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Post by tenfurlongs on Jan 21, 2021 19:06:27 GMT -5
Weather looks to be fast and firm. Great card, full fields. Load up your ADW account.
TW
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Post by DoctorDisaster on Jan 23, 2021 8:11:26 GMT -5
Load up your ADW account.
TW
And your fridge My futile attempt at an early DD GP1 2 Moral Reasoning 4/1, working well for Lynch,Joel picks up the mount. 4 Toffen 15/1,uncoupled Lynch entry 3 210 @ GP with Bravo 8 Vividly 10/1, FTNA FTL for Walsh and Tyler,may try to steal this 9 Follow the Flag 8/1, Matz and JR ,nice works GP2 3 American Law 3/1,FTL for Gargan and Saez.Out of what could become a key race.Looks like a very strong play but I fear the price won't be near ML 11 Dynamic One 5/2 ,FTL/ TAP/ I Ortiz ,tough combo there 7 Partner's Hope 15/1,FTL for McPeek and Lanerie goes AW2D,looks sneaky with steady work. GL
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1hooper
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Post by 1hooper on Jan 23, 2021 9:10:17 GMT -5
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Post by tenfurlongs on Jan 23, 2021 9:48:56 GMT -5
R1- 1 Mile (Turf) OC 25000n1x
#2- Moral Reasoning (4-1) PTB Chad, now in the high-pct Lynch barn. Rosario back aboard, needs a clean, well-timed run to get there, but the drop from open alw company should help. #8- Vividly (10-1) gets FTL, has three GB races that could win this, Tyler is underrated on the lawn, I think. #10- What a Beaut (10-1) has been running against FL-breds but has good form right now, working well, post doesn't help.
EX- 2,8/1,2,8,10,11
R2- 1 1/16 Mile Mdn 50k
EX- 3,11/2,3,11,12
R3- 1 1/16 Mile (Turf) OC 25000n1x
Not sure if #5- Juulstone (8-1) can beat all of these after ten months away, but she's clearly a turf horse, like many of the APs. Going with #9- Homeland (6-1) which finds a much easier spot today for the Mott-Alvarado juggernaut.
WIN- 9
R4- 1 Mile FHooper-G3
I don't think #7- Haikal (9-2) cares for GP, and his running style doesn't help. #5- Phat Man (7-2) won this last year but hasn't shown anything since. #1- Performer (7-5) looks like the best horse in here, but he'll still have to run down #3- Shivaree (12-1) who could lead them around on a merry chase.
WIN- 3
R5- 1 Mile (Turf) OC 62500b
#8- Winters Back (4-1) is clearly my hunch bet for today (18 degrees, W 20 gusting 30 mph as I type), but should have some company up front. Remember when Pletcher/Velazquez was a thing? I think this is all about Chad, though. #2- Emaraaty (7-2) is back after missing all of 2020, and the long PMM worktab is super impressive. Already graduated N2X condition, best if not too keen early.
TRI- 2/7,11,12/ALL
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TW
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Post by tenfurlongs on Jan 23, 2021 10:46:08 GMT -5
R6- 7 Furlongs Mdn 50k
Some hot pedigrees on display, none more than #10- Stage Raider (9-2) who is a half-brother to Justify. But over in the corner, hiding from the big guns and the betting public is #4- Exalted Charm (8-1) the only foal from Graceful Charm, a half-sister to Tapizar. Looked to be ready to roll at MTH, but had a hiccup. PMM worktab is outstanding, including that buried near-bullet on Christmas Eve. Price should be right.
WIN- 4
R7- 1 Mile (Turf) MrshsRvr-G3
Boxing #4- Vigilante's Way (7-2) which just won the TP Oaks for Shug, lightly-raced #8- Tuned (8-1) which should have another forward move in her arsenal, and #9- Niko's Dream (6-1) dropping back off a win in the My Charmer S. prepping for this.
EXBOX- 4,8,9
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TW
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Post by tenfurlongs on Jan 23, 2021 11:26:59 GMT -5
R8- 1 1/2 Mile (Turf) LaPrvyte-G3
Pretty evenly matched affair, so another three-horse box of #6- Cambeliza (20-1) stretching out again for Arnaud Delacour, #8- Delta's Kingdom (8-1) Mott and Junior, and #5- Lovely Lucky (10-1) which looks to be improving for Tom Albertrani.
EXBOX- 5,6,8
R9- 7 Furlongs InsdInfo-G2
#1- Dream Marie (5-1) on the turnback from a mile, if the odds stay north of 5-1.
WIN- 1 (>5-1)
R10- 1 1/2 Mile (Turf) WLMcKnt-G3
Really liked #1- Doswell (7-2) last time but he had an eventful trip, to say the least. Taken to upset old pro Sadler's Joy, who is probably better going a bit shorter.
WIN- 1
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TW
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1hooper
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Post by 1hooper on Jan 23, 2021 11:36:46 GMT -5
Liked Luis in R1 at 3-1 or more. Not at 9/5.
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Post by DoctorDisaster on Jan 23, 2021 11:39:11 GMT -5
GP3 9 Homeland 6/1 NYB for Mott and Junior(23%) looks good 11 Junkanoo 7/2 CB and Tyler may be winging early from out there 4 Scanno 5/1 looks like he could be a factor 2 Beau Luminarie 8/1 runs well fresh
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Post by tenfurlongs on Jan 23, 2021 11:46:52 GMT -5
R11- 1 3/16 Mile (Turf) PWCTfInv-G1
#6- Largent (9-2) is strictly the one to beat, but I'll try with my favorite horse-in-training #11- Say the Word (6-1), which has really come into his own after being stretched out to longer distances. Turns back to the distance at which he set a course record at Saratoga, should be flying down the lane under all-world turf rider Prat.
WIN- 11
R12- 1 1/8 Mile PWCInvit-G1
$3M dollar purse and this is the field we get?! Rooting for #8- Harpers First Ride (10-1) which is as consistent as they come, and it would be a great story for racing.
W/P- 8
Good luck with your wagers!
TW
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Post by tenfurlongs on Jan 23, 2021 11:56:04 GMT -5
Just added Vividly to my Stable Mail. He should be a force next time out with a stretchout in distance and STL. Dead last at the top of the stretch and in front three jumps past the wire. Wow.
TW
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eye123
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Post by eye123 on Jan 23, 2021 11:59:50 GMT -5
I'm going to take a stab here (GP 2nd) on the #7 Partner's Hope. McPeek runner who ran a credible race against Caddo River in his first try, went off as the favorite in last (showing nothing) here first time lasix...McPeek known for springing at a price. Seeing action at the window 7-1 currently.
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eye123
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Post by eye123 on Jan 23, 2021 12:15:04 GMT -5
Good run by the #7...Lanerie took up into the turn(with nowhere to go)..one to watch next out.
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Post by DoctorDisaster on Jan 23, 2021 12:16:08 GMT -5
GP4 F.Hooper 1M 3 Shivaree 12/1,looks like a nice price play 4 Dream Maker 15/1,this guy can run but has a bad head,long overdue to show what he was supposed to be. 5 Phat Man 7/2 past winner of this can pull it off again
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Post by DoctorDisaster on Jan 23, 2021 12:19:52 GMT -5
Good run by the #7...Lanerie took up into the turn(with nowhere to go)..one to watch next out. I agree, the 3 had a not so good trip as well.Just so happened I needed either for a DD and get beat by my buddy Paco
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eye123
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Posts: 2,671
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Post by eye123 on Jan 23, 2021 12:28:48 GMT -5
This next race...one big ? mark. Going to single the Brown in the fifth...maybe play pk3 spread here.
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Post by DoctorDisaster on Jan 23, 2021 14:34:38 GMT -5
Looks like Walsh has a live one...yikes.For the record needed the second or fourth finishers for DD. He may double up with 3 Zofelle.I like 8 Tuned 8/1,for HGM and Irad and 9 Niko's Dream 6/1 is looking like a must use at that price.
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Post by bobtailnag on Jan 23, 2021 15:18:26 GMT -5
The Peg - Very interested in #11, Say The Word. :Last race, G2 Hollywood Turf Cup, STW is a stayer type of runner but the first two calls were :49 & 1:14 but he laid back until the final turn the made a very nice move to close within a length or the winner who came very close to breaking the track record for the distance. His race before that one was the G1 Northern Dancer where he ran the same race - first two calls were :51 & 1:17 and was last at both calls, made a nice move after the turn and won it.
20 win - 10 ex 5-6-12/11 (---- if I take the trip across the river)
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