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Post by bobtailnag on Aug 31, 2023 10:28:30 GMT -5
Not betting but --
Nebraska +7-1/2 UCF -35-1/2 It's easy to give 36points when you have no skin in the game.
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Post by bobtailnag on Sept 1, 2023 0:15:16 GMT -5
Thursday both won
Fri Hawaii +3-1/2 Miami FL -17
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Post by bobtailnag on Sept 1, 2023 23:38:38 GMT -5
3 - 1
Saturday
Colo +20-1/2 W A7Texas -35 L Houston +2-1/2 W VT -16 W Wisc -28 L TCU - Colo Over 61 W
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Post by bobtailnag on Sept 3, 2023 10:15:00 GMT -5
Only 3 games today and none of them look easy to analyze. I'll pass on today's games but I still have opinions.
Rutgers - They're highly regarded QB, Gavin Wimwatt is healthy nor as I think they have the edge here.
ORST looks tough and will win but not sure they will cover the 16-1/2 spread. San Jose St lost their best OLB but signed OLB Henry Ikahihifo from Cal - 32 tackles and 5.5 sacks last year. Name your poison on this one.
LSU vs FLST - my best guess is LSU
Checking some others and all 4 predict OR st to win by 19 to 28.
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Post by spankyupinclass on Sept 4, 2023 9:09:17 GMT -5
i hammered florida state. playing in florida they are tough to beat. looking dorward to seeing the line on he longhorns vs the crimson tide. texas beat alabama last time they played. the vols looked good but keep an eye on the team from utah...nice day bobtail....nfl just a week away. coco keeps on truckin'..
Line on Texas v Alabama is Texas +7' hook makes it interesting
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Post by bobtailnag on Sept 4, 2023 11:44:40 GMT -5
I've been using Sagarin's ranking numbers for nye up to 40 years as a bench mark to compare the quality of rival teams. They are pretty good on college teams - especially college b-ball teams. I used to post my selections om here awhile back.
College Football 2023 through games of August 26 Saturday - Week #0 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 3.39] [ 3.39] [ 3.39] [ 3.39] 1 Georgia A = 99.04 0 0 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | 99.20 1 | 99.04 1 | 99.08 1 SEC-EAST 2 Alabama A = 97.29 0 0 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | 97.44 2 | 97.29 2 | 97.33 2 SEC-WEST 3 Ohio State A = 95.68 0 0 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | 95.82 3 | 95.68 3 | 95.71 3 BIG TEN-EAST 4 Michigan A = 94.15 0 0 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | 94.29 4 | 94.15 4 | 94.18 4 BIG TEN-EAST 5 Texas A = 89.25 0 0 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | 89.37 5 | 89.24 5 | 89.25 5 BIG 12 6 Tennessee A = 88.60 0 0 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | 88.72 6 | 88.59 6 | 88.60 6 SEC-EAST 7 LSU A = 87.68 0 0 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | 87.80 7 | 87.68 7 | 87.68 8 SEC-WEST 8 Clemson A = 87.54 0 0 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | 87.65 8 | 87.53 8 | 87.54 9 ACC 9 Oklahoma A = 86.70 0 0 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | 86.81 9 | 86.70 9 | 86.70 11 BIG 12 10 Penn State A = 86.24 0 0 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | 86.35 10 | 86.24 10 | 86.23 12 BIG TEN-EAST College Football 2023 through games of August 26 Saturday - Week #0 The numbers show Ala with a 9 point advantage. Of course these numbers are not chiseled stone. I would want to look at the injury list at least before deciding to make a bet or passing the game.
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Post by spankyupinclass on Sept 4, 2023 18:04:15 GMT -5
the injury list is a must. it has everything to do with my decision on who to bet on. please continue to post your picks...
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Post by bobtailnag on Sept 6, 2023 11:47:22 GMT -5
Murry at Louisville tomorrow
Murry beat Presbyterian 41 - 10. Sargarin has 261 teams on they're list based on power ratings and Presbytarians are #261.
Louisville scored 39 points against the "wrecks" so now many points can they run up on Murry? 60? More? The line is 40 and they should get there and then some - like 60 But the real question is can they hold Murry under 20? I will bet they do.
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Post by bobtailnag on Sept 6, 2023 13:58:25 GMT -5
Ill visits Kansas Friday current line is Kansas -3
Kansas QB Jason Bean stumbled a bit in the early part of the game but got himself straight and burned Missoz 48-17. Jason is the backup QB becal Jalon Danies had a injured back. Good news - Jalon will start Friday. If he is cured and can play the whole game, a can't see them not winning and covering the line.
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Post by bobtailnag on Sept 7, 2023 18:01:19 GMT -5
I'm not playing but KC -4-1/2 I should be.
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Post by spankyupinclass on Sept 7, 2023 18:18:55 GMT -5
liking the longhorns more and more vs saban. 7' dropped to 7. gonna get it now before it drops to under a td.
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Post by bobtailnag on Sept 8, 2023 9:37:22 GMT -5
I will play Kansas -3 today.
I think Alabama will win the game but -7-1/2 feels it's too much. I hope you get it Spank.
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Post by bobtailnag on Sept 8, 2023 12:04:57 GMT -5
CFB Week 2
Colo -3 I guess most doh't believe them. ND -7-1/2 Ala vs Tex over 55 Ol Miss -7-1/2 SMU +16-1/2 Iowa -4 Rutgers -9 They handled NW well and Temple looks even easier. Arizona St +3-1/2 Hunch bet
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Post by bobtailnag on Sept 10, 2023 7:15:03 GMT -5
Colo -3 W ND -7-1/2 W Ala vs Tex over W Ol Miss -7-1/2 W SMU +16-1/2 L Iowa -4 W Rutgers -9 W Arizona St +3-1/2 L
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shoes
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Post by shoes on Sept 10, 2023 8:25:55 GMT -5
Keep it going bobtail- you're on a roll!
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Post by bobtailnag on Sept 12, 2023 9:53:58 GMT -5
Just read the Colo vs Colo ST line is Colo -23-1/2 and also read Colo ST will start freshman Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi. If I can get it I'll take it now.
Any word on Spanky?
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Post by bobtailnag on Sept 13, 2023 21:10:39 GMT -5
14-5 going into Saturday
Colo -23-1/2 3 in a row? L Rutgers -7 3 in a row? W Washington -16-1/2 I think this one is a gimme. W Mizzu +4 W Memphis -14 L Kentucky -26 W W Virg +1 L Iowa ST -3 L NW +17-1/2 L
5-4 not happy
19-9
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Post by bobtailnag on Sept 19, 2023 19:33:09 GMT -5
Jumped on ND +3-1/2 over Ohio St. I think it might go lower. TCU -6 over SMU MizzU -5-1/2 Penn St -14-1/2 Florida -28 Texas -14-1/2 Tex should win by at least 24 N Carolina -7-1/2
More to come
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Post by bobtailnag on Sept 21, 2023 8:22:36 GMT -5
Todays Geo ST vs Coastal Carolina game might be a good one. Both teams have a pottant OF and G-ST has the edge here. G-ST's DF gives away a lot of points but CC's DF has given out only 36 points in three games. I'm thinking the over 61 might be a good play.
Forgot to mention CC ran up 66 points in their game last week.
Didn't make the bet
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Post by spankyupinclass on Sept 22, 2023 5:54:54 GMT -5
I managed to convince myself to lay off betting this one as well. No small feat for the Cooler. Great slate of college games coming Saturday...
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Post by bobtailnag on Sept 22, 2023 12:17:26 GMT -5
I'm still looking but so far I have 13 games I think I can beat. I want to cull them down to about 8 plays but that's always the hardest part of this game.
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Post by spankyupinclass on Sept 22, 2023 13:40:14 GMT -5
It will be real hard for me to not bet Colorado plus 3 touchdowns. Same thing for the Irish plus the points.I usually wait before I place my bets until I watrch College Game Day and get as much information as I can before I punch in my best bets. I still think teams like Utah and USC make West Coast teams overall the toughest conference in the country.
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Post by bobtailnag on Sept 22, 2023 16:41:22 GMT -5
Jumped on ND +3-1/2 over Ohio St. I think it might go lower. TCU -6 over SMU MizzU -5-1/2 Penn St -14-1/2 Florida -28 Texas -14-1/2 Tex should win by at least 24 N Carolina -7-1/2 Okla -14 Maryland -7-1/2 Airz -12-1/2
These are the games I selected that I'm leaving off.
Ol Miss +7-1/2 OR ST -3 So Carol -6-1/2 Kan ST -5
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Post by merasmag on Sept 22, 2023 20:49:32 GMT -5
don't know the line but hunchbet on Bulldogs says GO
edit: lol...i didn't know their ranking (or anyone else's) i was just talking to a guy wearing a bulldogs cap yesterday
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Post by bobtailnag on Sept 22, 2023 22:29:13 GMT -5
Miss ST +4-1/2 at South Carolina
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Post by spankyupinclass on Sept 23, 2023 6:17:11 GMT -5
the Irish have a massive O-Line and if they can keep the ball away from a talented Ohio State offense I thinkthey win at home,outright perhaps. I'll consider a ML wager. At the moment I'm leaning to Colorado +21. That line makes me think this could be a trap game.
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Post by bobtailnag on Sept 23, 2023 11:19:54 GMT -5
I avoided the OR-Colo game because I was convinced that +21 line would fall. I'm not a crack sports gambler but my first thought was "Why so high". Probably because they just saw that team take two overtimes to beat a weaker team and in the prosses lost one of their top offensive players for several weeks or months. The fact that the line did not drop shows at least half the million or so bettors believe Colorado won't be able to handle Oregon. If I could only find 4 or 5 bames to play I would take a serious look at that game.
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Post by bobtailnag on Sept 23, 2023 22:37:12 GMT -5
Jumped on ND +3-1/2 over Ohio St. I think it might go lower. W TCU -6 over SM W MizzU -5-1/2 W Penn St -14-1/2 W Florida -28 L Texas -14-1/2 Tex sh W Okla -14 PUSH Maryland -7-1/2 W Airz -12-1/2 L
25 - 11
These are the games I selected that I'm leaving off.
Ol Miss +7-1/2 OR ST -3 So Carol -6-1/2 Kan ST -5
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Post by spankyupinclass on Sept 24, 2023 8:57:43 GMT -5
getting that hook on Ohio State was fortunate for you. I pushed at 3. You're killing it! 6-2 and a push is impressive...
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Post by bobtailnag on Sept 24, 2023 11:59:14 GMT -5
SOMETIMES YOU EAT THE BEAR AND SOMETIMES THE BEAR EATS YOU.
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