Tampa Bay Downs- 12/3

[tenfurlongs]

Finally a mostly bettable card, all 2yo races, two 6F dirt stakes. I'll probably skip races 4 & 5, and definitely trying to hit the late pick-4 (R7-10.) Fast & firm, 81F. 


R1- MDCLM32000 8.5F turf 2yo

www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/briswatch.cgi/public/KathleenOConnell/O'CONNELL+KATHLEEN/9999/summary.html
 (note- you'll have to copy and paste the link to the PPs, because of the apostrophe)

#3- Secretary of War (8-5) will likely be even-money by post time, based on Rodriguez's otherworldly first-off-the-claim stats (62//40% & 66%), but if he runs his last race again he'll lose, and Gallardo hasn't been sharp so far (9/1-1-2.) I'll play contrarian and try to get some combination of 1,4 & 6 home ahead of him.

EXBOX- 1,4,6 


R2- MSW32000 6F 2yo 

www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/briswatch.cgi/public/EoinHarty/HARTY+EOIN/9999/summary.html

Thinking that #8- Dropkick Murphy (2-1) can wire this group from the outside post under Pablo Morales, but I also have to use $125K purchase #4- Ship the Goods (4-1) just in case Clement has the goods. Godolphin's #1- Groveland (6-1) has every right to improve in his second start, son of Street Sense will be running on late.

EXBOX- 1,4,8

dropkickmurphys.com


R3- Sandpiper Stakes $100K 6F 2yo f

www.equibase.com/static/entry/TAM120322USA3-EQB.html

Hoping that #3- Dreaming of Snow (4-1) is the fastest of these and never looks back under Camacho.

WIN- 3


R6- MDCLM16000 8.5F turf 2yo

www.equibase.com/static/entry/TAM120322USA6-EQB.html

Wanted to bet #8- Dad's on a Roll (5-1) on opening day but they came off the turf. This appears to be a weaker group, and he's the one that is bred to do this best. Maddie Rowland has been ice cold to start the meet, but she does get 5lbs off. Taking a flyer.

WIN- 8


R7- MSW32000 6F 2yo f

www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/briswatch.cgi/public/EoinHarty/HARTY+EOIN/9999/summary.html

#6- White Hot Gold (9-2) is a half-sister to Red Oak's homebred Mind Control, which won the Hopeful (GI) as a 2yo. Nice work over the track upon arrival.

WIN- 6  PICK4- 3,6,9/1,5,8/4,7/2,7,8 


R8- MSW27000 8F turf 2yo f

www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/briswatch.cgi/public/EoinHarty/HARTY+EOIN/9999/summary.html

Captain Obvious play with 1,5,8 (Brown, Motion, Clement) as they look like the solid turf routers going forward from this group. Using in PICK4 only.


R9- Inaugural Stakes $100K 6F 2yo

www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/briswatch.cgi/public/SaffieAJosephJr/JOSEPH+SAFFIE+A+JR/9999/summary.html

More chalk as 4,7 look like the class/speed of this group. PICK4 only.


R10- MSW27000 8F turf 2yo

www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/briswatch.cgi/public/EoinHarty/HARTY+EOIN/9999/summary.html

Phipps, Godolphin, and the Clement runner all look like turf routers in the making, hope one of them is ready today. PICK4 only.





TW

[docd]

R.D.Allen early DD
TBD1 DD 6/2
GL

[docd]

TBD3 Sandpiper Stk.
6 Lady Radler 5/2,Kanthros filly out of (SAF) mare who won early for TVI

[tenfurlongs]

TW

[merasmag]

how icy does that havta be? as long as no one is hurt it's funny

[tc]

Gotta love Montreal in the winter!