IT'S FREE PLAY WEDNESDAY - Feb. 13th
Feb 13, 2019 10:48:31 GMT -5
Post by johnnybattbd on Feb 13, 2019 10:48:31 GMT -5
And a Happy Valentine's Day to Mr. Yount, who's always a SWEETHEART and to my favorite UIC fillies Madame Blum and PonyGirlJCM!
1st – Tsirigotis historically bombs with 20% of all starters, including 12 Plain Start types in L3T. Jim has not put one over at the current meeting. Kitchen Police (6) was an APD here on Dec. 29, 2017 and was sent in August at Delaware. A little moisture may propel. Class drop is supposed to validate big wakeup…OK…Uh huh…
Thirty-three of 45 of Raymond’s bombs have been at 6F or related and he has 12 Plain Shortenup bombs, however Raymond’s 3-82 with FBKs with only 17% ITM.
7-5 for Big Awesome misses the mark, IMO.
Exacta Box 3,5,6
2nd – Two Step Salsa is a 10% Sire at Tampa (35-342) which makes him a leader but not a top tier stud. Mr. Bennett has a 17-25 ITM angle. Rodriguez has a 60% ITM angle and he’s 36% Win with Gallardo up in L3T (16-44).
Trifectas All/2,5/2,3,5,7 (30 bets)
3rd – OFF THE TURF - Ryan has an IV of 0.53 with FBKs. Raymond is 0-47 with L4-8s and 6-139 with 1PTBs. Hemingway is 54% ITM with Plain Shortenups and if they are off the turf, he’s 21% Win and 58% ITM with OSTs.
Win and Place 2
4th – One can expect that Descarado (4) will not go “despacito” this afternoon as Feliciano is 59% ITM with Plain Distance Change types. Johns doesn’t do the UCE thing but he’s 39% Win with Plain Dropdowns and 24% Win with Plain Stretchouts. Hard to leave either off a ticket. Dini is now 0-32 since only win at the meeting. For My Mom (5) gets a Valentine’s Day play. Mike is 40% ITM with Plain Stretchouts. Mr. Bennett could rip the crotch out of it, but his singles are only in the high teens here.
Exacta Key Box 4/1,3,5
Saver Trifectas 1,3,4,5/8/1,3,4,5 (12)
Exacta Box 4,8
5th – OFF THE TURF - Rodriguez is 9-13 ITM with FBKs (cusp), 24% Win moving UC and 33% Win with StRs. If Darien is just babysitting, Arriagada has solid numbers with these angles as well.
Mr. Bennett is 2-14 Win with 2L1-3 + TtoD types and 23% Win with Plain Dropdowns.
70% of Ryan’s wins at the last 4 meetings have been Shortenup or Stretchout types. Derek is 50% Win if the favorite in this situation.
KD’s Catbird (11) was an APD at 8.18F here as a 4YO and was 2nd next time out in a stalking effort at 11-1. Quirins have been solid in last two. Outclasses many of these if it moves to the dirt. Se todo depende on which ones scratch.
$50 Weighted Exacta Box 2,11
$2 Saver Trifectas 2,6,7,11/2,11/2,6,7,11 (12 bets)
6th – Trifecta Box 2,3,4,5
7th – OFF THE TURF - Christa’s Kitten (9) went satisfactorily in both OSTs, gets another bight at the apple. KOC is 43% Win if the favorite in this scenario.
Win 9 if the favorite
8th – If the third times a charm, what is the 5th time? Is there a stat for being the beaten favorite in four consecutive races? Goforthegusto (10)! Spin (the wheel) Boy (3)!
Cotto Jr. jumps for Rivelli 2TS Shipper and longtime Owner Carolyn Wilson…my antennas are buzzing…
$0.50 Trifectas
1,2,3,4,6,7,11/1,2/1,2,3,4,6,7,8,11 ($36 never provided so much excitement!)
9th – Fate has its own rulebook. Quast firster is working off the hook at Goldmark Farm. Distorted Humor is a 22% Sire here at Tampa. On the Dam’s side we have a 15% Sire here in Oldsmar. Could this be his 2nd win in a 10-year career? We think, maybe…and that would be Plum Amazing (10).
$40 Weighted Exacta Key Box 10/1,4
Mr Pick 4's Daily Plays for 02/13
More rain will wash away the scheduled 4 grass races. Scratches will be plentiful, but we've looked at the wet records of these pieces for 2 days now in the
hopes to unlock the secrets ..... the results ? .....can you say ugh?....hope there's a seat at the bar ....
Early Pic 4 (2-5) .... 2, 4, 7 WT 2, 5, 9 WT 4, 8 WT 6, 7, 11 ... $.50 ... $27.00
Late Pic 4 (6-9) .... 5 ** WT 3, 8, 9, 10 WT 2, 8 WT 1, 3, 4, 10 ... $.50 ... $12.00
Best Bet **
1st – Tsirigotis historically bombs with 20% of all starters, including 12 Plain Start types in L3T. Jim has not put one over at the current meeting. Kitchen Police (6) was an APD here on Dec. 29, 2017 and was sent in August at Delaware. A little moisture may propel. Class drop is supposed to validate big wakeup…OK…Uh huh…
Thirty-three of 45 of Raymond’s bombs have been at 6F or related and he has 12 Plain Shortenup bombs, however Raymond’s 3-82 with FBKs with only 17% ITM.
7-5 for Big Awesome misses the mark, IMO.
Exacta Box 3,5,6
2nd – Two Step Salsa is a 10% Sire at Tampa (35-342) which makes him a leader but not a top tier stud. Mr. Bennett has a 17-25 ITM angle. Rodriguez has a 60% ITM angle and he’s 36% Win with Gallardo up in L3T (16-44).
Trifectas All/2,5/2,3,5,7 (30 bets)
3rd – OFF THE TURF - Ryan has an IV of 0.53 with FBKs. Raymond is 0-47 with L4-8s and 6-139 with 1PTBs. Hemingway is 54% ITM with Plain Shortenups and if they are off the turf, he’s 21% Win and 58% ITM with OSTs.
Win and Place 2
4th – One can expect that Descarado (4) will not go “despacito” this afternoon as Feliciano is 59% ITM with Plain Distance Change types. Johns doesn’t do the UCE thing but he’s 39% Win with Plain Dropdowns and 24% Win with Plain Stretchouts. Hard to leave either off a ticket. Dini is now 0-32 since only win at the meeting. For My Mom (5) gets a Valentine’s Day play. Mike is 40% ITM with Plain Stretchouts. Mr. Bennett could rip the crotch out of it, but his singles are only in the high teens here.
Exacta Key Box 4/1,3,5
Saver Trifectas 1,3,4,5/8/1,3,4,5 (12)
Exacta Box 4,8
5th – OFF THE TURF - Rodriguez is 9-13 ITM with FBKs (cusp), 24% Win moving UC and 33% Win with StRs. If Darien is just babysitting, Arriagada has solid numbers with these angles as well.
Mr. Bennett is 2-14 Win with 2L1-3 + TtoD types and 23% Win with Plain Dropdowns.
70% of Ryan’s wins at the last 4 meetings have been Shortenup or Stretchout types. Derek is 50% Win if the favorite in this situation.
KD’s Catbird (11) was an APD at 8.18F here as a 4YO and was 2nd next time out in a stalking effort at 11-1. Quirins have been solid in last two. Outclasses many of these if it moves to the dirt. Se todo depende on which ones scratch.
$50 Weighted Exacta Box 2,11
$2 Saver Trifectas 2,6,7,11/2,11/2,6,7,11 (12 bets)
6th – Trifecta Box 2,3,4,5
7th – OFF THE TURF - Christa’s Kitten (9) went satisfactorily in both OSTs, gets another bight at the apple. KOC is 43% Win if the favorite in this scenario.
Win 9 if the favorite
8th – If the third times a charm, what is the 5th time? Is there a stat for being the beaten favorite in four consecutive races? Goforthegusto (10)! Spin (the wheel) Boy (3)!
Cotto Jr. jumps for Rivelli 2TS Shipper and longtime Owner Carolyn Wilson…my antennas are buzzing…
$0.50 Trifectas
1,2,3,4,6,7,11/1,2/1,2,3,4,6,7,8,11 ($36 never provided so much excitement!)
9th – Fate has its own rulebook. Quast firster is working off the hook at Goldmark Farm. Distorted Humor is a 22% Sire here at Tampa. On the Dam’s side we have a 15% Sire here in Oldsmar. Could this be his 2nd win in a 10-year career? We think, maybe…and that would be Plum Amazing (10).
$40 Weighted Exacta Key Box 10/1,4
Mr Pick 4's Daily Plays for 02/13
More rain will wash away the scheduled 4 grass races. Scratches will be plentiful, but we've looked at the wet records of these pieces for 2 days now in the
hopes to unlock the secrets ..... the results ? .....can you say ugh?....hope there's a seat at the bar ....
Early Pic 4 (2-5) .... 2, 4, 7 WT 2, 5, 9 WT 4, 8 WT 6, 7, 11 ... $.50 ... $27.00
Late Pic 4 (6-9) .... 5 ** WT 3, 8, 9, 10 WT 2, 8 WT 1, 3, 4, 10 ... $.50 ... $12.00
Best Bet **