It's Saint Patty's Week - FREE PLAY WEDNESDAY at Tampa
Mar 14, 2023 8:38:11 GMT -5
Post by johnnybattbd on Mar 14, 2023 8:38:11 GMT -5
Wednesday, March 15th, 2023
Sunday was messy. It got off on the right foot when Colors won the opener and then went downhill from there. Arnett missed by a neck at 2-5 after missing the break, we had the DD in Rs 3& 4, if you found my typos, Dr. No had another long one, this time to make KOC the winningest woman in history (and lend legitimacy to himself just long enough to have his picture taken), then in the 6th, another typo race, the mistake paid $38.80 in a dash that went sub-21 and 43.53 early and ended with a +5. Who says ignorance isn’t bliss? The rest of the day was more of the same, with the Brown UCE finishing up the track in the nitecap.
Take out the papers and the trash, or you don’t get no spending cash, Get all that garbage out of sight, or you don’t go out Friday night…
Yakety yak, so it goes…
I’m calling this What if Wednesday! A sliding doors style compendium of possible outcomes, each free from the necessity for the other to be correct! May the pot o' gold promised on Friday, arrive early for your Cat-Lick, Turf Cutting faithful Irish Johnny McBarile!
1st – Arriagada is 78% ITM in 71 tries when the favorite on the DC and is 10-17 win with the same angle at this meeting.
Sanchez’s piece was ITM in 9 of last 12 and he has a $5K EPS, significantly higher than our locals.
In an effort to find some value here:
$50 Weighted DDs 4/All and Win 7 to cover
2nd – All button looks right. Sanchez has another?!?! La Machine Jr. is 16 & 44 with FTSs, Machado has three bomb angles going for his recent acquisition, KOC is 26 & 42 with FTSs, Hamm has a UCE, 24% Win and Falk was par in last, while he’s also 5-9 ITM with 2TSs with 3 wins recently.
$50 Weighted DDs All/2
3rd – Might the smart money possibly go to Dominguez with switch to Camacho today? He hasn’t missed the board when the top choice on the Stretchout in 12 years.
Win 6 to cover
$50 Weighted DDs 2,6/2,8
4th – Monarch was 5 for 12 Win last season and looks to get off the schneid (0-9) with My Man Vito (6) here. Vito was par in last and Rigattieri is 30 & 70 with Non-shipping Dropdowns, while Morales, 10 of last 25 Win and Place is up. Davidic Line, 3rd in Vito’s last won with a +20,+2 on March 10th.
Win 6 to cover
$50 Weighted DDs 2,6,8/1,5
5th – There’s usually a period of adjustment when horses find themselves in new homes that they didn’t ask for, kinda like being the uncooperative party in an arranged marriage. You can imagine how that must go….
With six of these experiencing this unwanted upheaval recently, it seems to me that they may still be in that let’s get to know each other period of the arranged marriage honeymoon…
In any case, Torres is 35% Win and Place with his angle and Feliciano is 33% Win with Plain FBKs.
$0.50 Pick 5 – 1,5/1,2,3,7,8/7,9/11/2,4,5 (60 bets)($30)
6th – I got nothin’ here.
See R 5
7th – The hard way:
$10 Trifecta 7/9/5 and $10 Superfecta 7/9/1/5
$75 Weighted DDs 7,9/6,9,10,11
8th – Ubide has a 24 & 55 angle here, the FBK + Dropdown and HVG is > 50% ITM in L2W. PP11 hurts, but will 11 actually go?
$25 Place and Show 11
$50 Weighted DDs 6,9,10/4,5
9th – Five firsters and three Value Conditioners create a myriad of possibilities…
Motion throws a screwball at us….he’s 0-27 with FTSs but 29 & 56 with UCEs. OK, I’m at a loss for words…
Trifectas 1,2/1,2,4,5/3,4,5,7,10 (26 bets) if alive in the DD
Sunday was messy. It got off on the right foot when Colors won the opener and then went downhill from there. Arnett missed by a neck at 2-5 after missing the break, we had the DD in Rs 3& 4, if you found my typos, Dr. No had another long one, this time to make KOC the winningest woman in history (and lend legitimacy to himself just long enough to have his picture taken), then in the 6th, another typo race, the mistake paid $38.80 in a dash that went sub-21 and 43.53 early and ended with a +5. Who says ignorance isn’t bliss? The rest of the day was more of the same, with the Brown UCE finishing up the track in the nitecap.
Take out the papers and the trash, or you don’t get no spending cash, Get all that garbage out of sight, or you don’t go out Friday night…
Yakety yak, so it goes…
I’m calling this What if Wednesday! A sliding doors style compendium of possible outcomes, each free from the necessity for the other to be correct! May the pot o' gold promised on Friday, arrive early for your Cat-Lick, Turf Cutting faithful Irish Johnny McBarile!
1st – Arriagada is 78% ITM in 71 tries when the favorite on the DC and is 10-17 win with the same angle at this meeting.
Sanchez’s piece was ITM in 9 of last 12 and he has a $5K EPS, significantly higher than our locals.
In an effort to find some value here:
$50 Weighted DDs 4/All and Win 7 to cover
2nd – All button looks right. Sanchez has another?!?! La Machine Jr. is 16 & 44 with FTSs, Machado has three bomb angles going for his recent acquisition, KOC is 26 & 42 with FTSs, Hamm has a UCE, 24% Win and Falk was par in last, while he’s also 5-9 ITM with 2TSs with 3 wins recently.
$50 Weighted DDs All/2
3rd – Might the smart money possibly go to Dominguez with switch to Camacho today? He hasn’t missed the board when the top choice on the Stretchout in 12 years.
Win 6 to cover
$50 Weighted DDs 2,6/2,8
4th – Monarch was 5 for 12 Win last season and looks to get off the schneid (0-9) with My Man Vito (6) here. Vito was par in last and Rigattieri is 30 & 70 with Non-shipping Dropdowns, while Morales, 10 of last 25 Win and Place is up. Davidic Line, 3rd in Vito’s last won with a +20,+2 on March 10th.
Win 6 to cover
$50 Weighted DDs 2,6,8/1,5
5th – There’s usually a period of adjustment when horses find themselves in new homes that they didn’t ask for, kinda like being the uncooperative party in an arranged marriage. You can imagine how that must go….
With six of these experiencing this unwanted upheaval recently, it seems to me that they may still be in that let’s get to know each other period of the arranged marriage honeymoon…
In any case, Torres is 35% Win and Place with his angle and Feliciano is 33% Win with Plain FBKs.
$0.50 Pick 5 – 1,5/1,2,3,7,8/7,9/11/2,4,5 (60 bets)($30)
6th – I got nothin’ here.
See R 5
7th – The hard way:
$10 Trifecta 7/9/5 and $10 Superfecta 7/9/1/5
$75 Weighted DDs 7,9/6,9,10,11
8th – Ubide has a 24 & 55 angle here, the FBK + Dropdown and HVG is > 50% ITM in L2W. PP11 hurts, but will 11 actually go?
$25 Place and Show 11
$50 Weighted DDs 6,9,10/4,5
9th – Five firsters and three Value Conditioners create a myriad of possibilities…
Motion throws a screwball at us….he’s 0-27 with FTSs but 29 & 56 with UCEs. OK, I’m at a loss for words…
Trifectas 1,2/1,2,4,5/3,4,5,7,10 (26 bets) if alive in the DD
