gam
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Post by gam on Apr 8, 2019 10:31:57 GMT -5
Occasionally, when I look at listed odds I see clear "errors" in bets offered. I've forgotten some of them but a recent example was found on an online that I frequently check to look at odds. Just prior to the NCAA Tourney under odds to win the tournament they had MSU at 13-1. Under props they had a will they won't they win the Championship where they had MSU at 15-1 to win the Championship. So, why would you bet them at 13-1 when you can get them at 15-1 under a different heading? Sometimes the errors are offering something where the calculations just seem out of whack. The same sportsbook had will a 13 seed win a game at -120. When I checked the history of the Tourney it showed at least one 13 seed winning about 7 out of 10 years, so the number was way askew. (And, yes, a 13 won this year, too) Last night they had a will he won't he make the cut at the Masters on Tiger Woods offered at -115. Amazingly, the odds on Tiger making the Top 10 are -105. In case you're wondering, the bet on making the cut is not offered this morning.
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Post by spanky126 on Apr 8, 2019 14:43:27 GMT -5
What sites were you seeing this at Gam, if I may ask? I think sports betting in whole is out of wack.
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gam
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Post by gam on Apr 8, 2019 15:18:13 GMT -5
Betonusa.ag
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Post by spanky126 on Apr 8, 2019 15:23:15 GMT -5
WagerType: Date: Team: Risking / To Win Ticket#:
Straight Apr 10 TNT ODDS TO WIN US MASTERS 2019
[10114] PAUL CASEY +3205 25.00 USD / 801.00 USD 38252268
Straight Apr 11 MU [7040] I POULTER -125 (W SIMPSON vrs I POULTER) 32.00 USD / 25.00 USD 38252269
Straight Apr 11 MU [7045] P CASEY -115 (P CASEY vrs B KOEPKA) 29.00 USD / 25.00 USD 38252270
Not familiar with that site gam...local bookie you can trust maybe? I'll play the above wagers with mine. Like weed, sports betting will someday be run by Big Brother (the Fed)...taxes...
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gam
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Post by gam on Apr 8, 2019 15:27:26 GMT -5
Just checked and they are now offering the Tiger cut bet at -800.
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Post by spanky126 on Apr 8, 2019 15:40:28 GMT -5
I can't imagine the crowd that will be following Eldrick around. I have to give it to him though...if he can pull this off he'll be a step closer to Jacks record of majors won. Something tells me the Golfing Gods are going to let Tiger get to within one of tying Jack and he'll never get close after that...karma!
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gam
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Post by gam on Jun 12, 2019 20:31:53 GMT -5
Same book as above: Raptors lead the NBA Finals 3-2, current offer for game 6, Toronto +2.5 spread, +125 ML. However, under exact series result, Toronto wins 4-2 is offered at...... +135. Go figure.
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Post by spiderjohn on Jun 13, 2019 6:31:07 GMT -5
Should be an interesting game.
Not as interesting as it was during Lebron's 9-year run.
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Post by big18741 on Jun 14, 2019 7:07:45 GMT -5
George Yesterday morning Parx had the game line at Toronto +2.5 Toronto -108 on the ML To win the series in 6 games +125  |
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gam
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Post by gam on Jun 14, 2019 19:25:18 GMT -5
I realize there are a lot of numbers to keep track of but those examples clearly slipped through the cracks. It’s interesting in the sense the entire industry essentially survives on about a 9% vig and they’re giving it away.
Big, you know anything about Sugarhouse? Sounds like mobile sports betting is here in the Commonwealth.
And if that’s not a typo I hope no one was dumb enough to take the ML. Lol
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Post by big18741 on Jun 16, 2019 11:48:38 GMT -5
Hear lots of adds for Sugarhouse but haven't checked into it yet.
As far as the mobile stuff I would think all of the PA books will have online access by August if not sooner.
Sugarhouse opened a lot earlier than the others.
Should be multiple mobile options soon for football which is all I really get involved in other than some golf stuff.
For now I'm really close to two sports books that are ten minutes apart so I don't mind walking in.
Pretty sure there were some dopes who laid that -108.
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gam
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Post by gam on Oct 28, 2019 7:44:21 GMT -5
Reviving this thread to add a new example: Nats now down in WS 2-3, series price, Nats +500, correct series result price on Nats win series 4-3, +550.
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gam
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Post by gam on Oct 29, 2019 7:42:25 GMT -5
Reviving this thread to add a new example: Nats now down in WS 2-3, series price, Nats +500, correct series result price on Nats win series 4-3, +550. Follow up, both prices now listed at +450. If +450 is actually fair odds, an astute and opportunistic type got a 20% edge grabbing that price yesterday. |
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