SAR 7/30

[tenfurlongs]

R4-

2- Sea Foam (2-1) is probably the worst favorite of the meet so far. His only poor races in the last ten were over sloppy/muddy tracks. I’m on 5- Too Early (7-2) for Rice/Lezcano. Progressive 4yo out of Distorted Humor should like the going, can stalk and pounce.




TW

[1hooper]

Tough game. Chalk in the mud.
On to R5.

[tenfurlongs]

And that's why you should never listen to my opinion in a dirt race...lol. I get that he was dropping back to a level where he'd had previous success from NYB stakes, but if he's won 7 of 17 fast dirt races and half a million dollars lifetime, why risk him for $45K today if he's still any good? Is N3X that much tougher than N2X? Speed and faded last two seasonal debuts over off going. So he only likes SAR mud? That sh*t makes no sense to me. Waiting to see if he was claimed...

{edit: claimed by Ten Strike Racing}




TW

[tenfurlongs]

R5-

Continuing the 'I Don't Get It' Futility Tour, in race 5 there are two drop downs that have handled off tracks (10 & 11), and a horse which actually won a MSW in April (12) but reappeared in a N2L sprint where a claim of him was voided. Handles off going just fine, $800K Tapit cast-off from Pletcher has a "please take me" sign on him. I'm dumb enough to box the three outside runners.

EXBOX- 10,11,12




TW

[tenfurlongs]

R7-

I've distilled all the factors from the 4th and 5th races, and come up with this: Handles two turns (check), 9F (check), off going (check), has some early foot (check), likes SAR (check) and has a 4% trainer and 0% jockey (ch...wait, what?). Bullet work from the gate two days ago over BEL tr.t. (WTF?). I must be Obsessed (30-1 m/l).

WPS- 5




TW

[1hooper]

Maggie an A+ with the hats the last two days.
Boring card so far, maybe The Curlin Stakes will provide a spark.

[eye123]

[spiderjohn]

I pull out of today’s toga mess with either 10 or 12.
Multiples with 10
So leaving it alone

On a day like today you either play win cold x or pass imo