Post by orioleboy on May 5, 2018 11:18:59 GMT -5
Just missed with Wonder Gadot in the Oaks. Hopefully today is better.
GOOD MAGIC - really like the champ in this spot. Was good enough last year to win the BC Juvy as a maiden, earning a 100 Beyer. All I'm hearing is that he hasn't looked as good as a 3 year old. Well anyone who does their homework should know that he had some foot issues early on in the year, and Chad Brown wasn't even sure if he would make the Derby. He was a short horse in the FOY and then got going in the Bluegrass. He has trained very smartly and is sitting on a big race. Brown can train on the dirt as well as the turf and this might be the best horse he has trained since Normandy Invasion (wink wink!). Go to the windows if you can get 8-1 or better.
JUSTIFY - I normally wouldn't pick a horse like this to hit the board, but he might be this good. Has a lot of history to buck. Big Brown is the only horse to win the Derby with only 3 starts, he's battling the Apollo curse and the Storm Cat sire line is 0-51 in the Derby!! With that said, Baffert might have another American Pharoah in his barn. I think he's right there, but might hit the wall at the 1/16th pole. Certainly no value as the favorite.
HOFBURG - another very lightly raced horse, I'm a sucker for Bill Mott. He wouldn't be putting him in here if he wasn't sure he belongs. Sired by champion sire Tapit, he is training very smartly and from what I'm reading has looked great on the track. At 20-1, I think he can hit the board and spice up the triple.
The next tier, which I'll be using to fill out my tri's include Audible, Bolt D'Oro, Magnum Moon, Mendelssohn and Flameaway.