-2

in his last 25 North American starts! This colt reeled off three in a row before running 4th to top European 2 year old Blackbeard (who would have been the favorite if he was in here). He had a little

trouble and hopefully he gets a cleaner trip. TYLER'S TRIBE is a very interesting horse. An Iowa bred, he has the type of speed that can be dangerous. He's run Beyers in the 90's and with his speed, he

might not look back. He's never been on turf but he's sired by Sharp Azteca who is off to a phenominal start at stud, including multiple turf winners. LOVE REIGNS is undefeated in North America

and looks like the horse to beat. Oxymore, Persian Force and The Platinum Queen can all compete in here.





JUVENILE FILLIES



1) GRAND LOVE

2) CHOP CHOP

3) WONDER WHEEL

3) CHOCOLATE GELATO



LONGSHOT: See GRAND LOVE above



Going out on a limb and taking GRAND LOVE to upset. Steve Asmussen (who is loaded this Breeders Cup) is very high on her. She won her debut in a very promising fashion, earning a nice 84 Beyer

in the process. Was a little disappointing in the Pocahontas, but she's been working great and is sired by top young sire Gun Runner. Another chance at a square price. CHOP CHOP came flying and

almost caught WONDER WHEEL in the Alciabides. She's been looking good on the track and anything Brad Cox sends out is live. WONDER WHEEL and CHOCOLATE GELATO are the horses to beat.





JUVENILE FILLIES TURF



1) PLEASANT PASSAGE

2) CAIRO CONSORT

3) MEDITATE



LONGHSHOT: CAIRO CONSORT



I've been on PLEASANT PASSAGE since day 1 (I'm a huge Shug fan), and I'm not going off now. She's supposedly been looking very sharp on the track and threw in a bullet 4f work in 47.3.

CAIRO CONSORT is my longshot play. She's been looking sharp in her last few up in Canada and with a little luck in her last, she'd be on a 3 race winning streak. Working bullets for this and picks

up top jock Rosario. MEDITATE is a top Euro from O'Brien and is the horse to beat.





JUVENILE

1) BLAZING SEVENS

2) CAVE ROCK

3) FORTE



LONGSHOT: CURLY JACK



It might be crazy picking against CAVE ROCK who is one of the shortest prices on the card, but here we go. BLAZING SEVENS has been impressive from the start. Came back from a subpar effort in

the Hopeful to crush the Champagne. Been working sharply and although he won't be a big price, it beats taking 4/5 on CAVE ROCK. CAVE ROCK is definitely the horse to beat with those big

Beyers, but he's never raced outside of California and we look to beat him at a very short price. FORTE looks sharp for Pletcher.





JUVENILE TURF

1) PACKS A WAHLOP

2) SILVER KNOT

3) ANDTHEWINNERIS



PACKS A WAHLOP has been unbeatable since moving to the turf. Smith maintains the mount and he should be a square price. SILVER KNOT is definitely the horse to beat. Another one from

the loaded Appleby stable, he will probably be the post time favorite. ANDTHEWINNERIS is out of top young turf sire Oscar Performance and can be in the picture.



LONGSHOT: GASLIGHT DANCER    

Good Luck 
Steve

[cherokeescot]

Steve, in the Juvenile Turf Sprint you left out the winner .. Dramatized Has been kept back specially for this race and would have been the favorite if you toss out his last effort.

In the Juvenile Fillies I’m expecting Atomically to split Chocalte Gelato and Chop Chop

Agree with Meditate in the Fillies Turf and G Laurie might be the best of the domestic hopes

Cave Rock looks dominant in the Juvenile and will be looking for Verifying to hit the board at double digits

Charlie Appleby must be very confident in Silver Knott as Mysterious Knight would have been red hot favorite to take this had he entered.his stablemate.

[damascus]

You are definitely not chalky! thanks for sharing.


JUVENILE TURF SPRINT
Dramatised/Speed Boat/ Tylers Tribe

JUVENILE FILLIES
Attomically/choc gelato/american rocektte

JUVENILE FILLIES TURF
cairo consort/free look/manhattan jungle


JUVENILE
Cave Rock

JUVENILE TURF
silver knott/reckoning force/and the winneris

good luck

Dam

[oriolegirl]

Damascus,
I’ve been on this board almost 25 years. Have you ever known me to be chalky! 😁
Steve

[ozzy]

Had a long insightful well thought out post but didn’t go through and was lost…. Quicker rundown here after 2nd time through


Juvy Turf: I’ve already tabbed Private Creed from off the pace with all the speed signed on. Others mentioned Persian Force and Dramatised and find no complaints with either aside from the fact that steering clear of Euros in this spot for the win but certainly using underneath. Love Reigns fits trainer profile and recency in this event for sure. Oxymore is the other I am interested in.

Juv Fillies: No price plays but give me Wonder Wheel who has looked fabulous out of the Alcibiades and Chop Chop closing. Hoping for a $50 exacta… Grand Love underneath in the tri and would have used Anatomically but getting steam and likely to be much lower than the ML

Juvy Fillies Turf: Xigeria will be ignored and can wire this field at 20-1… as much as it pains me to use Leparoux. Pleasant Passage another I will use prominently as well as Delight. Thinking a 5 horse tri and super play including Be Your Best, and G Laurie with a troubled trip out of the Natalma. Of course if I like those 2 probably need to look at Free Look and Cairo Consort and now too many to like… Ugh…. More studying to do as feel this race is the key to a very profitable day if like I am doing, you toss the Euros. Or I could be majorly wrong…..

Juvenile: As much as it pains me, Cave Rock seems to be heads and shoulders above this field. I think Lost Ark is a major player this spring on the Derby trail and he could rebound here to run a big 2nd and complete the exacta. Perhaps Verifying to complete the tri?

Juvy Turf: Stated I see lots to like with Andthewinneris doing things 2YOs on the turf typically do not: He closed with a rush going 5 1/2 at Kee to break his maiden which something horses do not usually do here. Toss the dirt try and the slow pace in the With Anticipation which compromised him. Last at Kee was impressive, tabbed him that day but wanted the ML 10-1 vs the 4-1 fav he went off. Still, Pratt getting off is pause for concern but Rosario a capable replacement…. With that said, Silver Knott looks incredibly well meant here. Trainer has won, what, 3 of the last 4 in this event. I think 2-1 will be a gift here. Maker has a shot here to complete the tri with Really Good and would boost the exotics for sure. Debating between Packs A Whalop who many seems to like and will likely be much lower than the ML 6-1, or Nagirocc who has much better odds.

[ozzy]

Just saw Bev’s post that G Laurie is out of the Juv Fillies Turf so helps me some there…. And solidifies using Nagirocc in the Juv Turf tri

[oriolegirl]

Nice rundown Ozzy.

[cherokeescot]

Nov 3, 2022 21:59:30 GMT -5 oriolegirl said:

Nice rundown Ozzy.

The man who invented predictive text passed away yesterday. His funfair will be next monkey. 

[bobtailnag]

My 4 for tomorrow

Speed Boat with Persian
And Tell Me with Atomically
Meditate with Pleasant Passage
Cave Rock with Verifying

[tc]

Nov 3, 2022 22:06:43 GMT -5 cherokeescot said:

Nov 3, 2022 21:59:30 GMT -5 oriolegirl said:

Nice rundown Ozzy.

The man who invented predictive text passed away yesterday. His funfair will be next monkey. 

[mysaladdays]

Nov 3, 2022 21:01:46 GMT -5 ozzy said:

Juvy Fillies Turf: Xigeria will be ignored and can wire this field at 20-1… 

In agreemement about Xigeria.   When I posted her last week I thought she was in the dirt race;  dunno if she can do turf but let's try. 
upinclass.proboards.com/post/61801

Unfortunately was in ER last night (I'm okay) .... but not up to writing paragraphs

Race 6: 
Dramatized
Lady Hollywood
Private Creed
Persian Force

Race 7: 
Chop Chop
Your My Girl
Raging Sea
And Tell Me No Lies

Longshot:  Vegas Magic

Race 8: 
Meditate
Xigera
Pleasant Passage
Midnight Mile

Longshot:  Comanche Country

Race 9:
Forte
Cave Rock
Curly Jack 
National Treasure

Race 10:
Victoria Road 
Major Dude 
Silver Knott
Andthewinneris

Longshot:  Gaslight Dancer or Reckoning Force
upinclass.proboards.com/post/61802



 Race 2 
I love Indy Again @30-1

[ozzy]

Couldn't stay away so trying an early Pick 5: 1,2,8/6/6,11/2,9/2,4,9

[cindyloujazz]

Juv Turf sprint: Love Reigns,Oxymore, Dramatized
Juv Fillies: Wonder Wheel, Chop Chop and Shoplifter underneath, post 12 too hard to win from.
Juv Filly turf: Cairo Consort, Last Call, Pleasant Passage, Spirit Gal.
Juv: no bet
Juv Turf: Andthewinneris, Curly, Larry and mo; Nagirroc, MO Stash.

Good luck to all!

[tenfurlongs]

I'll make some spot plays in each individual race, but here are the wagers I just put in involving multiple legs, plus my prime $ hope for a good payout today. 

KEE R8: Pick-3  1,2,3,4,5,6,7,9,10/3,4/2,4,6

KEE R8: EX  7/All

KEE R6/8/10: $3 All-Turf Pick-3  2,4,6/7,10/2,4

KEE FriR10/SatR10: DBL  2,4,6,8/3,4,5,7,11 (not a great idea to go 4x5 in a DD wager, but I feel good about my chances, and if I hit for $200+ it will cover me for the day.)


Good luck to all!




TW

[cherokeescot]

Nov 3, 2022 21:01:46 GMT -5 ozzy said:

Had a long insightful well thought out post but didn’t go through and was lost…. Quicker rundown here after 2nd time through


Juvy Fillies Turf: Xigeria will be ignored and can wire this field at 20-1… as much as it pains me to use Leparoux. Pleasant Passage another I will use prominently as well as Delight. Thinking a 5 horse tri and super play including Be Your Best, and G Laurie with a troubled trip out of the Natalma. Of course if I like those 2 probably need to look at Free Look and Cairo Consort and now too many to like… Ugh…. More studying to do as feel this race is the key to a very profitable day if like I am doing, you toss the Euros. Or I could be majorly wrong…..

Just listened to the Paddy Power Breeders Cup Podcast and Scott Hazelton said that a respected gambler he knows put $15k to win on Xigeria so there goes your 20-1 🤑

[Badactor]

[mysaladdays]

That win by Mischief Magic may turn out to be the most amazing race of the entire Breeders Cup races. Holy cow.

It was like watching a Border Collie in a rally/agility trial,  weaving in and out of poles.  

[quickcall]

1-3-4-5 exb, trb and supb on all BC races.

$26.40 for each race.

Let it ride!! LOL

[damascus]

Terrific Ride by Gafflione on Wonder Wheel. Very patient and won the race on the turn taking the wide open rail.

[damascus]

Raging Sea had every chance, managed to save ground early and not get hung out on the first turn but just didnt have it. Beginning to think the Chad B and Pletcher horses are not going to be all that this weekend.

[oriolegirl]

Good start. Win on Mischief Magic and pick 3. Had the triple box in the 8th but didn’t bet it.
Steve

[damascus]

You are just getting warmed up!! i had a brief thrill down the stretch with my 70-1 shot Manhattan Jungle clinging to a small lead but Meditate was awesome! good luck with the rest of yours

Dam

[merasmag]

R9: 3,4,8,10

R10: 1-4,7,8,13

[mysaladdays]

Nov 4, 2022 11:44:17 GMT -5 cherokeescot said:

Nov 3, 2022 21:01:46 GMT -5 ozzy said:

Just listened to the Paddy Power Breeders Cup Podcast and Scott Hazelton said that a respected gambler he knows put $15k to win on Xigeria so there goes your 20-1 🤑

I posted her last week, but thought she was running on dirt.    Most all of her works are on dirt.

She did great on the inner turf at SAR......but wondering now if she would have done better sticking to dirt.  I really went out on a limb using her today as a result, wish I had not. 

upinclass.proboards.com/post/61801

[merasmag]

best bears player of the century

[mysaladdays]

Thank god Victoria Road won R10. I finally got a decent winner today, he was my main play for today but had to wait til the end of the day to get him (after doing poorly with my wagers for most of the day).

[merasmag]

Nov 4, 2022 16:48:49 GMT -5 mysaladdays said:

Thank god Victoria Road won R10. I finally got a decent winner today, he was my main play for today but had to wait til the end of the day to get him (after doing poorly with my wagers for most of the day).

congrats-he made my double look notsostupid. forte on!