IT'S FREE PLAY WEDNESDAY AT TAMPA - April 18th
Apr 18, 2018 8:43:48 GMT -5
Post by johnnybattbd on Apr 18, 2018 8:43:48 GMT -5
Nice card...thought I'd christen the new site today!
Wednesday, April 18th
So how hot is Samy Camacho? Last year he won 12% here. From Opening Day thru March 31st he won 18%. In April he won 40% at average odds of $3-1 (and 45% when the favorite at the meeting).
1st – KOC is 12-21 Win with Non-layoff Shipper + Dropdown types and outperforms with FBKs (IV 1.3).
Win 3
Pick 3 – 3/All/8
2nd – Delacour may be #4 among leading conditioners with firsters on the dirt, but Donarra has not won with one of their own since April 2016.
3rd – Tap Speed (8) just looks right for 50% ITM Elliot Sullivan and #3 Leading Owner with 50 or more starts Bruno Schickendanz.
Exacta Key Box 8/1,5,7
Saver Trifectas 2,8/2,8/1,5,8
4th – Trifecta Box 3,5,7,10
5th – Thurston (8) has something going for him. Chavez is 7-36 Win (19%) with Shortenup + No Class Change types. He’s been above par in two of last four. 11 of 19 of Jose’s bombs have been Layoffs or 2Ls.
$50 Exacta 6/8
$2 Saver Trifectas 5,7,9,10/6,8/6,8 ($16)
$2 Saver Pick 3 – 8/All/3 ($12)
6th – Competitive six horse field ensures excitement but is unplayable.
$2.50 Pick 4 – All/3/6/1,2,3,4 ($60)
7th – Jermyn Street (3) plunges in class after hat trick at related distances versus better. 111 odds-on winners at the meeting give you an idea why it’s been tough to make a buck this year. Clearly my BEST BET of the meeting, but like M.C. Hammer, “u can’t touch this” at least not for win.
Exacta 3/7
Trifecta 3/7/4
Superfecta 3/7/4/5
$10 Pick 3 – 3/5,6,10/3,4 ($60)
8th – Clearly Love (6) goes for Lopez Jr. (10% Win and 27% ITM on the Dirt here). The mare has made par numbers on several occasions unlike pretender Precious Intent (7), who won by 6 while 8 over par.
$75 Weighted Exacta Key Box 6/5,10
9th – Nobody has a profile on Stidham like ours, so we may eke out a bit more value here. Michael is 40% Win and 60% ITM with L1-3 + S types and 8 for 9 ITM with RBs. His only UCE ran 1,2.
Trifectas 3,4/1,2,7/3,4
Wednesday, April 18th
So how hot is Samy Camacho? Last year he won 12% here. From Opening Day thru March 31st he won 18%. In April he won 40% at average odds of $3-1 (and 45% when the favorite at the meeting).
1st – KOC is 12-21 Win with Non-layoff Shipper + Dropdown types and outperforms with FBKs (IV 1.3).
Win 3
Pick 3 – 3/All/8
2nd – Delacour may be #4 among leading conditioners with firsters on the dirt, but Donarra has not won with one of their own since April 2016.
3rd – Tap Speed (8) just looks right for 50% ITM Elliot Sullivan and #3 Leading Owner with 50 or more starts Bruno Schickendanz.
Exacta Key Box 8/1,5,7
Saver Trifectas 2,8/2,8/1,5,8
4th – Trifecta Box 3,5,7,10
5th – Thurston (8) has something going for him. Chavez is 7-36 Win (19%) with Shortenup + No Class Change types. He’s been above par in two of last four. 11 of 19 of Jose’s bombs have been Layoffs or 2Ls.
$50 Exacta 6/8
$2 Saver Trifectas 5,7,9,10/6,8/6,8 ($16)
$2 Saver Pick 3 – 8/All/3 ($12)
6th – Competitive six horse field ensures excitement but is unplayable.
$2.50 Pick 4 – All/3/6/1,2,3,4 ($60)
7th – Jermyn Street (3) plunges in class after hat trick at related distances versus better. 111 odds-on winners at the meeting give you an idea why it’s been tough to make a buck this year. Clearly my BEST BET of the meeting, but like M.C. Hammer, “u can’t touch this” at least not for win.
Exacta 3/7
Trifecta 3/7/4
Superfecta 3/7/4/5
$10 Pick 3 – 3/5,6,10/3,4 ($60)
8th – Clearly Love (6) goes for Lopez Jr. (10% Win and 27% ITM on the Dirt here). The mare has made par numbers on several occasions unlike pretender Precious Intent (7), who won by 6 while 8 over par.
$75 Weighted Exacta Key Box 6/5,10
9th – Nobody has a profile on Stidham like ours, so we may eke out a bit more value here. Michael is 40% Win and 60% ITM with L1-3 + S types and 8 for 9 ITM with RBs. His only UCE ran 1,2.
Trifectas 3,4/1,2,7/3,4