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Post by bobtailnag on Oct 30, 2019 17:22:38 GMT -5
There's a son of Tiznow in this race that has been running in Korea and to date his record is 8/7-0-0. One of those races was at 1 mile in a G3 race with a full field (12) and he won it by 10 lengths. His ML odds are 20-1. Would you load up on him right now if you could get 20-1?
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shoes
UpInClass Steward
Posts: 2,115
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Post by shoes on Oct 30, 2019 18:26:21 GMT -5
20-1 not enough given the unknowns IMO. I do think he is interesting and bet he goes off at a bigger price. May find a way to include him in something.
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tc
UpInClass Member
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Post by tc on Oct 30, 2019 18:42:46 GMT -5
I tried to empty my wagering account on tijeu nopeu adeul winning this race but I got an error message that said the minimum bet is $2.  |
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Post by bobtailnag on Oct 30, 2019 19:07:52 GMT -5
Me Shoes - I beg to differ with you. With so many occasional wagerers (New word, just invented it) I think there will be be more than enough to drop the odds below 20/1. Omaha will lead the way at windows but all those looking for a score will jump all over him. I'm sticking with Improbable and using Coal front for a gimmick or two. And I will have Kim Jong-un in there too. Kim is his jockey.
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Post by elkurzhal on Oct 30, 2019 19:58:27 GMT -5
Only bit of info I have on Blue Chipper is the last race got a timeform fig of 116 which equates to a 103 beyer using the formula Dr Roman published long ago.
Tgraph game the last race a 1.25. Not quite as competitive. It was over a muddy track, so who knows.
That’s not the fastest in here, but is competitive. Trying to dig up more, could be a huge opportunity (to go broke?)
Video of his 34 and change blowout at SA and a couple of his races are available on YouTube/twitter.
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Post by nolazag on Oct 30, 2019 20:32:13 GMT -5
Got a 1.25 for that last race in the mud when he ran on lead. 34.4 breeze suggests he will gun alongside Coal Front from the gate.
Found video of his last race. Sure doesn't look like a muddy track:
And here's the video of him winning the 1 mile Owner's Cup two back:
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Post by elkurzhal on Oct 30, 2019 22:21:14 GMT -5
Track looks odd/different but your right, not muddy. Both def and Tgraph show it as muddy, prob something screwy in the translation...
Read and article that said they were expected to be under a typhoon warning until the weather shifted the morning of the race. None of the trailing runners looked muddy on your replay which showed a good amount of the gallop out.
Still not sure what to make of this guy...
A couple Listed/G3 us runners were up the track in that last race.
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shoes
UpInClass Steward
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Post by shoes on Oct 31, 2019 6:51:05 GMT -5
OK, I am more intrigued. Thanks for the speed conversions elk. Not a crazy pick then.
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ozzy
UpInClass Member
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Post by ozzy on Nov 1, 2019 18:49:15 GMT -5
Omaha Beach one heck of a horse but going with a true miler in Mr Money with OB and a Diamond Oops
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