Not in Larry's class but he's my take.
Nov 1, 2019 20:42:11 GMT -5
Post by bobtailnag on Nov 1, 2019 20:42:11 GMT -5
R4 Looks pretty much like a 2-horse race with Covfefe and Come Dancing. Maybe Spice can sneak in to enhance the exacta. There is a chance Selcourt might soften them up enough to help Lady Ninja get a good late run. That's the best hope I can see for a good mutuel at the window.
R5 There's no standout in here so the best 'cappers in here might cash a nice one. My keys in here is Totally Boss and Eddie. Stormy, Bevoir and Pure Sensation with these. This field looks ideal for one of those $0.50 Superfecta wagers. Anything goes in this one.
R6 Blue Chipper is the MacGuffin in this race and no doubt he will go off much lower than his 20/1 ML. I would not be surprised if the most popular exacta in this race is Omaha over Chipper. I'm still on Improbable so he and Mr Money will be on the tickets but the only way to cash a big one is of Omaha finishes 3rd or worse.
B7 There's Sistercharlie and then there's everybody else. Billsdon Brook 10/1 just came off winning a Group 1 from Newmarket so there's one that would look good finishing 2nd in here. Villa Marina 8/1 just came off a Group 1 win at Longchamp – that's 2. And Castle Lady won back-to-back Group 1s this spring at Longchamp and just finished placing 2nd in the QEII at Keeneland so that's 3 to key up with Sistercharlie.
R8 Mitole looks like an even money bet – or worse; but I'm going to key Engage 15/1 He's coming into his own at just the right time. Moved to Assmussen's barn and took off for 3 months, when he went back to the track he won a listed stakes then won the G2 Phoenix. Another step forward puts him with the G1s. While a win would be great (and very profitable), I would happily watch him finish second. Catalina, Mitole, Shancelot and Imperial
R9 I like Suedois 20/1. Last out in the Shadwell Turf at Keeneland he was in 10th place all the way to the stretch call – after the final furlong he was 3/4s of a length behind the winner. Now he's gotten over the jet lag. He's primed for the big one. He's's my key.
Stormy, Circus, Gannens and Bowies Hero join him in the winners circle.
R10 If Mo See Cal doesn't entice Serengeti Empress into a drag race, I'd use the Empress for my key, buts that's the only way she knows how to run. Those two should be playing tag with each other down the back stretch and that won't win this race. Midnight Bisou looks like it will win her 8th in a row. I hot pace will definitly help the likes of Street Band 10/1, Dundar Road 6/1, and mostly Blue Prize 6/1– that's my horse in this race with a nice sized win bet fueled with all the money I win in the previous races tomorrow.
R11 Bricks and Mortar will be looking for his 7th in a row, and he's one stayer that doesn't need a pace to help him close the deal. The only two I think have a chance at an upset is Old Persian (My choice) and Anthony Van Duck. A simple exacta box should do it and hope I at least double my money.
R12 Elate 6/1 Lifetime 3/3 at 1-1/4. Would she be the first race mare to win the classic? She should be more like 12/1 in this race. She could hit the board so take a close look before tossing her. If I have a few bucks left I'll drop 10 on her. Now, who can beat McKinzie – besides Yoshida? If High Power can repeat his Pacific Classic run, he possibly could; and Vino and Code of Honor could also do it. Vino has never strung 2 good ones in a row so I'll toss him – at least there's a reason to toss him, week as it might me. High Power has really only had that on big win so he's out. Code of Honor is the winner. (Now watch War Of Will jump up with a big one.)
Good luck to all.