Post by tenfurlongs on Oct 27, 2018 9:49:01 GMT -5
As of today no defections from the race. La Pelosa's race in the Natalma (GI) came back slower than the clock time/visual indicated, will ponder that some more. I think she is the tipping point for hitting the board, though. Beat her to grab a share.
Long-range weather forecast calls for significant rain event Wed.-early Thurs., so there's a good chance the turf will be less than firm.
Most likely winners: Hermosa (P)- looks best of the Europeans, keeps improving, has handled all going. Newspaperofrecord (E)- two daylight wins at 8.5F, both on yielding turf courses, literally the one to catch in a race without any other obvious pacesetters.
Other win candidates: Concrete Rose (P).
Can use underneath: East (S), Just Wonderful (S), La Pelosa (P), Lily's Candle (P), The Mackem Bullet (P).
Running Style: (E)= Early speed; (P)= Pace tracker; (S)= Sustained late run.
Post by DoctorDisaster on Oct 29, 2018 16:55:03 GMT -5
Newspaperofrecord looks like a cinch.The only chink I see is she hasn't run on a good or firm course yet.Makes me wonder if her wins aren't exaggerated..a bit. I'll be using Summering as a key runner.Proctor has a way of sneaking in at a long price.
Without knowing anything about the Euros, Newspaperofrecord (2/1) is an obvious play, Was tractable in her first race so she doesn't appear to need the lead. Concrete Rose (6/1) has done nothing wrong. The pace runners fell apart in her last race except for her and her stalk and pounce style with a ground-saving trip looks like a plan. East (20/1) may get a buck or two as a longshot from the 14 hole. She probably has the lest impressive resume of the Euros but, hey, stranger things have happened.